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global1

(25,143 posts)
Sat Jan 30, 2016, 09:36 PM Jan 2016

Don't Believe The Polls....

Last edited Sun Jan 31, 2016, 12:59 AM - Edit history (1)

The establishment is trying to tamp down the turnout. Show up Monday and caucus for Bernie.

Think about it. Why would Hillary agree to more debates if she's the front runner?

Her internal polls must show she is going to lose Iowa.

Go Bernie!!!!
Feel the Bern!!!

Sorry - for some reason I was thinking Tues. That was wrong. Please disregard my unedited post.

17 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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NowSam

(1,252 posts)
7. The OP is telling people to Caucus on Tuesday
Sat Jan 30, 2016, 09:43 PM
Jan 2016

So I hope it gets corrected. I've heard of robocallers urging voters to get out and vote a day later than the actual vote in order to confuse low information voters. Then they go on the wrong day and it is too late.

I'm sure the poster didn't intend this but I hope all Iowans know... MONDAY Monday Monday!

retrowire

(10,345 posts)
3. The polls do not affect my vote in North Carolina.
Sat Jan 30, 2016, 09:39 PM
Jan 2016

Never will. I would hope anyone for Bernie wouldn't let this statistical dead heat discourage them.

The pundit's themselves said it, "Turnout is everything," Axelrod said. "If turnout is within a normal range, Hillary likely wins. If it goes higher, approaching 200,000, it will be a good night for Bernie."

retrowire

(10,345 posts)
15. as a political greenhorn
Sun Jan 31, 2016, 02:08 AM
Jan 2016

I've learned that pundits say all kinds of shit and are rarely consistent.

n2doc

(47,953 posts)
5. The only one that matters in Iowa is monday
Sat Jan 30, 2016, 09:41 PM
Jan 2016

And that one will depend on which group of voters wants it more. I think Bernie's voters do.

in_cog_ni_to

(41,600 posts)
9. Edit your OP! The caucus is MONDAY....that's an IMPORTANT point for caucus goers to know...
Sat Jan 30, 2016, 09:54 PM
Jan 2016

not that every single person in Iowa doesn't know that, but ya never know.

PEACE
LOVE
BERNIE

cui bono

(19,926 posts)
11. Can't rec this until you fix the caucus day.
Sat Jan 30, 2016, 10:05 PM
Jan 2016

This is just like the robocalls that told Dem voters to show up a day late.

.

winter is coming

(11,785 posts)
16. I believe Selzer's poll is accurate for what it measures.
Sun Jan 31, 2016, 02:14 AM
Jan 2016

She employs sound methodology. The joker in the deck is turnout. Guessing how many first-time caucus-goers will actually turn out is just that--a guess, and one that is probably weighted toward the low side, not to skew the results, but simply because you don't have any way to measure the "reliability" of people who have never turned out before.

High turnout, we win. Low turnout, probably a narrow loss. Bernie's relaxed while Hillary seems stressed. He can afford to finish a close second. She can't.

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