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Wed Nov 2, 2016, 01:30 AM

Moody's say 332

10 replies, 1018 views

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Arrow 10 replies Author Time Post
Reply Moody's say 332 (Original post)
malaise Nov 2016 OP
Charles Bukowski Nov 2016 #1
malaise Nov 2016 #2
Charles Bukowski Nov 2016 #7
writes3000 Nov 2016 #4
Warpy Nov 2016 #3
mahina Nov 2016 #5
malaise Nov 2016 #6
BlueMTexpat Nov 2016 #8
DemonGoddess Nov 2016 #9
malaise Nov 2016 #10

Response to malaise (Original post)

Wed Nov 2, 2016, 01:35 AM

1. Yet everyone continues to hang

 

on Nate Silver's every word.

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Response to Charles Bukowski (Reply #1)

Wed Nov 2, 2016, 01:36 AM

2. I'm a Nate Silver fan

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Response to malaise (Reply #2)

Wed Nov 2, 2016, 01:58 AM

7. He knows his stuff, no question

 

But his prediction models have been way too noisy this election cycle.

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Response to Charles Bukowski (Reply #1)

Wed Nov 2, 2016, 01:44 AM

4. I'm so glad I don't live on his every word. I rarely go to his site.

I've grown tired and cynical of his running commentary.

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Response to malaise (Original post)

Wed Nov 2, 2016, 01:41 AM

3. I'd rather see the system shocked down to its loafers

and see her break 400.

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Response to Warpy (Reply #3)

Wed Nov 2, 2016, 01:49 AM

5. Looking at you, Texas

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Response to Warpy (Reply #3)

Wed Nov 2, 2016, 01:50 AM

6. Was telling a friend that earlier

She's in full panic mode

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Response to malaise (Original post)

Wed Nov 2, 2016, 04:27 AM

8. While I follow Nate and

mostly like what he has to say, I have more confidence in Sam Wang's models at the PEC. http://election.princeton.edu/

Both sites have consistently been predicting a solid win probability for Hillary. I honestly believe, however, that both are actually lowballing the electoral vote totals that Hillary will win, likely because they have not factored in Hillary's outstanding ground game networks enough. After all, Trump has basically alienated GOP networks that would traditionally be canvassing for him. Yes, he's given a free pass and free press by the broadcast media, which drives us all crazy, but when it comes to actual voting, I believe that the tables will be turned.

GOTV and show me that my opinion is correct! Please!!!!!

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Response to BlueMTexpat (Reply #8)

Wed Nov 2, 2016, 04:33 AM

9. ^^^This!!!

PEC has become my goto first thing to check on the state of things.

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Response to BlueMTexpat (Reply #8)

Wed Nov 2, 2016, 05:17 AM

10. Well said

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