Democratic Primaries
Related: About this forumBTRTN: Who Are We Supporting for the 2020 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
A year out from the 2020 election, Tom and Steve of Born To Run The Numbers provide a "point/counterpoint" on who they each support as of now for the Democratic nomination, and a thorough rationale for each point of view:
http://www.borntorunthenumbers.com/2019/11/btrtn-who-are-we-supporting-for-2020.html
Excerpts from Steve: "If the Democrats nominate either Sanders or Warren, and they center their campaigns on eliminating private healthcare insurance, the Democrats are doing the one thing that could hand the election to Trump. Bear in mind: the Democratic strength on the issue of healthcare was at the epicenter of why the Dems were able to flip the House in the mid-terms. Elizabeth Warren could take the single greatest Democratic advantage and instantly turn it into their greatest single liability...So quietly and patiently Buttigieg, slipped into the airstream behind Bidens centrist wake, and waited for the gaffe machine to explode. When it happened, Pete was the only candidate ready to pick up the centrist gauntlet. In February, 2020, Pete Buttigieg becomes the candidate that a short time before had only been known as 'anybody but Warren.'
Excerpts from Tom:" ...Here is the simple truth: Biden, based on the facts, is the surest bet to beat Donald Trump, plain and simple. Yhose facts may very well change by the time of the Democratic primary in New York, my home state, on April 28, 2020, and thus I reserve the right to change my mind. But the logic train leads to Biden emocrats have learned, in very painful ways, that presidential elections are won on the basis of swing state outcomes as they effect the electoral vote, and the popular vote means little (see: 2000, 2016). This is largely due to California, where the Democrats often roll up huge margins in this gigantic blue state, most of which dont 'count.' Democrats are fond of saying that Hillary Clinton won by 3 million votes in 2016, but she won by 4 million votes in California, which means the other 49 states went for Trump by 1 million..."
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
MrsCoffee
(5,801 posts)I still dont get why that site is pimped here.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
tgards79
(1,415 posts)...why your candidate is still in the race.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
lapucelle
(18,037 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Demsrule86
(68,347 posts)you should not cast aspersions on the OP without a bit more research. It seems to me they call it as they see it...which is more than some other more famous pollsters do...
https://www.democraticunderground.com/1287313675
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
lapucelle
(18,037 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Demsrule86
(68,347 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Demsrule86
(68,347 posts)I think it is not surprising that I viewed this as a negative comment...of course I could be wrong...only you are in a position to know what was meant and again sincere apologies if I misunderstood...
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
lapucelle
(18,037 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Demsrule86
(68,347 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
ritapria
(1,812 posts)If we don't we Lose ..Politics in America is very stratified .They are not very many moderates in the electorate anymore... .Republicans vote for Republicans .Democrats vote for Democrats . There are more of us than them ..If we get off our butts and vote , we win by 5% - 6% and over 300 votes in the Electoral College .
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Demsrule86
(68,347 posts)the House. This election will be won in Mi, WI and PA...and we need more than the base. I would also add that the Democratic Party at this moment is still largely moderate.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
UniteFightBack
(8,231 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
left-of-center2012
(34,195 posts)Googling shows it's just two guys with a Facebook page and only 121 followers.
They also have a website where they tell you their opinions.
Personally, I prefer reading opinions from established political experts.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Demsrule86
(68,347 posts)Here is one of the posts that I particularly disliked. Most everything here is based on someone's opinion.
https://www.democraticunderground.com/1287313675
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
left-of-center2012
(34,195 posts)Nope.
Sayin' I don't give a rat's hind end about these two guys' opinion.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Demsrule86
(68,347 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
UniteFightBack
(8,231 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
UniteFightBack
(8,231 posts)of it!
UN FUCKING REAL.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
peggysue2
(10,811 posts)Definitely worth the read for everyone.
Thanks for the link!
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden