UK: What does victory and defeat look like in the local elections for Conservatives and Labour?
Perhaps it's expectation management, but Labour tell me there are focused less on the NEV and more on where the wins are around the country.
For Labour strategists, the acid test is how they perform in key marginal areas to test whether they are winning votes in the battlegrounds of the general election. Insiders tell me they are not trying to achieve the highest voter share they can get as they pour resource into marginal areas rather than trying to turn out the Labour vote in safer parts of the country such as Manchester or Liverpool.
"We need to win the marginals in England," says one Labour insider, "that is the benchmark".
To that end, the East Midlands mayoralty is a key race for Labour because this region is home to a swathe of seats they need in the general election - Derby North, Mansfield, Ashfield, Erewash, Bassetlaw.
https://news.sky.com/story/what-does-victory-and-defeat-look-like-in-the-local-elections-for-conservatives-and-labour-13126448