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underpants

(182,279 posts)
Sun Aug 30, 2020, 08:26 PM Aug 2020

Trump's alternate-reality bounce

This is from an article titled
On Google news
New Poll shows RNC didn’t help Trump’s approval ratings

At the link
Poll: Biden’s approval rating got a convention bounce. Trump’s didn’t.



If a spree of Sunday-morning retweets are anything to go by, however, Trump is a believer in the bounce — and in the ABC/Ipsos results being an outlier. The president boosted tweets and analysis from right-wing Twitter account @PollWatch2020 more than twenty times, including polls from the Democracy Institute and the Trafalgar Group showing him winning nationally and in key swing states.

There’s plenty of reason to be doubtful of those numbers, though: The Trafalgar Group gets a C- in FiveThirtyEight’s pollster ratings, and the Democracy Institute isn’t even listed.

Also of concern is the fact both groups’ numbers fly in the face of just about everything else out there — in Michigan, for example, Biden’s average lead stands at 7.1 percentage points, and that includes the Trafalgar poll that shows Trump winning. In fact, Trafalgar has the only FiveThirtyEight-recognized poll this month to show Trump winning by any margin in the state.

This isn’t the first time Trump has rejected reality as presented by reputable pollsters:

But trying to quash polls that don’t look good for your campaign isn’t a great reelection strategy, especially when most of the polls are in consistent agreement. In the key swing states of Arizona, Florida, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, Biden still retains a lead, one mirrored in national polls.

https://www.vox.com/2020/8/30/21407646/trump-approval-poll-rnc-abc-news-ipsos

7 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
Trump's alternate-reality bounce (Original Post) underpants Aug 2020 OP
ByeDon malaise Aug 2020 #1
I should shut down my pc sellitman Aug 2020 #2
Three polsters not to pay any attention to RDANGELO Aug 2020 #3
There are many millions who hated that SOB. Kingofalldems Aug 2020 #4
Remember this. RDANGELO Aug 2020 #5
Who in his inner circle justgamma Aug 2020 #6
Here's an article on how they actually have to avoid triggering him. underpants Aug 2020 #7

RDANGELO

(3,430 posts)
3. Three polsters not to pay any attention to
Sun Aug 30, 2020, 08:34 PM
Aug 2020

Trafalgar - has consistently showed Biden well below what anyone else has.

Onevoice - Same as Trafalgar. Is a fundie organization. The poll is conducted by The Heritage Foundation.

Rasmussen is Rasmussen.

RDANGELO

(3,430 posts)
5. Remember this.
Sun Aug 30, 2020, 08:59 PM
Aug 2020

Trump is a severe case of narcissistic personality disorder; he is very susceptible to delusions. It is quite likely that he is under the delusion that he got a bounce from his convention.

justgamma

(3,660 posts)
6. Who in his inner circle
Sun Aug 30, 2020, 11:00 PM
Aug 2020

is going to tell him the truth. I swear sometimes I wonder if they are just punking him.

underpants

(182,279 posts)
7. Here's an article on how they actually have to avoid triggering him.
Mon Aug 31, 2020, 06:22 AM
Aug 2020

This is the DU thread on it.

Good article. First hand accountable sources.
https://www.democraticunderground.com/100213989039

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