General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsWhen the economy is opened back up, how long before we will see a spike in CV-19 cases?
From what I have read, it can take 10-15 days to show symptoms?
So the moral of the story is, don't do anything different until two weeks have passed. Then you can be more assured that there is not going to be a spike in new cases.
Bernardo de La Paz
(48,790 posts)Poiuyt
(18,087 posts)It is stabilizing now because we've been isolating ourselves. Once we go back to life, there will certainly be a surge in cases.
Ace Rothstein
(3,110 posts)There are too many cases at this point and since waiting around like we are now for a vaccine isn't feasible, waves will continue to happen.
0rganism
(23,856 posts)since someone who's exposed on day 14 might not get sick until day 28
so 4 weeks minimum
kentuck
(110,950 posts)That would be more credible.
0rganism
(23,856 posts)but for some reason that's not a priority, even though it's the bare minimum we have to do to "re-open" in a credibly safe manner
Trump's corruption of the CDC is tragic
Bernardo de La Paz
(48,790 posts)0rganism
(23,856 posts)regardless, we are about to get our asses kicked hard, Sweden-style
and unfortunately it won't just hurt the MAGAt morons who pushed us into this
roamer65
(36,739 posts)Someone near the end of infectability at 14 days will encounter an uninfected person who then incubates the virus for 14 days. The latter travels.
Shazam the virus slips through the cracks in the plan.
gibraltar72
(7,486 posts)The sane Governors aren't going to until Doctors tell them it's OK. A handfull of poor Republican states ain't gonna save his bacon er maybe lard is a better word.
roamer65
(36,739 posts)They represent a risk of virus transfer.
SheltieLover
(57,073 posts)Vanderbilt projects TN surge mid-June *if* current protections remain in place.
LiberalArkie
(15,686 posts)early adopter zombie.
kentuck
(110,950 posts)It affects so many parts of the body, not just the lungs. That may be why there are re-occurrences in people that got the virus?
lkinwi
(1,477 posts)Im not going to expose myself, only to be a test case for phase 3.
SheltieLover
(57,073 posts)👍
you wI'll see the spike start inside of 3 weeks after with more growth after that as 2nd, 3re, and 4th generation infections start showing up.
How hard would it be to start stay at home again after it has been lifted? IDK.
DrToast
(6,414 posts)Will everyone be wearing masks? (Hopefully.)
Will people still be observing social distancing when they can? (Hopefully)
I imagine it will move much slower through the population the second time around, but yeah, it will come back.
ffr
(22,649 posts)in waiting.
tavernier
(12,322 posts)Because we havent stabilized yet.
DFW
(54,057 posts)Peak in anywhere from 20 to 100
One person who is infected but doesn't know it can be the source of 500 infections or more before he or she knows that they have passed it on.
uponit7771
(90,225 posts)DFW
(54,057 posts)Until everybody or almost everybody can get tested, and for ALL varieties, then we really don't know anywhere enough of what we need to get the spread under control--if that is even possible at this point. We are not New Zealand.
kentuck
(110,950 posts)This would mean it is 570 times more contagious than the common flu.
uponit7771
(90,225 posts)stillcool
(32,626 posts)yet in a lot of places, and with no testing, maybe it'll just be a steady stream of massive death.