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Sat Oct 17, 2020, 07:13 PM

Democrats Don't Need To Win Georgia, Iowa, Ohio Or Texas -- But They Could

Just eight years ago, it would have been weird to put Iowa and Ohio in the same electoral category as Georgia and Texas. In the 2012 election, President Obama won Iowa by 6 percentage points and Ohio by 3 points while losing Georgia by 8 and Texas by 16.

Fast-forward to 2020, which is looking about as blue as 2018 — and perhaps even more so — and all four states look competitive. You can see that in the latest polls. Morning Consult surveys released this week showed President Trump with just a 2-point lead in Georgia and Texas, and a 3-point lead in Ohio. A CBS News/YouGov poll had Biden and Trump tied in Iowa. Those are just a few polls, obviously, but they largely match the FiveThirtyEight polling averages in each of these states.

Biden doesn’t need to carry these states — he can win a comfortable Electoral College victory without carrying them. Trump does need them, however — but he also needs bluer states like Florida, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin to win reelection. Similarly, Democrats can win a Senate majority without carrying any of the four Senate seats up for grabs in these states (none in Ohio but two in Georgia).


https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/democrats-dont-need-to-win-georgia-iowa-ohio-or-texas-but-they-could/

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Reply Democrats Don't Need To Win Georgia, Iowa, Ohio Or Texas -- But They Could (Original post)
634-5789 Saturday OP
philf99 Saturday #1
SWBTATTReg Saturday #2
brer cat Saturday #3
Wounded Bear Saturday #4
Sherman A1 Saturday #6
helpisontheway Saturday #5
moonscape Saturday #7

Response to 634-5789 (Original post)

Sat Oct 17, 2020, 07:27 PM

1. The blue tsunami

May be so strong, I think he carries all of them

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Response to 634-5789 (Original post)

Sat Oct 17, 2020, 07:29 PM

2. Welcome to the bandwagon, Iowa, Ohio, TX and Georgia!!!!

Every little bit that helps Mr. Biden seal trump's doom is appreciated. trump's incompetence is dragging him down and people see the fool for what he really is...an incompetent mess.

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Response to 634-5789 (Original post)

Sat Oct 17, 2020, 07:33 PM

3. The Democrats in these states need a win!

We have wandered in the wilderness long enough.

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Response to brer cat (Reply #3)

Sat Oct 17, 2020, 07:35 PM

4. Copy that!

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Response to brer cat (Reply #3)

Sat Oct 17, 2020, 07:45 PM

6. Agreed

It would be demoralizing for the republicans to lose someplace like Georgia.

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Response to 634-5789 (Original post)

Sat Oct 17, 2020, 07:35 PM

5. We need to pick up something if we lose PA..the campaign

only has plus 4.6 for PA. Trump is there constantly. They are fighting hard for PA. Biden needs to be there a lot. Thank goodness Obama will be there on Monday.

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Response to 634-5789 (Original post)

Sat Oct 17, 2020, 07:47 PM

7. We need down-ballot n/t

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