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Beastly Boy

(9,063 posts)
Sun Oct 23, 2022, 10:01 AM Oct 2022

Russia's Counterpart To NATO Is On The Brink Of Collapse

The Collective Security Treaty Organization, better known by its initials, CSTO—or by Moscow’s aspiration that it should be an equal counterpart to the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO)—is now on the brink of collapse, yet another case of the collateral damage Russia has suffered in the post-Soviet space from President Vladimir Putin’s disastrous war against Ukraine. When the CSTO was created in 1992, Russia and five other post-Soviet states were members; a year later, it had grown to nine. But in the intervening years, it contracted to six. Now it is becoming more clear that, by next year, the CSTO, which Moscow had placed so much hope in, will most likely be reduced to only three: Russia, Belarus and Tajikistan. Moreover, after Tajikistani President Emomali Rahmon’s attack on Putin at the Tashkent summit of regional leaders earlier this month, it is entirely possible that this much-ballyhooed military alliance will be left with only two members (Centralasia.media, October 14). Indeed, the signs of the collapse of this Russian project are now so obvious that one Moscow security analyst, Georgy Filin, argues that “the CSTO is repeating the fate of the Warsaw Pact” (Versia.ru, October 17).

--snip--

It is thus difficult not to accept the conclusions offered by two independent Russian analysts, Anatoly Nesmiyan, who blogs under the screen name “El Murid,” and Filin, who was cited earlier. Nesmiyan says that the situation Moscow finds itself in now with the CSTO in Central Asia and the South Caucasus “very much recalls [a similar situation] before the demise of the USSR,” with Russia pulling out and others moving in, however unwelcome that may be for the Kremlin (Bbc.com/Russian, October 10). And Filin, even more pessimistically, suggests that, today, as the CSTO situation demonstrates, “Russia does not have too many friends, even fewer partners and almost no remaining allies” (Versia.ru, October 17).


More:

https://news.yahoo.com/russia-counterpart-nato-brink-collapse-190000340.html
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Russia's Counterpart To NATO Is On The Brink Of Collapse (Original Post) Beastly Boy Oct 2022 OP
From what I'm reading .... Lovie777 Oct 2022 #1
It is not surprising that the current and former CSTO members are weary Beastly Boy Oct 2022 #3
Exactly! PortTack Oct 2022 #5
Good! Let it happen quickly! Frustratedlady Oct 2022 #2
Breakaway factions in former USSR nations, hear my plea EYESORE 9001 Oct 2022 #4

Lovie777

(11,992 posts)
1. From what I'm reading ....
Sun Oct 23, 2022, 10:05 AM
Oct 2022

CSTO, at least some favor Ukraine and know this is actually a unprovoked attack on them.

Russia attacking a independent country brings total fear for other countries in the region. Putin is definitely a madman.

Beastly Boy

(9,063 posts)
3. It is not surprising that the current and former CSTO members are weary
Sun Oct 23, 2022, 10:32 AM
Oct 2022

of Russia taking liberties with the territorial integrity of its neighbors. What is notable is how open their defiance of Russia has become lately. They all realize how weak Russia has become militarily, politically, and economically, and how ineffective, if not downright detrimental to their interests, their alliance with Russia may become soon. With the exception of Belarus, it is easy to see how these former Soviet republics and even Russia's current autonomous regions in Central Asia and the Far East may find China and Turkey as more reliable and beneficial allies.

EYESORE 9001

(25,812 posts)
4. Breakaway factions in former USSR nations, hear my plea
Sun Oct 23, 2022, 10:33 AM
Oct 2022

May I recommend a ‘soft target’ that would strike at the heart of the adversary: their cybercrime enterprise. Attacking that infrastructure would make pooty cry.

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