Wed May 23, 2012, 03:37 PM
TBF (31,869 posts)
Moody's Projects That Obama Will Romp Over Romney In November
Moody's Projects That Obama Will Romp Over Romney In November
Brett LoGiurato | May 23, 2012, 9:20 AM Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/obama-romney-electoral-college-2012-projection-from-moodys-2012-5?utm_source=sailthrusuggest&utm_medium=rightrail&utm_term=&utm_content=&utm_campaign=recirc#ixzz1viuJG3OT ![]()
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24 replies, 4848 views
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Author | Time | Post |
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TBF | May 2012 | OP |
bluestateguy | May 2012 | #1 | |
TBF | May 2012 | #2 | |
WI_DEM | May 2012 | #3 | |
JoePhilly | May 2012 | #10 | |
Proud Liberal Dem | May 2012 | #4 | |
TBF | May 2012 | #7 | |
Gothmog | May 2012 | #14 | |
TBF | May 2012 | #17 | |
boxman15 | May 2012 | #20 | |
TBF | May 2012 | #21 | |
no_hypocrisy | May 2012 | #5 | |
jaysunb | May 2012 | #6 | |
libinnyandia | May 2012 | #9 | |
Moostache | May 2012 | #16 | |
Drunken Irishman | May 2012 | #8 | |
JoePhilly | May 2012 | #11 | |
Drunken Irishman | May 2012 | #12 | |
JoePhilly | May 2012 | #13 | |
Drunken Irishman | May 2012 | #15 | |
Flying Squirrel | May 2012 | #18 | |
yellowcanine | May 2012 | #19 | |
boxman15 | May 2012 | #22 | |
boxman15 | May 2012 | #23 | |
Woody Woodpecker | May 2012 | #24 |
Response to TBF (Original post)
Wed May 23, 2012, 03:41 PM
bluestateguy (44,173 posts)
1. It would be nice to have Florida
but I guess we can't get greedy.
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Response to bluestateguy (Reply #1)
Wed May 23, 2012, 03:44 PM
TBF (31,869 posts)
2. I was thinking it would be nice to have NC
after putting on a convention there ...
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Response to TBF (Original post)
Wed May 23, 2012, 03:47 PM
WI_DEM (33,497 posts)
3. NC is very doable. Polls there are neck and neck. It will come down to turnout.
Response to WI_DEM (Reply #3)
Wed May 23, 2012, 05:12 PM
JoePhilly (27,787 posts)
10. YUP ... the blue parts of NC will be out in force.
Response to TBF (Original post)
Wed May 23, 2012, 03:50 PM
Proud Liberal Dem (23,578 posts)
4. Sounds good to me.
Lets make it happen!
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Response to Proud Liberal Dem (Reply #4)
Wed May 23, 2012, 04:55 PM
TBF (31,869 posts)
7. I may not be able to do magic here in Texas -
but we are doing better then past years. GOTV is important here, helping folks get to polls etc.
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Response to TBF (Reply #7)
Wed May 23, 2012, 05:53 PM
Gothmog (126,743 posts)
14. Texas will be blue
I think that Texas will be competitive in 2016 and that the Democrats should carry Texas in 2020.
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Response to Gothmog (Reply #14)
Wed May 23, 2012, 06:14 PM
TBF (31,869 posts)
17. Well if Brazoria and Fort Bend would go blue that would
be amazing indeed! But there are areas that certainly should be blue.
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Response to TBF (Reply #7)
Fri May 25, 2012, 12:19 PM
boxman15 (1,033 posts)
20. Texas will turn blue within the next couple election cycles, no doubt in my mind.
Just keep up the good work, and maybe we can get some lower level offices turned blue this time around!
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Response to boxman15 (Reply #20)
Fri May 25, 2012, 12:24 PM
TBF (31,869 posts)
21. Good article from the 26th district on this -
Fort Bend has been called a bellwether county so often that it’s easy to become skeptical about the use of the term—even if the description is accurate. Fort Bend, which sits just southwest of Houston, is among the most diverse and fast- growing counties in Texas, part of the “Big Five” fast-growing suburban counties along with Collin, Montgomery, Denton and Williamson. It has pleasant subdivisions with genteel names like First Colony and Sugar Creek and an abundance of retail outlets along Highway 6, which barrels through Sugar Land, the heart of state House District 26. After 16 years, Republican incumbent Charlie Howard is leaving the legislative seat once held by Tom DeLay, long before he became U.S. House majority leader. Four Republicans, including two women of color, are running for the open seat. County GOP Chair Mike Gibson said the candidates have no “overriding” disagreements on policy issues and that the candidates’ backgrounds will partially determine their success. Republicans have dominated Fort Bend County for years. They still do, despite the departure of many Anglos and the arrival of many people of color and first-generation immigrants that have transformed Fort Bend into a majority-minority county. The county’s population is about 660,000, of which 36 percent is white, 24 percent Hispanic, 21 percent black and 17 percent Asian, according to the most recent U.S. Census. More here: http://www.texasobserver.org/cover-story/house-district-26-as-fort-bend-goes |
Response to TBF (Original post)
Wed May 23, 2012, 04:04 PM
no_hypocrisy (42,164 posts)
5. Are they selling derivatives for that yet?
Response to TBF (Original post)
Wed May 23, 2012, 04:51 PM
jaysunb (11,856 posts)
6. I'm betting 357-173
Fl,NC, and Mo will be in the Democratic bag....according to MY crystal ball.
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Response to jaysunb (Reply #6)
Wed May 23, 2012, 05:12 PM
libinnyandia (1,374 posts)
9. McCain won MO in 2008 with a very small margin of victory. I will be close again.
Response to libinnyandia (Reply #9)
Wed May 23, 2012, 06:12 PM
Moostache (9,746 posts)
16. MO. is out...
East Kansas outside of St. Louis, Kansas City and Columbia is a lost cause...too many pockets of completely back-ass hill-jacks with racial issues and gullibility issues to boot. I can't even tell you how depressing it is just in Dick Gephart's old district...further out from the metro area than that and you might as well be in Montana, Idaho or the actual Kansas.
I will cast my vote for McCaskill and Obama and both will lose this state by wide margins... |
Response to TBF (Original post)
Wed May 23, 2012, 04:58 PM
Drunken Irishman (34,857 posts)
8. I think FL and NC ultimately go Obama...
A lot of people thought FL was lost in '08 too but it eventually swung Obama's way.
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Response to Drunken Irishman (Reply #8)
Wed May 23, 2012, 05:13 PM
JoePhilly (27,787 posts)
11. Obama needs one of these to make it an early night.
Response to JoePhilly (Reply #11)
Wed May 23, 2012, 05:34 PM
Drunken Irishman (34,857 posts)
12. VA makes it an early night.
Response to Drunken Irishman (Reply #12)
Wed May 23, 2012, 05:36 PM
JoePhilly (27,787 posts)
13. also true.
Good news ... Romney can't win without a very long night.
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Response to JoePhilly (Reply #13)
Wed May 23, 2012, 06:03 PM
Drunken Irishman (34,857 posts)
15. OH makes it an early night too!
But you're right, while I don't see Romney winning this, if he does, it will be very narrow and not over until maybe even early morning.
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Response to Drunken Irishman (Reply #15)
Wed May 23, 2012, 08:49 PM
Flying Squirrel (3,041 posts)
18. early morning?
How bout several weeks and multiple recounts and lawsuits? Followed by a 5-4 SC decision, of course... lol thank God I don`t believe for a second it will be that close this time. Obama will win a second term. I just hope he gets to serve it
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Response to TBF (Original post)
Fri May 25, 2012, 11:19 AM
yellowcanine (35,502 posts)
19. 303 to 235 isn't real close but it is no romp. That said, I think Obama will win FL and NC also.
And maybe AZ. So it would be 358 EVs. I still think Obama has an outside chance at Indiana also - it was hit hard by the recession but has bounced back some under Obama. Unemployment there is at 7.9% for April.
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Response to TBF (Original post)
Fri May 25, 2012, 12:24 PM
boxman15 (1,033 posts)
22. If the election were held today, I think this looks about right.
We have a shot to flip Florida and North Carolina back by November, and I think we will. Also, Missouri and Arizona should be up for grabs for us, too. In this scenario, we could afford to lose all those states and Ohio and Virginia and still win, which is good news.
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Response to TBF (Original post)
Fri May 25, 2012, 12:37 PM
boxman15 (1,033 posts)
23. If the Obama campaign can just win Nevada and Colorado,
(assuming they win swing-ish states Michigan, Pennsylvania, and New Hampshire), then the Romney campaign will have to win Ohio, Florida, North Carolina, and Virginia to win. Obama is in great shape in the Electoral College.
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Response to boxman15 (Reply #23)
Fri May 25, 2012, 12:57 PM
Woody Woodpecker (562 posts)
24. Colorado will remain blue...
And we will be booting out at least 3 of 4 Rethug Reps that gotten in by the way of Teabagging, and there's been a long buyer's remorse..
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