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Trump's job approval by political party (Original Post) Demovictory9 Feb 2020 OP
I'm convinced handmade34 Feb 2020 #1
2020 is winnable but not a lock struggle4progress Feb 2020 #2
it will be all about turnout Demovictory9 Feb 2020 #4
The only poll that matters Chainfire Feb 2020 #3

struggle4progress

(118,041 posts)
2. 2020 is winnable but not a lock
Thu Feb 20, 2020, 11:31 PM
Feb 2020

Gallup 12/19 reported Americans as 28% D, 41% I, and 28% R, giving

0.28*0.06 + 0.41*0.43 + 0.28*0.93 = 0.016 + 0.176 + 0.260 = 45% approving Trump

and

0.28*0.13 + 0.41*0.40 + 0.28*0.80 = 0.036 + 0.164 + 0.224 = 42% happy with the direction of the country

We shouldn't become over-confident but we shouldn't despair either: we just need to knuckle down to our work

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