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Hillary Clinton
Related: About this forumAl Giordano: PA +10 looks more realistic
He's usually right, so to tamp down what may be unrealistic expectations....
AlGiordano ?@AlGiordano 42m42 minutes ago
The demographic modeling done by @benchmarkpol w PA +10 looks to me more realistic than +27
http://www.benchmarkpolitics.com/2016/04/pennsylvania-final-county-benchmarks.html?m=1
The demographic modeling done by @benchmarkpol w PA +10 looks to me more realistic than +27
http://www.benchmarkpolitics.com/2016/04/pennsylvania-final-county-benchmarks.html?m=1
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Al Giordano: PA +10 looks more realistic (Original Post)
Rose Siding
Apr 2016
OP
Absolutely. My point in mentioning it is that if her win isn't as big as advertised, it gets spun
Rose Siding
Apr 2016
#3
Every primary where Hillary wins raises the bar for Sanders to get passed.
Thinkingabout
Apr 2016
#2
CrowCityDem
(2,348 posts)1. It's still plenty to put the final nail in this campaign season.
Rose Siding
(32,623 posts)3. Absolutely. My point in mentioning it is that if her win isn't as big as advertised, it gets spun
as being bad for her, like he's gaining or something when actually one of the polls is off.
CrowCityDem
(2,348 posts)4. I don't think anyone is seriously going to believe the +27 spread is real.
Thinkingabout
(30,058 posts)2. Every primary where Hillary wins raises the bar for Sanders to get passed.
In the states where there is large delegate counts it hurts him more. I still want to get the results from California and DC, more votes for Hillary and more delegates.
NastyRiffraff
(12,448 posts)5. I'll take it!
+10 is just fine. Big chunks of PA are rural; Sanders will probably get a lot of that. Hillary will dominate the urban/suburban areas.
Tarheel_Dem
(31,207 posts)6. +10 works for me.
Walk away
(9,494 posts)7. I have a real world bet down for double digits!
So it has to be a minimum 10%