It isn't a secret that the final results are weighted to the official returns. That is the method. That is what they say they will do, and they do it.
But it does not prove that the official returns are wrong.
In order for your 43/37 argument to work, you would need to assume (inter alia) that everyone reports their past votes accurately. And this assumption is demonstrably false.
So your calculation goes out the window, no matter how perfect the arithmetic.
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