2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumPOLL UPDATE 2016 New York Democratic Presidential Primary - Clinton 52%, Sanders 42% (Siena College)
(Siena College 4/6-4/11)
Population 538 Likely Voters - Democrat
Margin of Error ±4.5 percentage points
Polling Method Live Phone
http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/polls/siena-24265
GeorgiaPeanuts
(2,353 posts)Buzz Clik
(38,437 posts)Quinnipiac: Mar 29 -- HRC 54, BS 42
Today -- HRC 53, BS 40
So, the new Siena poll looks more like a correction than a trend. Ditto the polls from Emerson.
The race will tighten, no doubt. but let's not cherry pick our polls.
NWCorona
(8,541 posts)Buzz Clik
(38,437 posts)Not so much in closed primaries.
The reliable polling agencies are: Quinnipiac, PPP, and CBS/YouGov. The latter two will undoubtedly release their final NY polling numbers soon, and we'll see where it sits.
NWCorona
(8,541 posts)As Wisconsin proved regardless if it was a caucuse as he pulled more established dems than ever.
I'm not saying NY is a lock but it's looking better than ever for Bernie.
apnu
(8,722 posts)NurseJackie
(42,862 posts)How can a polling organization properly weight the responses if they ask only one question? And what exactly was the question?
closeupready
(29,503 posts)every single prior race in which Clinton was ahead, sometimes by 20 points, and oops, Sanders won. So K&R