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NH Polls: CNN/WMUR Sanders +23, UMass Sanders +17, ARG Sanders +11 (Original Post) Jarqui Feb 2016 OP
But DON'T QUIT!!.. pangaia Feb 2016 #1
Ok, WTH on National polls.... Erich Bloodaxe BSN Feb 2016 #2
Same thing with RCP. thomservo Feb 2016 #7
Enjoy NH while you can. :-) Alfresco Feb 2016 #3
... Jarqui Feb 2016 #5
As Tony Beets would say...Lets make it happening on Tuesday n/t HereSince1628 Feb 2016 #4
It's hard to project a result from polling in NH because it's such a blowout that many independents Attorney in Texas Feb 2016 #6
Agreed, the likely voter models are much harder here. Motown_Johnny Feb 2016 #8
The size of Sanders win in up in the air. Attorney in Texas Feb 2016 #9

Erich Bloodaxe BSN

(14,733 posts)
2. Ok, WTH on National polls....
Sun Feb 7, 2016, 12:24 PM
Feb 2016

For several days now, I've been waiting for Huffpo Pollster to add the 48 Clinton 45 Sanders Reuters/Ipsos poll to their rolling averages tracker. Go back and check yet again, and suddenly there's a Rasmussen poll added with Clinton 50, Sanders 32, and still no sign of the Reuters/Ipsos poll. What's up with that? I saw AP stories about the Reuters poll, it exists, but it doesn't count for Huffpo?

Attorney in Texas

(3,373 posts)
6. It's hard to project a result from polling in NH because it's such a blowout that many independents
Sun Feb 7, 2016, 12:33 PM
Feb 2016

who support Sanders see that he's 99% likely to win (according to 538 and betting markets, etc.) will likely crossover to vote against Cruz or Trump because the Republican contest is so much tighter in New Hampshire.

 

Motown_Johnny

(22,308 posts)
8. Agreed, the likely voter models are much harder here.
Sun Feb 7, 2016, 12:58 PM
Feb 2016

The size of the margin will mostly be determined by how many unlikely voters turn out for the (D) primary.


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