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catbyte

(34,174 posts)
Wed May 27, 2020, 06:50 PM May 2020

LOL:Trump brags about getting Republicans elected. Research suggests his endorsements cost 15 seats.

By Philip Bump
May 27, 2020

There’s a utility to President Trump’s frequent election-year claims that he can get Republicans elected to office. If Republican legislators believe that he can make or break their political futures, they’ll be more likely to stand with Trump in times of turbulence and support his policy initiatives. It’s clearly the case that concern about how Trump’s political base would view the situation prompted nearly every Republican legislator to oppose the president’s impeachment. Trump wields his endorsement as a stick — while speaking quite loudly.

It’s certainly true that Trump’s endorsement is valuable in Republican primaries, as we’ve reported. His popularity with Republican voters and willingness to bash those who cross him has made him something of a kingmaker within his party. In the 2018 midterms, though, his track record on general election matchups was spottier. By our tally, his endorsed candidates won only about half the time.

New research published in Legislative Studies Quarterly offers an even grimmer assessment of Trump’s effectiveness that year. Far from delivering seats for his party, the analysis by Andrew O. Ballard and Michael Heseltine of American University and Hans J.G. Hassell of Florida State University indicates that Trump actually cost his party seats, 11 in the House and four in the Senate.

snip

Trump’s endorsements may “have done little to elicit engagement from voters on the Republican side, all the while creating a rallying effect around opposing candidates and increasing engagement among Democratic voters,” they conclude. “The story then from these findings is that presidential endorsements in 2018 indicated presidential backlash rather than presidential coattails.”

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2020/05/27/trump-brags-about-getting-republicans-elected-research-suggests-his-endorsements-cost-15-seats



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LOL:Trump brags about getting Republicans elected. Research suggests his endorsements cost 15 seats. (Original Post) catbyte May 2020 OP
For further comment, let us now turn to Senators Roy Moore and Joe Arpaio. CaptYossarian May 2020 #1
ASSFACE LIES Cha May 2020 #2

CaptYossarian

(6,448 posts)
1. For further comment, let us now turn to Senators Roy Moore and Joe Arpaio.
Wed May 27, 2020, 07:05 PM
May 2020

Um, Senators? Helloooo?

Back to you, Lester.

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