Bernie Sanders
Related: About this forumDon't Believe The Polls....
Last edited Sun Jan 31, 2016, 12:59 AM - Edit history (1)
The establishment is trying to tamp down the turnout. Show up Monday and caucus for Bernie.
Think about it. Why would Hillary agree to more debates if she's the front runner?
Her internal polls must show she is going to lose Iowa.
Go Bernie!!!!
Feel the Bern!!!
Sorry - for some reason I was thinking Tues. That was wrong. Please disregard my unedited post.
NowSam
(1,252 posts)I thought it was Monday, February 1st?
TDale313
(7,820 posts)NowSam
(1,252 posts)So I hope it gets corrected. I've heard of robocallers urging voters to get out and vote a day later than the actual vote in order to confuse low information voters. Then they go on the wrong day and it is too late.
I'm sure the poster didn't intend this but I hope all Iowans know... MONDAY Monday Monday!
corkhead
(6,119 posts)TDale313
(7,820 posts)This is doable. But turnout is absolutely the key.
retrowire
(10,345 posts)Never will. I would hope anyone for Bernie wouldn't let this statistical dead heat discourage them.
The pundit's themselves said it, "Turnout is everything," Axelrod said. "If turnout is within a normal range, Hillary likely wins. If it goes higher, approaching 200,000, it will be a good night for Bernie."
Stardust
(3,894 posts)retrowire
(10,345 posts)I've learned that pundits say all kinds of shit and are rarely consistent.
n2doc
(47,953 posts)And that one will depend on which group of voters wants it more. I think Bernie's voters do.
LonePirate
(13,379 posts)OkSustainAg
(203 posts)how 10% still don't know who they like.
in_cog_ni_to
(41,600 posts)not that every single person in Iowa doesn't know that, but ya never know.
PEACE
LOVE
BERNIE
CaliforniaPeggy
(149,181 posts)in_cog_ni_to
(41,600 posts)PEACE
LOVE
BERNIE
cui bono
(19,926 posts)This is just like the robocalls that told Dem voters to show up a day late.
.
bkkyosemite
(5,792 posts)winter is coming
(11,785 posts)She employs sound methodology. The joker in the deck is turnout. Guessing how many first-time caucus-goers will actually turn out is just that--a guess, and one that is probably weighted toward the low side, not to skew the results, but simply because you don't have any way to measure the "reliability" of people who have never turned out before.
High turnout, we win. Low turnout, probably a narrow loss. Bernie's relaxed while Hillary seems stressed. He can afford to finish a close second. She can't.