Daily Kos: GOP Collapses in Virginia.

[RandySF]

The Washington Post just posted their final poll of the Virginia campaign (9/22 results in parenthesis):

Governor
McAuliffe (D) 51 (47)
Cuccinelli (R) 39 (39)

Lt Gov
Northam (D) 52 (45)
Jackson (R) 39 (42)

Attorney General
Herring (D) 49 (45)
Obenshain (R) 46 (42)

Democratic Party: 50 fav, 48 unfav
Republican Party: 32 fav, 65 unfav

Virginia voters have had one of the clearest contrasts between candidates imaginable: Terry McAuliffe running an explicitly liberal campaign, and Ken Cuccinelli running a hardcore conservative one. It's what both bases have been demanding, and both candidates have delivered.

Only one side will emerge next Tuesday validated, and it looks like it will be our side. And it's not just the governor's race, but the lieutenant governor's and attorney's general races as well. And it's not just them, either. Look at those party numbers! They point to big gains in the legislature, which is why we're pushing hard for our mini-slate of state lege candidates.


http://www.dailykos.com/story/2013/10/28/1251378/-GOP-collapses-in-Virginia

[Xipe Totec]

1. Yes, Virginia, there is a Santa Claus. nt

[longship]

17. ROFL! Nicely played. nt

[BluegrassStateBlues]

2. Good news. The state houses are just as important. nt

[JI7]

3. also "near future in texas"

[Uncle Joe]

4. Kicked and recommended.

Thanks for the thread, RandySF.

[okaawhatever]

5. Two very important lessons the gop needs to learn from this. 1. Don't shut down the federal

government and expect the state with the highest number of federal employees to vote for your party.
2. Banning oral sex is just bad policy.

[whttevrr]

9. LOL!

[Jamaal510]

20. #2 (cont'd)

and contradictory to their message of "freedom".

[kestrel91316]

24. ^^^THIS^^^

[Fawke Em]

32. Banning oral sex isn't only bad policy...

it's bad husbandry.

Our body parts are sometimes on the outside, too.

[okaawhatever]

36. lol. yep. nt

[Aerows]

38. You'd think they would have gotten a clue

when the woman that was a witch ran on the "outlaw masturbation" idea and lost what was supposed to be a solid Republican seat got her behind handed to her that they would have learned. But no, trust conservatives to do the same thing over and over again with the same results and just think "we need to do it more this time".

[Heather MC]

6. We haven't won yet Vote!

[BlueStreak]

7. This could have huge consequences on 2016 election (and maybe 2014)

Virginia has been one of the states trying electoral dirty tricks. McAuliffe should be able to completely shut that down even without a blue legislature. This could take VA out of the swing state category altogether. If VA had not been considered in play down the stretch in 2012, the press would not have been able to play that out as a close horse race.

If we can solidify WI, OH, PA, and MI, there will simply be no way for a Republican to win the WH unless there is a huge disparity in the quality of candidates.

[okaawhatever]

37. Absolutely. I have no doubt they are still going to try to split the electoral college voting rules

for certain states. Virginia is one of those states. Their plan was to issue the electoral votes by congressional district. Since the districts are gerrymandered, the net effect was the minority candidate would receive about 75% of the electoral votes. A Democratic governor would be able to veto that law.

[BlueStreak]

39. They tried that in PA, and probably will again.

That's another reason why the 2014 elections are very important. I think Corbett is up for re-election in 2014.

[Aerows]

40. VA depends on defense dollars

for a large number of families in the state. When they shut down the government, they screwed over VA families, and those people vote. It's no wonder poll numbers plummeted. They peed in the face of the electorate that voted them in office with the shut down.

[onenote]

44. Win or lose, Virginia is going to stay a swing state

Over the past 20 years, Virginia has established itself as a solidly purple state when it comes to statewide elections. Republicans George Allen and Jim Gilmore cruised to victory in 1993 and 1997. Then Mark Warner and Tim Kaine turned things around for the Democrats in 2001 and 2005. And then Republican Bob McDonnell crushed the Democratic Party candidate, Creigh Deeds in 2009.

It looks like McCauliffe is set to take the statehouse back for the Democrats in 2013. But it hardly signifies that the state has become a blue state. Typically, when the repubs field a candidate who is not a scary crazy guy, their candidate gets between 56 and 58 percent of the vote. The best that the Democrats typically are able to do is around 52 percent. There is clearly a swing vote of around 8-10 percent that determines the elections and they are less driven by party identification than by whether the candidate seems "moderate" to them.

The repubs have shot themselves in the foot a couple of times now by selecting their nominees via convention rather than primary, thus empowering the crazies to control the decision. If this year's governor's race turns out the way it appears it will turn out, there is likely to be a civil war within the Virginia republican party. If the more "moderate' (and I use that term advisedly when referring to repubs) group, represented by someone like former Lieutenant Governor Bolling, prevails, the party will be competitive again. But if not, then the nutjobs will continue to scare away the swing voters. Let's just be thankful the nutjogs got their way for this election. A Bolling/McCauliffe race would look much much different I suspect.

[BlueStreak]

46. I'm not so sure

We cannot ever take anything for granted. But the population growth is clearly in the DC area, and this is a lot more Democratic than the rest of the state. So I think that shift already was moving things our direction. Unless there is a big disparity in candidates (Presidential and Senators), this should be at least deep, deep purple going forward. The Congressional delegation and the state legislature is a different matter.

[RainDog]

8. The more people learn about the "new" Republican Party

The more they despise it.

good news.

[SummerSnow]

22. Oh you mean the NuRepublikkkan party?

[Fawke Em]

34. Well, according to Kooch... there's no Likkin' to it.

Ya know... no oral sex.

[ProSense]

10. Battle of the surrogates.

McAullife had Bill Clinton. His opponent had this nut:

Paul Warns of Logan's Run Type Future in VA
http://www.democraticunderground.com/10023937140

[grasswire]

11. If only Cantor were running this year. nt

[SummerSnow]

23. ha

http://www.estergoldberg.com/.a/6a0105349ca980970c017c35351e6c970b-500wi

[Coyotl]

12. Hilarious. They did it to themselves.

[Tarheel_Dem]

13. Let's hope all these RV's show up.

[freshwest]

14. Looking forward to the results on Wednesday...

[libdem4life]

15. Did Santorum show up to save the day???? You know, a few photo ops for 2016??? LOL.

[sheshe2]

16. Kicking!

We can do this and then move to the next one!

Good news randy, thank you.

[Liberal_Stalwart71]

18. I'm worried about Herring, though. Going down there this weekend to GOTV still. Not getting

complacent in the least. I don't trust the Rethugs at all!!

[aggiesal]

19. Beware of the red wave . . .

those voting machines can flip up to 8% of the votes!

[NCarolinawoman]

21. ...and it's important to get a Democratic Attorney General.

We still have a Democrat in that position here in NC. According to polls, he will probably be our next Governor.

We also still have Democrats in the positions of Secretary of State and Treasurer.

Keep up the good work, Virginians. Keep it going!

[Left Coast2020]

25. If we win both governor and AG races, it will likely be a omen to 2014.

Was trying to think of another election somewhere, but I may be confusing it with Booker who just won.

But the other thought is, this may be an indication of how badly the tea freaks--and Cruz--pissed off "Indy" voters by shutting down the country.

I just hope this carries over till next year to the point "D's" win Texas.

[blue-wave]

26. This is looking

really good. Peaking at just the right time....7 days or less before election day.

[MADem]

27. It ain't over till it's over. Folks in VA need to GOTV. No sitting on laurels. nt

[Scurrilous]

28. K & R

[Hutzpa]

29. wow

Terry is going to be a Governor of Virginia, proud of him and the campaign he has run.

GOTV

[mountain grammy]

30. GOTV. Virginia! We're counting on you! Taking our country back one state at a time.

[Change has come]

31. Fantastic!

[Warren DeMontague]

33. Apparently outlawing oral sex is not as popular as the GOP had hoped.

[Arugula Latte]

42. But no one could have predicted that orgasms would prove to be popular.

No one.

Like Jerome Corsi says, "sex isn't about fun."

http://freakoutnation.com/2013/08/31/tea-party-speaker-sex-isnt-about-fun-if-you-want-to-have-fun-read-a-book/

[sigmasix]

35. voting machines in VA?

does virginia use diebold voting machines? It would be pretty easy to steal the VA election and use it to claim additional, non polling support. And teabaggers have no moral compunctions about usurping democratic choice.

[onenote]

43. We have new machines in our precinct

I don't know the technical term but they use a paper ballot that you fill out (by filling in circles with a pen) and then feed into a machine. Presumably its some form of scanner, but the paper ballot is preserved.

[Arugula Latte]

41. Republicans, your war on women, gays, minorities and gubmint workers has been a resounding success!

Congratulations on your brilliant strategery!

[FSogol]

45. Don't get complacent, VA DUers. We still need to GOTV.