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More bad news for trump. Stocks did way better under Obama (Original Post) captain queeg Nov 2020 OP
K&R Blue Owl Nov 2020 #1
....and under Bill Clinton Stallion Nov 2020 #2
S&P 500 down between July 31 and Oct 31 -- a predictor that indicates a Biden win progree Nov 2020 #3

Stallion

(6,473 posts)
2. ....and under Bill Clinton
Sun Nov 1, 2020, 11:04 PM
Nov 2020

in fact you can go back 100 years and the Stock Market has done about twice as much better under the Democratic Party

progree

(10,864 posts)
3. S&P 500 down between July 31 and Oct 31 -- a predictor that indicates a Biden win
Mon Nov 2, 2020, 12:39 AM
Nov 2020
https://www.cnn.com/2020/11/01/investing/stock-market-joe-biden-donald-trump-election/index.html
The stock market has made its prediction about who will win the election, CNN, 11/1/20

The presidential election is just two days away and the stock market has locked-in its prediction, according to one indicator.

The S&P 500 (SPX) fell 0.04% between July 31 and October 31. That means the market forecasts -- by a hair -- that Joe Biden will win, according to CFRA Research's Presidential Predictor.

The stock market has a fairly reliable track record: Since World War II, when the S&P 500 fell in the three months leading up to the November vote during a presidential election year, the incumbent president or party of the outgoing president has lost the election 88% of the time.

Similarly, when the S&P 500 rises during that period, the incumbent or party of the outgoing president has won 82% of the time.

The stock market had been predicting a Trump victory until Friday, when the S&P 500 tumbled 1.2%. That was just enough to send stocks negative over the past three months, giving the razor-thin edge to Biden.


Anyway, I found it interesting that the market's been down over the last 3 months, if only slightly.
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