LiberalFighter
LiberalFighter's JournalHillary would have to receive no more than 43.5% of the remaining delegates to lose.
If this were applied for the remaining primaries, Hillary would need to receive only
New York: 107 out of 247
Connecticut: 24 out of 55
Delaware: 9 out of 21
Maryland: 41 out of 95
Pennsylvania: 82 out of 189
Rhode Island: 10 out of 24
Indiana: 36 out of 83
Guam: 3 out of 7
West Virginia: 13 out of 29
Kentucky: 24 out of 55
Oregon: 27 out of 61
Virgin Islands: 3 out of 7
California: 207 out of 475
Montana: 9 out of 21
New Jersey: 55 out of 126
New Mexico: 15 out of 34
North Dakota: 8 out of 18
South Dakota: 9 out of 20
Puerto Rico: 26 out of 60
DC: 9 out of 20
It’s Really Hard To Get Bernie Sanders 988 More Delegates
After a trio of landslide wins in Washington, Alaska and Hawaii on Saturday — the best single day of his campaign — Bernie Sanders narrowed his delegate deficit with Hillary Clinton. But he still has a lot of work to do. Sanders trails Clinton by 228 pledged delegates and will need 988 more — a bit under 57 percent of those available — to finish with the majority.
That alone wouldn’t be enough to assure Sanders of the nomination because superdelegates could still swing things Hillary Clinton’s way in a close race, but put aside that not-so-small complication for now. The much bigger problem is that it isn’t easy to see where Sanders gets those 988 delegates.
It’s Really Hard To Get Bernie Sanders 988 More Delegates
Nate Silver shows what Bernie Sanders needs to get the nomination. This is just before the Wisconsin primary. Sanders was 2 delegates short of the target.
Nate's closing paragraph...
But things can change, and polls can be wrong — and so it’s worth doing the math to see what winning 988 more delegates would look like for Sanders. Call it a path-of-least-implausibility. If you think Sanders can meet or exceed these targets, then you can say with a straight face that you think he’ll win the nomination. If you think they’re too good to be true, then you can’t. Here’s the Bernie-miracle path I came up with:
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Gender: MaleHometown: Wisconsin
Current location: NE Indiana
Member since: 2002
Number of posts: 50,856
