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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region Forums538 "Both Candidates Might Fall Short Of 270 Electoral Votes On Election Night. But How Close Might
Both Candidates Might Fall Short Of 270 Electoral Votes On Election Night. But How Close Might They Get?
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/both-candidates-might-fall-short-of-270-electoral-votes-on-election-night-but-how-close-might-they-get/
Just going to put the headers - read for the text and graphs
Georgia is the race to watch at 7 p.m.
North Carolina could be a bellwether at 7:30 p.m.
A flurry of results at 8 p.m., including vital swing states
Texas and Arizona are the big prizes at 9 p.m.
Tight races and slow counts in the 10 p.m. hour
11 p.m. states are all deep red or deep blue
Alaska and Hawaii wont tell us much
mr_lebowski
(33,643 posts)Trump has WAY more power to force issues in the days after.
Biden needs to win that night.
Tribetime
(4,670 posts)zackymilly
(2,375 posts)getagrip_already
(14,250 posts)Trump needs FL, GA, AND NC for any of his paths to work. If he loses any of them, he is pushing up daisies no matter what kinds of games he plays.
Joe can win without any of them through multiple paths. So while neither will get to 270 unless they have a very good or very russian night, we will likely know trumps chances earlier than later.
Just don't put any of those states on your drinking card.
SomedayKindaLove
(524 posts)Are swing/swingish states that allow mail in ballots to be counted before the election. Doesnt mean they have to, but they can.
The other swing states dont start counting mail in ballots until Election Day. Some may even wait until after the polls close to start counting.
PA Gov Wolf thinks a majority of the PA votes should be counted by Friday. Tuesday night could very well be and end as a red mirage.
Right now Ill be looking at North Carolina-Florida-Arizona-Nevada-Montana on election night for an early indication of how this might all end.
vsrazdem
(2,176 posts)and my mail in vote has been received, signature verified and counted. Just wanted to be sure.
doc03
(35,148 posts)NRaleighLiberal
(59,940 posts)watch for each hour.