Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

Divernan

Divernan's Journal
Divernan's Journal
April 7, 2016

Sanders overpacks Phillie Arena; Penn. polls show him SURGING!

A massive crowd of Bernie supporters has shown up in droves to attend his latest rally in Philadelphia, the largest city in the pivotal primary state of Pennsylvania. Enthusiastic voters have gathered outside the Liacouras Center at Temple University by the thousands. The below video says it all, showing a town square packed with people waiting to be let in.

Reports are coming in that the line for the rally could be as large as ten blocks long, ending at the cross street of Broad and Master about half a mile away.

This surge of support comes in the wake of a poll that gives proof to the massive momentum that Bernie has built up in the crucial state of Pennsylvania following his recent string of primary victories. A Harper Polling Survey had Bernie behind Clinton at 55% to 33% just last weekend. But today, a Quinnipiac University poll jumped him up a full sixteen points, right on Clinton’s heels at 50% to 44%, with 6% of likely voters saying that they are still undecided, and 22% saying they may still change their minds.

For those unsure of which poll to trust, the analysts at the polling research site Five Thirty Eight dole out ratings to all major polls in the US, and they rate Quinnipiac a “B+” over Harper’s “C+” rating, signifying that Quinnipiac has historically been more accurate and also boasts more legitimate polling methodology.

Read more: http://usuncut.com/news/bernie-sanders-philadelphia/


The article details that Bernie's recent victories showed him outperforming even the most optimistic polls, including his 13.5 point margin of victory over Clinton in Wisconsin. The average poll conducted there had him ahead by only 2.6, with the highest showing an 8-point lead for Sanders.

Lots of great photos & videos at the link, including:
one showing the line for the rally ten blocks long, ending at the cross street of Broad and Master about half a mile away;
a photo of Senator Sanders in the hours leading up to his latest rally, supporting a local union by speaking at a worker’s protest against Verizon;
the entire lower deck of the stadium already packed with multiple blocks’ worth of people still waiting to be let in;
the destination for the overflow of supporters, a practice arena set aside from the main location, packed on both sides of the rafters.
April 7, 2016

Bernie Sanders overpacks Philadelphia Arena as Pennsylvania poll shows him surging.

Source: U. S. Uncut

A massive crowd of Bernie supporters has shown up in droves to attend his latest rally in Philadelphia, the largest city in the pivotal primary state of Pennsylvania. Enthusiastic voters have gathered outside the Liacouras Center at Temple University by the thousands. The below video says it all, showing a town square packed with people waiting to be let in.

Reports are coming in that the line for the rally could be as large as ten blocks long, ending at the cross street of Broad and Master about half a mile away.

This surge of support comes in the wake of a poll that gives proof to the massive momentum that Bernie has built up in the crucial state of Pennsylvania following his recent string of primary victories. A Harper Polling Survey had Bernie behind Clinton at 55% to 33% just last weekend. But today, a Quinnipiac University poll jumped him up a full sixteen points, right on Clinton’s heels at 50% to 44%, with 6% of likely voters saying that they are still undecided, and 22% saying they may still change their minds.

For those unsure of which poll to trust, the analysts at the polling research site Five Thirty Eight dole out ratings to all major polls in the US, and they rate Quinnipiac a “B+” over Harper’s “C+” rating, signifying that Quinnipiac has historically been more accurate and also boasts more legitimate polling methodology.



Read more: http://usuncut.com/news/bernie-sanders-philadelphia/



The article details that Bernie's recent victories showed him outperforming even the most optimistic polls, including his 13.5 point margin of victory over Clinton in Wisconsin. The average poll conducted there had him ahead by only 2.6, with the highest showing an 8-point lead for Sanders.

Lots of great photos & videos at the link, including:
one showing the line for the rally ten blocks long, ending at the cross street of Broad and Master about half a mile away;
a photo of Senator Sanders in the hours leading up to his latest rally, supporting a local union by speaking at a worker’s protest against Verizon;
the entire lower deck of the stadium already packed with multiple blocks’ worth of people still waiting to be let in;
the destination for the overflow of supporters, a practice arena set aside from the main location, packed on both sides of the rafters.
April 6, 2016

HRC's Penn. lead shrivels/shrinks from 34% to 6%!

It's the Klassic Klinton pattern - going down at an increasing rate of speed! The margin of error on this last poll is 4.3%, so the poll is less than 2 points away from putting a Bernie win within the margin of error. As per the other link below, last October, Hill was 34 points ahead; in February, down to 21 points ahead - now early April - 6 points. With another 3 weeks until the PA primary, it's looking great for Bernie! And note that in Pennsylvania, Sanders beats Trump by 8 points; beats Cruz by twelve points; while Clinton ties w/ Cruz, and only edges Trump out by 3 points. Not good enough, Hillary.


Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton leads Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont 50 – 44
percent among Pennsylvania likely Democratic primary voters.
Only 7 percent of Republicans are undecided, but 27 percent of those who name a
candidate say they might change their mind by April 26. Democrats have similar numbers, 6
percent undecided and 22 percent who might change their mind.
In head-to-head general election matchups:
 Kasich buries Clinton 51 – 35 percent;
 Kasich tops Sanders 46 – 40 percent;
 Clinton gets 45 percent to Trump’s 42 percent;
 Clinton ties Cruz 43 – 43 percent;
Sanders tops Trump 48 – 40 percent;
 Sanders beats Cruz 46 – 38 percent.



http://www.quinnipiac.edu/images/polling/pa/pa04062016_Pfgr37w.pdf

From March 30 – April 4, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,737 Pennsylvania voters
with a margin of error of +/- 2.4 percentage points. The survey includes 578 likely Republican
primary voters with a margin of error of +/- 4.1 percentage points and 514 likely Democratic
primary voters with a margin of error of +/- 4.3 percentage points
. Live interviewers call land
lines and cell phones.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public
opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia,
Iowa, Colorado and the nation as a public service and for research.
Visit http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling or www.facebook.com/quinnipiacpoll

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/election-2016/primary-forecast/pennsylvania-democratic/

Apr. 2-3 Harper Polling Clinton +22

Mar. 14-20 Franklin & Marshall College Clinton +25

Mar. 1-2 Harper Polling Clinton +30

Feb. 13-21 Franklin & Marshall College Clinton +21

Feb. 11-16 Robert Morris University Clinton +7

Jan. 22-23 Harper Polling Clinton +27

Jan. 18-23 Franklin & Marshall College Clinton +17

Oct. 19-25 Franklin & Marshall College Clinton +34

Oct. 10-15 Robert Morris University Clinton +27

Oct. 8-11 Public Policy Polling Clinton +18
April 1, 2016

HuffPo: Clinton campaign in midst of historic collapse

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/seth-abramson/hillary-clintons-support-_b_9579544.html

Clinton campaign is in the midst of an historic collapse — much of it due to the unraveling of support for Clinton among nonwhite voters — and the national media has yet to take any notice.

Clinton’s 48-point lead in New York less than two weeks ago is now just a 12-point lead, according to the latest Quinnipiac Poll. That poll shows Sanders with approximately 300 percent more support among African-American voters in New York than he had in Mississippi earlier this month. Meanwhile, in the only poll taken in Indiana, Sanders is said to be beating Clinton handily. Sanders is leading by 8 points in West Virginia. /b] And the only polling done so far in Kentucky — among nearly 1,000 students at the University of Kentucky — has Sanders up on Clinton there by more than 70 points.

In other words, nonwhite voting offers the media a clear and unambiguous narrative about Sanders — an unmissable trajectory — if only they’re willing to see it.

And the same dramatic trajectory — albeit in the opposite direction — is evident for Clinton.
March 27, 2016

Pedestrians kept at least a block away from Hillary's Madison event.

At her typical exclusive fundraisers, held in gated private estates, we see photos of cops directing traffic, but people have been able to assemble on public streets to watch her arrive and depart, and even to wave a few signs and demonstrate. No mas, boss!

In Madison, the entire block surrounding the venue will be "closed to pedestrians". We're talking public sidewalks and streets in the heart of a state university.

Hey! Hillary don't need no stinkin' right of assembly or freedom of speech in her America!


Presidential candidate Hillary Clinton will speak in Madison on Monday, two days after her Democratic opponent, Bernie Sanders, drew a large crowd here and touted his campaign's momentum.

Clinton will make remarks to invited guests at UW-Madison's Gordon Commons, 770 W. Dayton Street, at 3:45 p.m. Doors open at 2:45 p.m. A UW-Madison news release says the event is not open to the campus community or the public.

Because of Clinton's appearance, Lake Street will be closed to traffic between Dayton and Johnson streets, starting at about noon, and to pedestrians after 3 p.m., until the event is over.

http://host.madison.com/wsj/news/local/hillary-clinton-to-campaign-in-madison-on-monday/article_cc606f75-1cd9-5288-9b16-110494d6d328.html
March 20, 2016

Get a grip; you're embarrassing yourself

Dismissing expressions of concern, worry and sympathy for the people in Istanbul as "drivel"!?!?! Describing such expressions as fucked up? trivia? belonging in the lounge?

The experiences, impressions and concerns of DUers who have lived, worked, traveled, and/or studied abroad have traditionally offered interesting perspectives & nuance on developments abroad.

I just saw one of your posts in another thread you started, in which you called someone "fucking naive". because, he/she, in a very serious and civil way didn't agree with you 100% on the topic of protestors interfering with free speech.

Your responses are way over the top and offensive. I'm not alerting on you because I think basically you make some validly debatable points - it's just your choice of language and uber-sensitivity which are really, really off-putting.


March 15, 2016

Palin campaigns for Trump in Florida Monday; does NOT go to injured husband's side

as previously announced. One wonders what's been promised in a Trump presidency for Caribou
Barbie. Her husband suffered massive injuries and was being operated on in a less than world class medical center - Mat-Su Medical Center, Palmer, Alaska (Board certified surgeons/specialists? Oh, what are those?)

Todd Palin, the husband of Sarah Palin, was hospitalized after a serious snowmobile accident Sunday night, temporarily taking the former Alaska governor off the campaign trail for Donald Trump.

Sarah Palin, though, made a surprise appearance in Tampa, Fla., on behalf of Trump later Monday afternoon -- despite an initial statement from the Trump campaign saying she was returning to Alaska.

http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2016/03/14/todd-palin-hospitalized-after-snow-machine-accident-sarah-palin-cancels-trump-appearance.html

"Todd Palin is in intensive care at an Alaskan hospital with injuries including multiple broken and fractured ribs, broken shoulder blade, broken clavicle, knee/leg injuries; and a collapsed lung," Palin wrote. "He is presently back in surgery to repair multiple fractures."
https://www.adn.com/article/20160314/todd-palin-fractures-ribs-snowmachine-crash

Yet another politician with a sham marriage.
March 15, 2016

Sestak w/in margin of error to beat Toomey; McGinty trailing by 13 points.

This is an excellent poll for retired Admiral/former Congressman Sestak and the Pennsylvania Democrats:

http://www.politicspa.com/pa-sen-mercyhurst-poll-toomey-bests-sestak-mcginty-and-fetterman/73544/


With the Democratic primary looming, former Congressman Joe Sestak remains Senator Pat Toomey’s closest competitor for the general election, according to the new Mercyhurst Poll.

Sestak is just 5 points down, 43-38, compared to Katie McGinty who is down by 13, 47-34, and Braddock Mayor John Fetterman, who is behind by 18, 49-31.

A plurality of respondents, 48%, said that they were Democrats, compared to 41% saying they were Republican. Independents made up 11%.

This is good news for Sestak, who was 6 points down in the latest Harper’s Poll.

There are still plenty of undecideds left, as 13% were unsure in the McGinty-Toomey matchup, 15% in the Sestak-Toomey matchup, and 15% in Fetterman-Toomey.

Mercyhurst University’s Center for Applied Politics surveyed 421 registered Pennsylvania voters from March 1st to 11th.

This poll underrepresented minority voters. This survey polled the following demographics White – 85% and Non-white at 11%. These were the demograhics of PA in 2000.

According to the 2010 Census, 81.9% of the population was White (79.2% non-Hispanic white), 11.3% was Black or African American, 0.3% American Indian and Alaska Native, 2.9% Asian, 1.9% from two or more races. 5.9% of the total population was of Hispanic or Latino origin.


My email today from Joe Sestak:

A new poll released yesterday confirmed what we already knew:
“With the Democratic primary looming, former Congressman Joe Sestak remains Senator Pat Toomey’s closest competitor for the general election, according to the new Mercyhurst Poll.” – PoliticsPA, 3/14/16

Five-plus years out of office, and we’re just 5 points down on Sen Toomey – within the poll’s margin of error – and with our closest primary opponent almost three times as far behind us.

Nancy, Pat Toomey is one of the most obstructionist Senators in DC, from his calling an 11-month Supreme Court vacancy “not that big a deal” to describing his filibuster of a transportation bill as doing “something constructive ... I told you we’d kill it and we did.”

It is critical that we replace Toomey with a new Senator committed to a Supreme Court that functions and roads ready for commerce and safe for travel.

I am the strongest Democrat to defeat Pat Toomey and send him back to the lobbying sector – from which he came. Please contribute today to ensure that the best Democrat to defeat Toomey wins the primary on April 26th!
March 15, 2016

UK press/USA Today: KKK grand dragon switches from Trump to Clinton

As if this election wasn't batshit crazy enough, now we have this. And not surprisingly the California KKK's Grand Dragon sounds a few cans short of a six-pack:

The UK Telegraph report has 11,000 FB shares.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/northamerica/usa/12192975/The-KKK-leader-who-says-he-backs-Hillary-Clinton.html

Will Quigg, a grand dragon of the Klan’s California chapter and responsible for recruitment in the western United States, is less keen to give Mr Trump the dubious benefit of his support.

“We want Hillary Clinton to win,” Mr Quigg told The Telegraph. “She is telling everybody one thing, but she has a hidden agenda. She’s telling everybody what they want to hear so she can get elected, because she’s Bill Clinton’s wife, she’s close to the Bushes. [But] once she’s in the presidency, she’s going to come out and her true colours are going to show.

He was unwilling to disclose how he learned of Mrs Clinton’s “hidden agenda”. “I cannot reveal my sources,” he said. “It’s my opinion - if you know what I mean, wink, wink. I don’t want her to come back and say I’m slandering her.”

“Border policies are going to be put in place. Our second amendment rights [favouring gun ownership] that she’s saying she’s against now, she’s not against. She’s just our choice for the presidency.”



And as reported via USA Today:
http://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2016/03/14/kkk-grand-dragon-endorses-clinton/81794314/

London's Guardian newspaper reported Monday that California Ku Klux Klan grand dragon Will Quigg was endorsing Hillary Clinton for president.

Quigg said he was supporting Clinton because he said she has a “hidden agenda.”

“She’s telling everybody what they want to hear so she can get elected, because she’s Bill Clinton’s wife, she’s close to the Bushes. Once she’s in the presidency, she’s going to come out and her true colors are going to show,” Quigg said in the Telegraph. “Border policies are going to be put in place. Our second amendment rights that she’s saying she’s against now, she’s not against. She’s just our choice for the presidency.”

The Telegraph asked Quigg about why he went back on his endorsement of Trump. He said that was before they had found out what Clinton’s “main agenda” was. In addition, Quigg’s group has some sort of disagreement with former national KKK leader David Duke.

“David Duke, we found out, was supporting Donald Trump,” Quigg told The Telegraph. “And we have nothing to do with David Duke.”
March 13, 2016

The New Yorker:HRC's correction to AIDS comment also misguided

http://www.newyorker.com/news/daily-comment/hillary-clinton-nancy-reagan-and-aids
Clinton’s comments caused an outcry and she apologized rapidly, writing, in a statement issued on Twitter, “While the Reagans were strong advocates for stem cell research and finding a cure for Alzheimer’s disease, I misspoke about their record on H.I.V. and AIDS. For that, I’m sorry.” She deserves recognition for that. But her correction, while not nearly as offensive as her earlier comments, was also misguided.

In the nineteen-eighties, I covered the AIDS epidemic and the stem-cell wars for the Washington Post. I do not recall any occasion on which Ronald Reagan said or did anything that could be considered as “strong” advocacy for stem-cell research. One son, Ron, Jr., was in favor of the research and said so at the Democratic National Convention in 2004, the year his father died. That same year, Michael, Reagan’s other son, made a statement about that issue to anti-abortion-rights publications, which nobody ever contradicted: “The media continues to report that the Reagan ‘family’ is in favor of [embryonic] stem cell research, when the truth is that two members of the family have been long time foes of this process of manufacturing human beings—my dad, Ronald Reagan during his lifetime, and I.”

The idea that Ronald Reagan finally did focus on AIDS, if only belatedly, is also a fiction. Reagan was outraged in 1986, when his Surgeon General, C. Everett Koop, one of the great heroes of the AIDS epidemic, issued a report that, as I wrote when Koop died, recommended a program of compulsory sex education in schools and argued that, by the time they reached third grade, children should be taught how to use condoms.

In the end, as Clinton wrote, Nancy Reagan was indeed “strong” on stem-cell research and on Alzheimer’s disease. Her conversion came when her husband plunged into the darkness of the disease. She was desperate, and would have done anything for him. It was a deeply admirable stance, and rare in her conservative world. Millions of other people, however, would surely have benefitted from that kind of support—had she offered it when her husband was capable of doing something to help alleviate so much suffering.

Profile Information

Member since: 2002
Number of posts: 15,480
Latest Discussions»Divernan's Journal