HomeLatest ThreadsGreatest ThreadsForums & GroupsMy SubscriptionsMy Posts
DU Home » Latest Threads » Forums & Groups » Retired » Retired Groups » Bernie Sanders (Group) » Don't Believe The Polls.....

Sat Jan 30, 2016, 09:36 PM

Don't Believe The Polls....

Last edited Sun Jan 31, 2016, 12:59 AM - Edit history (1)

The establishment is trying to tamp down the turnout. Show up Monday and caucus for Bernie.

Think about it. Why would Hillary agree to more debates if she's the front runner?

Her internal polls must show she is going to lose Iowa.

Go Bernie!!!!
Feel the Bern!!!

Sorry - for some reason I was thinking Tues. That was wrong. Please disregard my unedited post.

17 replies, 1219 views

Reply to this thread

Back to top Alert abuse

Always highlight: 10 newest replies | Replies posted after I mark a forum
Replies to this discussion thread
Arrow 17 replies Author Time Post
Reply Don't Believe The Polls.... (Original post)
global1 Jan 2016 OP
NowSam Jan 2016 #1
TDale313 Jan 2016 #4
NowSam Jan 2016 #7
corkhead Jan 2016 #17
TDale313 Jan 2016 #2
retrowire Jan 2016 #3
Stardust Jan 2016 #14
retrowire Jan 2016 #15
n2doc Jan 2016 #5
LonePirate Jan 2016 #6
OkSustainAg Jan 2016 #8
in_cog_ni_to Jan 2016 #9
CaliforniaPeggy Jan 2016 #10
in_cog_ni_to Jan 2016 #13
cui bono Jan 2016 #11
bkkyosemite Jan 2016 #12
winter is coming Jan 2016 #16

Response to global1 (Original post)

Sat Jan 30, 2016, 09:39 PM

1. Do you mean Monday?

I thought it was Monday, February 1st?

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to NowSam (Reply #1)

Sat Jan 30, 2016, 09:40 PM

4. It is. The Iowa Caucus is Monday.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to TDale313 (Reply #4)

Sat Jan 30, 2016, 09:43 PM

7. The OP is telling people to Caucus on Tuesday

So I hope it gets corrected. I've heard of robocallers urging voters to get out and vote a day later than the actual vote in order to confuse low information voters. Then they go on the wrong day and it is too late.

I'm sure the poster didn't intend this but I hope all Iowans know... MONDAY Monday Monday!

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to TDale313 (Reply #4)

Sun Jan 31, 2016, 09:52 AM

17. No, Hillary supporters caucus on Tuesday

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to global1 (Original post)

Sat Jan 30, 2016, 09:39 PM

2. It's within the margin of error.

This is doable. But turnout is absolutely the key.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to global1 (Original post)

Sat Jan 30, 2016, 09:39 PM

3. The polls do not affect my vote in North Carolina.

Never will. I would hope anyone for Bernie wouldn't let this statistical dead heat discourage them.

The pundit's themselves said it, "Turnout is everything," Axelrod said. "If turnout is within a normal range, Hillary likely wins. If it goes higher, approaching 200,000, it will be a good night for Bernie."

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to retrowire (Reply #3)

Sun Jan 31, 2016, 02:06 AM

14. Wow. Axelrod said that?!? He also said, back in June, that Bernie was like a summer fling. nt

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Stardust (Reply #14)

Sun Jan 31, 2016, 02:08 AM

15. as a political greenhorn

I've learned that pundits say all kinds of shit and are rarely consistent.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to global1 (Original post)

Sat Jan 30, 2016, 09:41 PM

5. The only one that matters in Iowa is monday

And that one will depend on which group of voters wants it more. I think Bernie's voters do.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to global1 (Original post)

Sat Jan 30, 2016, 09:43 PM

6. The caucus is Monday, not Tuesday.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to global1 (Original post)

Sat Jan 30, 2016, 09:51 PM

8. Explain to me

how 10% still don't know who they like.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to global1 (Original post)

Sat Jan 30, 2016, 09:54 PM

9. Edit your OP! The caucus is MONDAY....that's an IMPORTANT point for caucus goers to know...

not that every single person in Iowa doesn't know that, but ya never know.

PEACE
LOVE
BERNIE

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to in_cog_ni_to (Reply #9)

Sat Jan 30, 2016, 10:02 PM

10. I just sent a PM to the author. n/t

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to CaliforniaPeggy (Reply #10)

Sat Jan 30, 2016, 10:23 PM

13. Thank you, CaliforniaPeggy!



PEACE
LOVE
BERNIE

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to global1 (Original post)

Sat Jan 30, 2016, 10:05 PM

11. Can't rec this until you fix the caucus day.

This is just like the robocalls that told Dem voters to show up a day late.

.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to global1 (Original post)

Sat Jan 30, 2016, 10:09 PM

12. Monday before 7pm...do not be 1 minute late...before 7 pm..

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to global1 (Original post)

Sun Jan 31, 2016, 02:14 AM

16. I believe Selzer's poll is accurate for what it measures.

She employs sound methodology. The joker in the deck is turnout. Guessing how many first-time caucus-goers will actually turn out is just that--a guess, and one that is probably weighted toward the low side, not to skew the results, but simply because you don't have any way to measure the "reliability" of people who have never turned out before.

High turnout, we win. Low turnout, probably a narrow loss. Bernie's relaxed while Hillary seems stressed. He can afford to finish a close second. She can't.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink

Reply to this thread