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still_one

(91,965 posts)
Tue Sep 1, 2020, 06:19 AM Sep 2020

Nationally Biden is up 51% to 43% in a new Morning Consult poll presented on Morning Joe

This is among 13000 likely voters, on Aug 31

No Convention bounce

On the battle ground states according to this Morning Consult

Arizona: Biden 52% Trump 42%
Michigan: Biden 52% Trump 42%
Colorado: Biden 51% Trump 41%
Wisconsin: Biden 52% Trump 43%
Minnesota: Biden 50% Trump 43%
Pennsylvania: Biden 49% Trump 45%
Georgia: Biden 49% Trump 46%
North Carolina: Biden 49% Trump 47%
Florida: Biden 49% Trump 47%
Texas: Biden 47% Trump 48%
Ohio: Biden 45% Trump 50%

Again among likely voters

It is just one pollster, but indicates just how critical turnout is, and still a very long way to go, and looking at Wisconsin in this poll, it sure doesn't seem that trumps support of vigilantism is gaining much traction


Here is a link to the data above:

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/

19 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Nationally Biden is up 51% to 43% in a new Morning Consult poll presented on Morning Joe (Original Post) still_one Sep 2020 OP
Good news, but what the hell is wrong with PA and OH? DonaldsRump Sep 2020 #1
You and I think alike Le Roi de Pot Sep 2020 #3
It is just one poll, but it is interesting that Wisconsin and Minnesota where the epicenter of the still_one Sep 2020 #4
Ohio?? dawg day Sep 2020 #12
What the bloody hell is wrong with Ohio and Indiana Le Roi de Pot Sep 2020 #2
No kidding Dukkha Sep 2020 #18
These numbers are in line with most other polls Buckeyeblue Sep 2020 #5
There was some speculation among some that trump was gaining momentum, and Biden still_one Sep 2020 #6
We must stop waiting for th 43% to come to us! We must get our base to the polls!! OrlandoDem2 Sep 2020 #10
It is going to be a very long 2 months still_one Sep 2020 #7
And how. Hassin Bin Sober Sep 2020 #16
+++ still_one Sep 2020 #17
This message was self-deleted by its author still_one Sep 2020 #8
We FL Dems must work harder and smarter!! Our party leaders arent that effective so it's on us OrlandoDem2 Sep 2020 #9
and Biden and Harris need to visit Florida multiple times, safely of course, and get the message still_one Sep 2020 #11
Yes. And FL is complex. You win by cutting the margins in areas of strength for the GOP and OrlandoDem2 Sep 2020 #13
I keep seeing these polls and then keep hearing that Trump is on track to win. LizBeth Sep 2020 #14
Look closer at those battleground polls Polybius Sep 2020 #15
As I recall, Hillary was never consistently over 50% greenjar_01 Sep 2020 #19

DonaldsRump

(7,715 posts)
1. Good news, but what the hell is wrong with PA and OH?
Tue Sep 1, 2020, 06:22 AM
Sep 2020

PA is only up by 4%. If that holds, I'll take it, though.

But OH, are you seriously that clueless?

still_one

(91,965 posts)
4. It is just one poll, but it is interesting that Wisconsin and Minnesota where the epicenter of the
Tue Sep 1, 2020, 06:27 AM
Sep 2020

police brutality and racial strife were recently, implies that trump's so called law and order message does not seem to have resonance


 

Le Roi de Pot

(744 posts)
2. What the bloody hell is wrong with Ohio and Indiana
Tue Sep 1, 2020, 06:23 AM
Sep 2020

Those states would be a fucking wasteland hadn't Obama/Biden rescued the Auto industry.

Dukkha

(7,341 posts)
18. No kidding
Tue Sep 1, 2020, 01:23 PM
Sep 2020

That's the patented American 30 second memory. This is the guns and Jesus land in the rust belt messing with the polls. Let's hope the blue stronghold cities carry those states for us.

Buckeyeblue

(5,491 posts)
5. These numbers are in line with most other polls
Tue Sep 1, 2020, 06:35 AM
Sep 2020

It really is about getting out the vote. I don't know what more Biden and Harris can say to make their case.

I don't understand how 43% of the people can watch the mess that is Trump and think the country is better off with him president.

I don't see it. Not this time around. It seems like 30 -35% should be his ceiling. But, hey, I could be wrong.

still_one

(91,965 posts)
6. There was some speculation among some that trump was gaining momentum, and Biden
Tue Sep 1, 2020, 06:41 AM
Sep 2020

losing momentum

At least this poll indicates essentially no change, and definitely no convention bounce for either candidate

Also with this poll that indicates to me that most people have determined who they will vote for already

It will be interesting to see what other pollsters indicate now that the Conventions are over, and the issues in Minnesota and Wisconsin should be fully factored in

What more can Biden and Harris do you ask, get out and start campaigning safely and aggressively in various states, which they will do








OrlandoDem2

(2,064 posts)
10. We must stop waiting for th 43% to come to us! We must get our base to the polls!!
Tue Sep 1, 2020, 06:53 AM
Sep 2020

It’s all about that base!!

Response to still_one (Original post)

still_one

(91,965 posts)
11. and Biden and Harris need to visit Florida multiple times, safely of course, and get the message
Tue Sep 1, 2020, 06:55 AM
Sep 2020

out that Social Security is being threatened by trump and the republicans


OrlandoDem2

(2,064 posts)
13. Yes. And FL is complex. You win by cutting the margins in areas of strength for the GOP and
Tue Sep 1, 2020, 08:15 AM
Sep 2020

driving up your base vote in blue areas. We must cut their margins in SW FL, the Panhandle, and a couple other areas. We have to drive up the Biden vote in South FL, especially in Broward.

Biden must take the I-4 Corridor in Central FL by appealing to the Puerto Rican votes.

You don’t win FL by trying to appeal to the whole state because it’s actually like 5 or 6 different states in one.

Polybius

(15,239 posts)
15. Look closer at those battleground polls
Tue Sep 1, 2020, 12:28 PM
Sep 2020

He's within 4 points or less in Pennsylvania, Georgia, North Carolina, and Florida. He's ahead in Texas and Ohio. If he wins all of these states, he doesn't need Arizona: Michigan, Colorado (he lost it last time), Wisconsin, and Minnesota (he lost that last time too). I am going to be donating every extra bit of cash I can to Biden.

 

greenjar_01

(6,477 posts)
19. As I recall, Hillary was never consistently over 50%
Tue Sep 1, 2020, 01:26 PM
Sep 2020

Even when she had leads it was always like 46% - 41%, or something like that, 47%-44%.

I don't recall her being 50%, 51%, 52% in national polls at all, much less consistently. I may be wrong.

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