What gives us hope if GOP gets 50% of GA 6 vote tonight?

[LAS14]

Why would we expect Ossoff to win a runoff?

[MFM008]

1. Don't be a buzzkill

We knew it was going to be difficult because republicans
And those who voted for them are morons.

[Heartstrings]

2. At least he's IN the run off!....nt

[DefenseLawyer]

3. I wouldn't expect it.

Still, 50% in Newt's district is a pretty good sign over all. But at some point it was got to be more than "a good showing" for these elections to mean anything.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

4. Ossoff will have 49% or more and scattered Dems got 1%

In the run off Handel is going to need every Republican who voted against her because she is a RINO and a lot more.

[Ezior]

10. A RINO? Hm.

According to wikipedia:
Anti-Abortion
Anti-LGBT (even against civil unions)
"Repeal Obamacare" (whatever that means nowadays)
No way to legal citizenship for undocumented immigrants

Sounds quite Republican, so why "in name only"? In Germany's political spectrum, the first 3 mentioned issues combined would put her well into "radical right wing extremist" territory. The last one is quite mainstream within our conservative parties though.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

13. If you are a Republican and only slightly to the right of Genghis Khan you're considered a RIN0.

[physioex]

26. Although that poster is correct....

It from the center left not center right.

[still_one]

27. LOL

[Ezior]

5. Some of the republican voters like R-X, but not R-Handel

According to Wikipedia, Karen Handel is the best R candidate for Ossoff to win the runoff:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Georgia%27s_6th_congressional_district_special_election,_2017#Runoff

4 out of 6 polls favor Ossoff in the Ossoff vs. Handel runoff
1 is tied
1 out of 6 favors Handel

[grantcart]

6. Handel is considered a terrible campaigner

[DemocratSinceBirth]

8. She's a RINO.

She will have to choose between hugging Trump or pushing him away.

[LaydeeBug]

7. perzactly. And they will fuck with the votes

until we start talking about it, there will only be near misses and could have beens.

[oasis]

9. (1) Ossoff gets max exposure from today's election. That means more

donor dollars. (2)The weather will likely improve for the runoff, which will favor the Democratic candidate.
(3) Trump's "trust and honesty" numbers will surely drop by the time the next election rolls around.

[BannonsLiver]

15. It also means the GOP will drop about $10 or $15 milion between now and then

And the race will become fully nationalized. I don't see Ossoff winning the runoff, unfortunately. Republicans always always always fall in line in these situations. I would love to be wrong though and with any luck I will be. He's a great candidate but I think the best shot at this was to win it tonight.

[oasis]

17. I don't pity the GOP candidate who is forced to defend Trump

in the weeks approaching the runoff.

"Hummana, humanna humanna".

[LAS14]

31. Was weather an issue in this primary? How? nt

[oasis]

32. News showed pouring rain in some northern precincts. I don't

live anywhere near the area, but the rain appeared to be coming down hard enough to discourage "fair weather" type voters.

[duncang]

11. How about there are other democrats and independents running against him.

Very little chance the democrats would be splitting off and voting repub. in a follow up election. Then look at it none of the repub's are even close percentage wise. So why would someone even go to toss in the towel before the elections are already over?

[yallerdawg]

12. Hope!

This 50/50 split just gave a lot more Republicans no reason to support repeal of "Obamacare"!

[DemocratSinceBirth]

14. What am I missing?

Worst case- Ossoff get 49%, Handel gets 18%.

I rather be in Ossoff's shoes as 49 is much closer to 50.

[yallerdawg]

19. 50% Democrat, 50% Republican.

When this is over, you can bet the Republicans won't be looking for a third party or peevishly sitting at home for the runoff.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

20. 49% for Ossoff. 18% for Handel.

She has to get all of the remaining 33%. Ossoff only a smidgen.

[yallerdawg]

21. If Ossoff doesn't get 50% plus 1, it goes to a runoff with Handel in June.

All Handel needed to do was come in second.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

22. I rather go to Vegas with 49 dollars...

I rather go to Vegas with 49 dollars and try to come home with 50 dollars than go to Vegas with 18 dollars and try to come home with 50 dollars.

I get it. Dems vote for Dems and Deplorables vote for Deplorables but the Deplorables have to be perfect.

[yallerdawg]

24. This has been a Republican district since 1978 when Newt Gingrich elected.

Tom Price, our new Secretary of Health and Human Services, won the last 7 times. The Corrupt One won this district. Georgia is a Red state.

This is really Ossoff's best chance.

If it goes to a runoff, I'd stay out of Vegas with this bet.

[JI7]

16. the Republican won by double digits just last year

[pnwmom]

18. There were 3 other Dems. If enough of them joined him . . . n/t

[Bucky]

23. It's not a closed system. You have to understand it's about enthusiasm and getting people to vote

[dsc]

25. Several reasons

One turnout in the runoff will be lower and the momentum seems to be on our side. Two, there were other Democrats than him on the list and thus the Dem vote tonight might wind up higher than the GOP vote, though it might not. Three, because of the nature of this race (only one of him and a bunch of them) nearly all of the attack ads were run against him that won't be true in a one on one race. It will be a heavy lift and I would rate his chances as a coin flip at best if there is a run off but for that district to be a coin flip is unreal. I was in elementary school when that district was last represented by a Democrat.

[applegrove]

28. Trump will have been in power another 3 months... breaking the middle class

even more than he has tried in the first 3 months of his presidency.

[OnDoutside]

29. Yes, that's the best reason for hope, it's unlikely Trump

Will do a lot to benefit the voters of the 6th between now and then. Maybe we might even get a few arrests in the Russia scandal. There's hope.

I hope Ossof rents an apartment in the 6th, to take that whinge away.

[Demonaut]

30. the repugs ran many tonite, their CUMULATIVE loss show they are in real trouble