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question everything

(47,263 posts)
Thu Feb 27, 2020, 12:07 AM Feb 2020

The DNC chose Milwaukee for the convention with the hope of winning WI.

Recent polls show that this may not be. So I am curious of whether convention locations tilt the balance.

Certainly having the Republican convention in St. Paul in 2008 did not turn Minnesota red.

And I am drawing blank about the 2012 and 2016 conventions..

12 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
The DNC chose Milwaukee for the convention with the hope of winning WI. (Original Post) question everything Feb 2020 OP
Not all recent polls, just one. TwilightZone Feb 2020 #1
What has the lead been in other polls? Sugarcoated Feb 2020 #3
Quinnipiac had Trump with a sizeable lead on all of the Dems. TwilightZone Feb 2020 #7
2012 was NC Sugarcoated Feb 2020 #2
Thanks. And we lost in both states question everything Feb 2020 #6
Obama lost NC in 2012? It had to have been close. Sugarcoated Feb 2020 #8
Yes, it was question everything Feb 2020 #9
Conventions don't win states. RandySF Feb 2020 #4
The DNC better have voter registration mobiles or teams traveling every single street in the city. LonePirate Feb 2020 #5
Yep, forego partying and register voters. One can dream, I guess. Funtatlaguy Feb 2020 #10
It's an almost entirely discredited idea but it stubbornly refuses to die Recursion Feb 2020 #11
Kind of like the VP pick... Wounded Bear Feb 2020 #12

TwilightZone

(25,342 posts)
1. Not all recent polls, just one.
Thu Feb 27, 2020, 12:14 AM
Feb 2020

The UW poll released this week shows Biden, Sanders, Klobuchar and Warren all with a slight lead (within the MOE) on Trump.

The Quinnipiac poll might turn out to be an outlier. We'll know as further polls are released.

Sugarcoated

(7,707 posts)
8. Obama lost NC in 2012? It had to have been close.
Thu Feb 27, 2020, 12:24 AM
Feb 2020

In regards to 2016, we had a candidate who didn't do well enough with the blue collar Democrats and AA's is the urban areas to overcome the rural woodchuck vote numbers.

question everything

(47,263 posts)
9. Yes, it was
Thu Feb 27, 2020, 12:51 AM
Feb 2020

Mitt Romney narrowly carried the state of North Carolina, winning 50.39% of the vote to Barack Obama's 48.35%, a margin of 2.04%. North Carolina was one of just two states (along with Indiana) which flipped from voting for Obama in 2008 to voting Republican in 2012. Like Indiana, North Carolina had been a reliably Republican state prior to Obama's 2008 win, having not previously gone Democratic since 1976.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2012_United_States_presidential_election_in_North_Carolina

LonePirate

(13,386 posts)
5. The DNC better have voter registration mobiles or teams traveling every single street in the city.
Thu Feb 27, 2020, 12:20 AM
Feb 2020

There is no excuse for not registering every single person in Milwaukee and its suburbs.

Recursion

(56,582 posts)
11. It's an almost entirely discredited idea but it stubbornly refuses to die
Thu Feb 27, 2020, 04:03 AM
Feb 2020

Frankly I think Milwaukee was a horrible choice, particularly since a lot of the reserved hotels are all the way down in Chicago. And Trump has a way of having rallies nearby whenever Democrats do anything, so I assume there will be a Trump rally in Racine for the simple purpose of screwing up traffic to the convention.

There's only so many cities that can really handle a convention, and we should stick to those.

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