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brooklynite

brooklynite's Journal
brooklynite's Journal
October 28, 2020

New North Carolina Poll (RMG Research, B/C): Cunningham +7

In North Carolina, Democrat challenger Cal Cunningham leads incumbent Republican Thom Tillis in the race for Senate. The latest PolitialIQ poll shows Cunningham in front of Tillis by seven points among Likely North Carolina Voters, 49% to 42%. The poll, conducted by Scott Rasmussen, shows 4% voting for someone else and 5% not sure. The margin of error is 3.5%

http://politicaliq.com/2020/10/28/nc-senate-cunningham-d-49-tillis-r-42/

October 28, 2020

Van Drew Walks Back His 'Undying Support' for Trump

Source: Political Wire

When Rep. Jeff Van Drew (R-NJ) switched parties, he pledged his “undying support” to President Trump, CNN reports.

Van Drew now says it wasn’t what he meant: “I think voters understand that when you’re in the Oval Office and you’re having a very exciting day and you’re making a little piece of history, that sometimes we all say things.”

He added: “I think the words didn’t explain as well what I exactly felt. It’s not undying support that, whatever you say I’m going to do, or undying support, I agree with whatever you say. It was undying support for the presidency, for the idea of the greatness of America.”


Read more: https://politicalwire.com/2020/10/28/van-drew-walks-back-his-undying-support-for-trump/



Thanks for playing...lovely parting gifts backstage.
October 28, 2020

New North Carolina poll (Civitas): Biden +1, Cunningham +3

RALEIGH ­– – Former vice president Joe Biden has a razor thin lead over President Donald Trump according to the latest Civitas Poll. North Carolina is viewed as a toss-up, but a critical state for President Trump’s reelection prospects.

A sample of likely voters were asked, “If the Presidential election were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for?”

Trump (R) 46%
Biden (D) 47%
Jorgensen (L) 1%
Blankenship (CP) 0%
Hawkins (G)

October 28, 2020

Hurricane Zeta forecast to be Category 2 storm at landfall in southeast Louisiana: See track

Source: Times-Picayune

Hurricane Zeta is expected to be a Category 2 storm at landfall in southeast Louisiana, forecasters said Wednesday morning.

The storm strengthened overnight and now is forecast to have winds of 100 mph before landfall.

Life-threatening storm surge and damaging winds are expected in southeast Louisiana starting around mid-day Wednesday, forecasters said. Landfall is expected Wednesday afternoon.

Watches and warnings are in effect for southeast Louisiana. Metro New Orleans is under a hurricane warning.




Read more: https://www.nola.com/news/hurricane/article_c398ddfa-190b-11eb-a1b9-0bda3e044da5.html
October 28, 2020

Trump's testing czar: The COVID surge "is real" and not just caused by more tests

Source: Axios


Assistant Secretary of Health Adm. Brett Giroir, who leads the federal government's coronavirus testing response, pushed back on Wednesday against President Trump's continued claims that rising coronavirus cases are a product of increased testing.

The big picture: Every available piece of data shows that the pandemic is getting worse again across the country. Hospitalizations are on the rise — and some hospitals are warning that they could soon be overwhelmed — while 13 states set new highs last week for coronavirus infections recorded in a single day.

What he's saying: "But, between July, August, September, October now, we do believe and the data show that the cases are going up. It's not just a function of testing. Yes, we're getting more cases identified. But the cases are actually going up. And we know that too because hospitalizations are going up."

"And we do know that deaths are increasing, unfortunately."


Read more: https://www.axios.com/coronavirus-case-surge-trump-5cf102c0-89e0-4fb7-8b61-05cf92f6f14f.html
October 28, 2020

COOK POLITICAL: Biden's Path to 270 Widens, Trump's Path Narrows, as Texas Moves to Toss Up

Texas is a state that Biden doesn't need to win, but it is clear that it's more competitive than ever. Texas' shift from Lean Republican to Toss Up shouldn't come as a surprise. Recent polling in the state — both public and private - shows a 2-4 point race. That's pretty much in line with the hotly contested 2018 Senate race in the state where Sen. Ted Cruz narrowly defeated Rep. Beto O'Rourke 51 percent to 48 percent.

A huge surge in early vote (as of October 26th, almost half of Texas' registered voters had already cast a ballot) suggests that we could see record turnout in a state that has added many new residents since 2016. That also adds a level of uncertainty to the equation.

Statewide and district level polling show Biden running strong in and around metro suburban parts of the state, but underperforming with Latino voters. In his analysis of the New York Times/Siena poll (10/20-25) of the state, the New York Times' Nate Cohn writes that "Biden has a lead of only 57 percent to 34 percent among that group, somewhat beneath most estimates of Mrs. Clinton's support among Hispanic voters four years ago. The finding broadly tracks with national surveys, which have shown Mr. Trump improving among Hispanic voters compared with his 2016 standing. Similarly, Hispanic voters in the Times/Siena poll say they backed Mrs. Clinton by a margin of 60 percent to 29 percent."

But, it's also the case that we don't have a whole lot of experience with Texas as a battleground state. Neither do national pollsters. In an analysis of polling errors in 2016 and 2018, my colleague David Wasserman wrote this week that polls in the Southwest "undershot Democrats' final margin in 17 of 19 cases, including by an average of 1.4 points in 2016 and 4.2 points in 2018."



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