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ClearSky24

(230 posts)
Fri Sep 18, 2020, 01:08 AM Sep 2020

New study suggests polls are missing shy Trump voters.

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-08-28/new-study-suggests-polls-are-missing-shy-trump-voters

Republicans and independents may be less likely than Democrats to state their true preference for president, research finds.

A new online study finds that Republicans and independents are twice as likely as Democrats to say they would not give their true opinion in a telephone poll question about their preference for president in the 2020 election. That raises the possibility that polls understate support for President Donald Trump.

Some 11.7% of Republicans and 10.5% independents said they would not give their true opinion, vs. 5.4% of Democrats, according to the study by CloudResearch LLC, a Queens, N.Y.-based company that conducts online market research and data collection for clients. Among the reasons they gave was that "it's dangerous to express an opinion outside of the current liberal viewpoint," according to Leib Litman, the co-chief executive officer and chief research officer.

The question of whether "shy Trump" voters were undercounted in polls before the 2016 election was part of an exhaustive post-mortem published by the American Association for Public Opinion Research. "Some Trump voters who participated in pre-election polls did not reveal themselves as Trump voters until after the election, and they outnumbered late-revealing Clinton voters," the AAPOR study said, adding, "This finding could be attributable to either late deciding or misreporting (the so-called Shy Trump effect) in the pre-election polls."
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New study suggests polls are missing shy Trump voters. (Original Post) ClearSky24 Sep 2020 OP
This message was self-deleted by its author Flaleftist Sep 2020 #1
So, they are ashamed they are racists? bamagal62 Sep 2020 #2
ROFL greenjar_01 Sep 2020 #3
New study ItsjustMe Sep 2020 #4
The last published study I saw said the hidden dotard voter was non existent Thekaspervote Sep 2020 #5
Just another low post count... orwell Sep 2020 #6
this obamanut2012 Sep 2020 #9
If I were too ashamed to say I would be voting for Trump DFW Sep 2020 #7
pure bullshit and just another article meant to inflict doubt. Ifanything, the polls are beachbumbob Sep 2020 #8
your concern is noted obamanut2012 Sep 2020 #10

Response to ClearSky24 (Original post)

ItsjustMe

(11,170 posts)
4. New study
Fri Sep 18, 2020, 01:16 AM
Sep 2020

A new "online study" finds that Republicans and independents are twice as likely as Democrats to say they would not give their true opinion in a telephone poll question about their preference for president in the 2020 election.

Thekaspervote

(32,606 posts)
5. The last published study I saw said the hidden dotard voter was non existent
Fri Sep 18, 2020, 01:32 AM
Sep 2020

His base is so bombastic crazy..they love the guy. They fly flags, have sinking boat parades, anti mask rallies, crazy fb groups. They’re proud to say they will support and vote for the guy!mthey aren’t hiding it!

The other glaring issue here, most polls, Biden is right at or above 50%, that means there are as little as 2-4% undecideds...just not buying it

orwell

(7,754 posts)
6. Just another low post count...
Fri Sep 18, 2020, 02:28 AM
Sep 2020

...trying to throw a scare into everyone.

There's been a lot of this lately...

DFW

(54,055 posts)
7. If I were too ashamed to say I would be voting for Trump
Fri Sep 18, 2020, 02:40 AM
Sep 2020

Then I wouldn't be voting for Trump.

How complicated is that?

 

beachbumbob

(9,263 posts)
8. pure bullshit and just another article meant to inflict doubt. Ifanything, the polls are
Fri Sep 18, 2020, 07:04 AM
Sep 2020

are more likely understating the "shy republican Biden" voter who previously supported trump and the GOP

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