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Reply #10: What about the probability of 86/88 touchscreens turning Kerry to Bush? [View All]

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TruthIsAll Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri May-13-05 01:03 PM
Response to Reply #9
10. What about the probability of 86/88 touchscreens turning Kerry to Bush?
Do you agree with this calculation?
Do you agree that there is no bias?
That there is no MoE?

It's the probability P that at least 86 votes would switch to Bush.
Or P = Prob(86)+ Prob (87)+ Prob(88).

And it's documented in the Election 2004 Incident Database:

Prob(86)= 1.23689E-23 =BINOMDIST(86,88,0.5,FALSE)
+Prob(87)= 2.84343E-25 =BINOMDIST(87,88,0.5,FALSE)
+Prob(88)= 3.23117E-27 =BINOMDIST(88,88,0.5,FALSE)

P =Prob (86,87,88)= 0.00000000000000000000001266
or 1 in 79,010,724,999,066,700,000,000

OR ONE IN SEVENTY-NINE BILLION TRILLION

How will you deal with that one?


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