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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsNew study suggests polls are missing shy Trump voters.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-08-28/new-study-suggests-polls-are-missing-shy-trump-votersA new online study finds that Republicans and independents are twice as likely as Democrats to say they would not give their true opinion in a telephone poll question about their preference for president in the 2020 election. That raises the possibility that polls understate support for President Donald Trump.
Some 11.7% of Republicans and 10.5% independents said they would not give their true opinion, vs. 5.4% of Democrats, according to the study by CloudResearch LLC, a Queens, N.Y.-based company that conducts online market research and data collection for clients. Among the reasons they gave was that "it's dangerous to express an opinion outside of the current liberal viewpoint," according to Leib Litman, the co-chief executive officer and chief research officer.
The question of whether "shy Trump" voters were undercounted in polls before the 2016 election was part of an exhaustive post-mortem published by the American Association for Public Opinion Research. "Some Trump voters who participated in pre-election polls did not reveal themselves as Trump voters until after the election, and they outnumbered late-revealing Clinton voters," the AAPOR study said, adding, "This finding could be attributable to either late deciding or misreporting (the so-called Shy Trump effect) in the pre-election polls."
Response to ClearSky24 (Original post)
Flaleftist This message was self-deleted by its author.
bamagal62
(3,218 posts)But, will vote racist anyway? F-them.
greenjar_01
(6,477 posts)ItsjustMe
(11,170 posts)A new "online study" finds that Republicans and independents are twice as likely as Democrats to say they would not give their true opinion in a telephone poll question about their preference for president in the 2020 election.
Thekaspervote
(32,606 posts)His base is so bombastic crazy..they love the guy. They fly flags, have sinking boat parades, anti mask rallies, crazy fb groups. Theyre proud to say they will support and vote for the guy!mthey arent hiding it!
The other glaring issue here, most polls, Biden is right at or above 50%, that means there are as little as 2-4% undecideds...just not buying it
orwell
(7,754 posts)...trying to throw a scare into everyone.
There's been a lot of this lately...
DFW
(54,055 posts)Then I wouldn't be voting for Trump.
How complicated is that?
beachbumbob
(9,263 posts)are more likely understating the "shy republican Biden" voter who previously supported trump and the GOP