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merrily

(45,251 posts)
Mon Sep 28, 2015, 04:50 AM Sep 2015

Hillary leads, but Bernie's numbers increase. So, his trend is good.

small sample; margin of error 6.1%; both Democrats and Republicans polled (for some bizarre reason)


Bernie Sanders Pulls Closer To Hillary Clinton In New Presidential Poll
He's gained ground since July.

Sam Levine
Associate Politics Editor, The Huffington Post

Posted: 09/27/2015 09:01 AM EDT

Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) narrowed the gap with former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton in a new NBC/Wall Street Journal poll.

In the poll, conducted among Democratic primary voters Sept. 20-24, Clinton led Sanders 42 percent to 35 percent. While the new poll isn't necessarily an indicator of who will win the contest, the 7-point difference shows a big change from just two months ago. In July, Clinton led Sanders by 34 percentage points, with 59 percent to his 25 percent.

Vice President Joe Biden, who is still considering whether or not to run, also earned the support of 17 percent of those surveyed. When those conducting the survey removed Biden from the field, Clinton's lead over Sanders increased -- she led him 53 percent to 38 percent.

The poll surveyed 256 Democratic voters with a margin of error of +/- 6.1 percentage points and 230 Republican primary voters with a margin of error of +/- 6.5 percentage points.


http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/bernie-sanders-hillary-clinton_5606ff75e4b0af3706dc86aa

I have no clue what this poll means. What would actually mean something: A poll of Democrats who claim to be very likely to vote in the Democratic primary, state by state.
10 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Hillary leads, but Bernie's numbers increase. So, his trend is good. (Original Post) merrily Sep 2015 OP
Bernie is eventually going to overwhelm all the poll numbers. Enthusiast Sep 2015 #1
From your keyboard to the polling booth's ears! merrily Sep 2015 #2
Debates tecelote Sep 2015 #3
Yes, and we all know the problems with the number, timing and exclusivity of debates. merrily Sep 2015 #5
It was leading on GMA a minute ago eom LiberalElite Sep 2015 #4
I'm sensing a conspiracy to actually report news may be afoot. merrily Sep 2015 #6
Leading by 15 points FloridaBlues Sep 2015 #7
Down from 34 points--and margin of error 6.1%. :shrug: merrily Sep 2015 #8
How do you know he isn't running? artislife Sep 2015 #9
Hmmm... Those numbers are like those in July in New Hampshire... cascadiance Sep 2015 #10

tecelote

(5,122 posts)
3. Debates
Mon Sep 28, 2015, 05:56 AM
Sep 2015

That's the ticket!

Bernie will win the hearts and minds of so many - many that have not even heard of him yet.

merrily

(45,251 posts)
5. Yes, and we all know the problems with the number, timing and exclusivity of debates.
Mon Sep 28, 2015, 07:20 AM
Sep 2015

All three are designed to protect Hillary and are highly undemocratic. Once, they would also have been considered un-Democratic, but those days are gone apparently.

There is just so long and so hard one can hold one's nose.

FloridaBlues

(3,993 posts)
7. Leading by 15 points
Mon Sep 28, 2015, 08:54 AM
Sep 2015

Yes Bernie had gained some but

Reality is Biden not running and don't know why they poll him. Bernie not single digit behind he's 15 points behind.
Wish they would just poll who are actually running.

merrily

(45,251 posts)
8. Down from 34 points--and margin of error 6.1%. :shrug:
Mon Sep 28, 2015, 08:59 AM
Sep 2015

Which part of the thread title did you not understand?

Again, though, you know this is not the Hillary Group, right?

 

artislife

(9,497 posts)
9. How do you know he isn't running?
Mon Sep 28, 2015, 12:19 PM
Sep 2015

He could easily say, like Warren did repeatedly, "I am not running."

 

cascadiance

(19,537 posts)
10. Hmmm... Those numbers are like those in July in New Hampshire...
Mon Sep 28, 2015, 03:01 PM
Sep 2015


And look at where those polls are now with Bernie in the lead in New Hampshire.

Here is the juxtaposition of 2007 polls with 2015 polls to show how Bernie is AHEAD of Obama's pace even using the last poll measurements. It would be interesting to update this graph with the latest results to see this comparison. Note that Obama didn't even hit 30% poll numbers until 2008. Bernie's already gone above that mark now with over two months to go in 2015. In this poll he didn't really surge more than 35% until Edwards pulled out one month in to 2008 then.



The trend now is Bernie's friend!!!
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