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brooklynite

(93,878 posts)
Sat May 2, 2015, 10:20 PM May 2015

Little separates Tories and Labour in last Observer/Opinium poll before election

Source: The Guardian

The country is firmly on course for another hung parliament with the Tories and Labour neck and neck in the final Opinium/Observer poll before Thursday’s knife-edge general election.

With just days of campaigning to go in what promises to be the closest contest for a generation, the Conservatives enter the final stretch a point ahead of Labour, making the result too close to call.

Opinium’s findings suggest six weeks of fierce campaigning have done little to shift the share of the vote between the parties. The Tories are on 35% (up one point on last weekend) while Labour is also up one on 34%. Ukip, again defying expectations that it might fade in the late stages, is unchanged on 13%, well ahead of Nick Clegg’s Liberal Democrats on 8% (down one). The Greens are on 5% (down one) and the SNP remain on 4%.


Read more: http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2015/may/02/observer-opinium-poll-election-labour-tories-neck-and-neck
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Little separates Tories and Labour in last Observer/Opinium poll before election (Original Post) brooklynite May 2015 OP
I hope labour can come back. craigmatic May 2015 #1
My greatest fear is a Torie/UKIP coalition government. I realize that Cameron totodeinhere May 2015 #2
UKIP are predicted to get between 1 and 4 seats muriel_volestrangler May 2015 #3
Yes I understand that. The OP's poll has them at 13% but the way the UK's electoral system works totodeinhere May 2015 #4

totodeinhere

(13,037 posts)
2. My greatest fear is a Torie/UKIP coalition government. I realize that Cameron
Sun May 3, 2015, 09:58 AM
May 2015

has said that he will not let them into his government, but what if after the election he goes back on that promise so that he can stay in office? After all, politicians break promises all the time.

muriel_volestrangler

(101,158 posts)
3. UKIP are predicted to get between 1 and 4 seats
Sun May 3, 2015, 10:20 AM
May 2015

They will definitely have less MPs than the Northern Irish DUP. Their votes might possibly be needed to just get past the 323 seats needed for an effective majority for the vital votes (eg the initial "Queen's Speech" that sets out the government programme), if the Northern Ireland unionists and the Lib Dems also support the Tories, but I can't see any way a party that small will actually be in the government with an official position. The Lib Dems would withdraw their support if it was suggested.

http://may2015.com/category/seat-calculator/

totodeinhere

(13,037 posts)
4. Yes I understand that. The OP's poll has them at 13% but the way the UK's electoral system works
Sun May 3, 2015, 04:17 PM
May 2015

that doesn't necessarily mean that they will get 13% of the seats in the parliament. And thank God for that.

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