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Maraya1969

(22,441 posts)
Wed Mar 26, 2014, 02:54 AM Mar 2014

If we do not push and push and push Nate Silver will be right and we will lose the senate.

http://talkingpointsmemo.com/livewire/nate-silver-gop-senate

Nate Silver revealed a new forecast on Sunday via his new venture, FiveThirtyEight.com, projecting that Republicans have about a 60 percent chance of wining at least 6 Senate seats to take control of the upper chamber in November.

When FiveThirtyEight last issued a U.S. Senate forecast — way back in July — we concluded the race for Senate control was a toss-up. That was a little ahead of the conventional wisdom at the time, which characterized the Democrats as vulnerable but more likely than not to retain the chamber.
Our new forecast goes a half-step further: We think the Republicans are now slight favorites to win at least six seats and capture the chamber. The Democrats’ position has deteriorated somewhat since last summer, with President Obama’s approval ratings down to 42 or 43 percent from an average of about 45 percent before. Furthermore, as compared with 2010 or 2012, the GOP has done a better job of recruiting credible candidates, with some exceptions.

Silver emphasizes that while his model favors the GOP, the number of seats could vary depending on several factors.
So our forecast might be thought of as a Republican gain of six seats — plus or minus five. The balance has shifted slightly toward the GOP. But it wouldn’t take much for it to revert to the Democrats, nor for this year to develop into a Republican rout along the lines of 2010.
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If we do not push and push and push Nate Silver will be right and we will lose the senate. (Original Post) Maraya1969 Mar 2014 OP
Great. What are we pushing? Scuba Mar 2014 #1
lesser of two evils.. frylock Mar 2014 #2
"Same bad policies, less corruption" has a nice ring. Scuba Mar 2014 #3
put it on a bumpersticker.. frylock Mar 2014 #5
We're doing this I guess: polichick Mar 2014 #4
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