General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsNationally Biden is up 51% to 43% in a new Morning Consult poll presented on Morning Joe
This is among 13000 likely voters, on Aug 31
No Convention bounce
On the battle ground states according to this Morning Consult
Arizona: Biden 52% Trump 42%
Michigan: Biden 52% Trump 42%
Colorado: Biden 51% Trump 41%
Wisconsin: Biden 52% Trump 43%
Minnesota: Biden 50% Trump 43%
Pennsylvania: Biden 49% Trump 45%
Georgia: Biden 49% Trump 46%
North Carolina: Biden 49% Trump 47%
Florida: Biden 49% Trump 47%
Texas: Biden 47% Trump 48%
Ohio: Biden 45% Trump 50%
Again among likely voters
It is just one pollster, but indicates just how critical turnout is, and still a very long way to go, and looking at Wisconsin in this poll, it sure doesn't seem that trumps support of vigilantism is gaining much traction
Here is a link to the data above:
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/
DonaldsRump
(7,715 posts)PA is only up by 4%. If that holds, I'll take it, though.
But OH, are you seriously that clueless?
Le Roi de Pot
(744 posts)still_one
(91,965 posts)police brutality and racial strife were recently, implies that trump's so called law and order message does not seem to have resonance
dawg day
(7,947 posts)what's that about?
Le Roi de Pot
(744 posts)Those states would be a fucking wasteland hadn't Obama/Biden rescued the Auto industry.
Dukkha
(7,341 posts)That's the patented American 30 second memory. This is the guns and Jesus land in the rust belt messing with the polls. Let's hope the blue stronghold cities carry those states for us.
Buckeyeblue
(5,491 posts)It really is about getting out the vote. I don't know what more Biden and Harris can say to make their case.
I don't understand how 43% of the people can watch the mess that is Trump and think the country is better off with him president.
I don't see it. Not this time around. It seems like 30 -35% should be his ceiling. But, hey, I could be wrong.
still_one
(91,965 posts)losing momentum
At least this poll indicates essentially no change, and definitely no convention bounce for either candidate
Also with this poll that indicates to me that most people have determined who they will vote for already
It will be interesting to see what other pollsters indicate now that the Conventions are over, and the issues in Minnesota and Wisconsin should be fully factored in
What more can Biden and Harris do you ask, get out and start campaigning safely and aggressively in various states, which they will do
OrlandoDem2
(2,064 posts)Its all about that base!!
still_one
(91,965 posts)Hassin Bin Sober
(26,273 posts)still_one
(91,965 posts)Response to still_one (Original post)
still_one This message was self-deleted by its author.
OrlandoDem2
(2,064 posts)still_one
(91,965 posts)out that Social Security is being threatened by trump and the republicans
OrlandoDem2
(2,064 posts)driving up your base vote in blue areas. We must cut their margins in SW FL, the Panhandle, and a couple other areas. We have to drive up the Biden vote in South FL, especially in Broward.
Biden must take the I-4 Corridor in Central FL by appealing to the Puerto Rican votes.
You dont win FL by trying to appeal to the whole state because its actually like 5 or 6 different states in one.
LizBeth
(9,946 posts)Polybius
(15,239 posts)He's within 4 points or less in Pennsylvania, Georgia, North Carolina, and Florida. He's ahead in Texas and Ohio. If he wins all of these states, he doesn't need Arizona: Michigan, Colorado (he lost it last time), Wisconsin, and Minnesota (he lost that last time too). I am going to be donating every extra bit of cash I can to Biden.
greenjar_01
(6,477 posts)Even when she had leads it was always like 46% - 41%, or something like that, 47%-44%.
I don't recall her being 50%, 51%, 52% in national polls at all, much less consistently. I may be wrong.