Shape of things to come (Labor day is a pivot)
Not only is Labor Day a traditional way point in the campaign season, this year it will take on even more meaning.
Lots of us are wondering how the Republicans will counter the weeks convention. To a large extent it wont matter. We have an idea of much of the actual themes and rhetoric and a large part of that will be touting the success of the handling of Corona. While that will be much weaker sauce than anybody had thought even two weeks ago, it has to be a major theme.
Now after a week of that and the end of summer event Labor Day represents, we can expect even more desperate parties and get together s, more trips to the cabins with more family brought together.
So about two weeks later, just as early voting begins, we can expect the next major spikes to start.
We will have the perfect time to start the early part of GOTV process. If we work this right any October surprise will be totally moot.