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napi21

(45,806 posts)
Tue May 30, 2017, 10:52 PM May 2017

Frightening words on 538 reguarding the Ga. 6th vote here in Ga.

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/black-voters-arent-turning-out-for-the-post-obama-democratic-party/?ex_cid=538fb


Black Voters Aren’t Turning Out For The Post-Obama Democratic Part


(snip)

But the Georgia 6 April primary was a continuation of some 2016 turnout trends too — trends that should worry Democrats. In 2016, turnout among whites was up across the country, and in highly educated areas like the 6th District in the suburbs of Atlanta. This redounded to Democrats’ advantage. At the same time, black turnout was down precipitously, from 66 percent in 2012 to 59 percent in 2016. This black-white turnout gap continued in the first round of Georgia’s special election, where the Democrats got impressive turnout levels from all races and ethnicities — except African-Americans.



I don't THINK the majority of people in Dist. 6 are black, but if this is true, is there something we still can do since early voting started yesterday I think.
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Frightening words on 538 reguarding the Ga. 6th vote here in Ga. (Original Post) napi21 May 2017 OP
GA 6 Demographics onenote May 2017 #1
I didn't have the actual #'s so thanks. It's close to what I thought. I'm just hoping Jon Oskoff napi21 May 2017 #2
But why aren't they turning out? marylandblue May 2017 #3
They are if you use a pre-Obama baseline. L. Coyote May 2017 #5
Written by a former Bush and RNC operative (quoted from link below): hatrack May 2017 #4

onenote

(42,374 posts)
1. GA 6 Demographics
Tue May 30, 2017, 10:58 PM
May 2017

72.4% White, 13.4% Black, 9.3% Asian, 0.2% Native American

11.8% Hispanic

Adds up to more than 100% because some of the black population is Hispanic.

napi21

(45,806 posts)
2. I didn't have the actual #'s so thanks. It's close to what I thought. I'm just hoping Jon Oskoff
Tue May 30, 2017, 11:06 PM
May 2017

can win and the actual voting day is getting sooo close! I've sent Jon as much as I could to help him win. Now I'm just scared!

marylandblue

(12,344 posts)
3. But why aren't they turning out?
Tue May 30, 2017, 11:12 PM
May 2017

They went for Hillary over Bernie, and yiu'd think the a Trump presidency would be strong motivation.

hatrack

(59,439 posts)
4. Written by a former Bush and RNC operative (quoted from link below):
Tue May 30, 2017, 11:14 PM
May 2017

Patrick Ruffini worked as a digital strategist for George W. Bush’s 2004 campaign, and the Republican National Committee in 2006. He co-founded Echelon Insights and founded Engage.

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