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sofa king

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Member since: Wed Apr 14, 2004, 03:27 PM
Number of posts: 10,857

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My money is on Biden as the 1st 3-term VP

He's a vigorous and persuasive campaigner and he's hammered the formerly ceremonial office of President of the Senate into a powerful position that has turned Republican obstruction in the Senate against itself.

Unless he wants to retire, I expect him to be the first person either of the two candidates approaches, to continue his job as the most important Vice President in American history.

(Yeah, Dick Cheney ran the White House--but only for four years. After that Karl Rove and Donald Rumsfeld maneuvered him out to pasture and other evil geniuses continued to destroy America in GWB's name. Joe Biden has shepherded at least five Democratic budget proposals to passage (or rather, "continuance" without Democratic control of Congress, something which may never again be repeated without his efforts.)

This is really important!

We saw the sneak-up-from-the-right move take out Eric Cantor in the primaries, so we know it can work. But this time it's for all the marbles.

For a couple of months now, I've been pointing out that Republican movement at the top seems to be in the direction of a far different kind of election theft than that to which we have already seen... often.


The short version is this:

1) Steal the nomination from Trump or find a powerful third-party candidate to run against him; either way they need two powerful candidates running against the Democratic nominee;

2) Use unlimited funding and vote-theft mechanisms to disperse electoral votes so that NOBODY wins a majority of EVs. In a tight enough race it could be a simple matter of pushing Ohio over to Kasich, for example;

3) With no electoral vote majority, the election gets tossed into Congress, where Republican majorities will prevail at least through the end of this Congress (up to about January 3, 2017);

4) To protect themselves against the vicious backlash that will result from stealing the election, the Republicans will not hold a vote on selecting the next President, which means the real election for President will come when the next Speaker of the House is chosen by the House a couple of days after January 3;

5) The Speaker of the House will therefore become the next President on January 20, by default and without a single vote.

The better part of two decades of gerrymandering guarantees that the Republicans will control the House of Representatives after this election. But if you sneak up on Paul Ryan and kick him out, all of a sudden there is a frightening new wrinkle to the election theft problem. Without Ryan and the support of the vast majority of Republicans in the House of Representatives, suddenly the race for President becomes another clown-fight, this time in Congress in January, as the 115th Congress selects its leadership. Whichever Republican wins the internal election for Speaker becomes President by default.

One of the best ways to ensure this can't happen is through an all-out assault on the House of Representatives, ideally by running a Democrat in every district but also by threatening House leadership through primary challenges. The Republican Party has relied upon extra-legal tactics to control Congress for this entire century so far; they don't have a hell of a lot of actual talent in their staves, and if leadership is holding on to their talent to fight off internal dissent then it is far more difficult for Republicans to make additional gains in the House and the Senate.

This move against Ryan may in fact be the beginning of a well-orchestrated 50-state plan to take Congress away from the Republicans (or thin their margin of control) before they can steal the White House from the American people, again. They're not backing whatever yahoo is running against Paul Ryan, but we probably did our best to smooth the way for him, you know?

If the object is to exhaust judicial remedies...

...If the object is to exhaust all judicial remedies before releasing the documents, is the intent, then, to place the question before a Justice who is certain to deny the appeal?

And is that why Sibley has chosen Clarence Thomas? Because Sibley knows Thomas is sure to deny it?

And if so, why is Sibley sure Thomas will deny the appeal to release the DC Madam's records, hmmmmmmmmmmmmm?

This is a red herring.

Its purpose is to keep Ryan's name in the news and smooth the way for his Presidency.

But he won't accept the nomination in Cleveland, and he's not going to be elected President.

Instead, they're going to run a third party if Trump wins, or steal it from Trump so that he runs as a third, then use the corrupted voting system to make it a contested election where nobody wins a majority of electoral votes.

Then, the election goes to Congress. Congress protects themselves by not voting for the new President, and Speaker Paul Ryan takes over by default, without a single vote.

They are trying to smooth Ryan's accession to the Presidency, not his election.

K only has one good card, but it's an ace.

He's got home field advantage at the convention and most of that state's delegates. He's aiming to be the Chester Arthur of this election, the guy who gets pegged for VP because of the importance of his state in the upcoming general election.

If it becomes a contested convention, Ohio's delegates can suddenly take on large importance, and they can likely be bought by putting Kasich on the ticket as the running mate.

In this election, especially on the Republican side, being the running mate might just be the place to be, since the two probables both have closets full of skeletons and other obvious liabilities which might pay off for a stable-looking running mate.

Even though there's very little chance of winning fairly, Kasich has a chance to appear Presidential and be reasonable, which might give him a leg up next time. And if they do get close enough to steal it--with Ohio's help--well, unless Trump or Cruz "burns the Reichstag," as GWB did, he will be a President under siege from day one.

It amuses me to see how many of these Republican politicians are waiting in the wings, plotting an unconventional path to the White House. Romney wants to steal it at the convention, Ryan wants a contested election and a no-vote that installs him by default, Christie wants to be an Attorney General version of Dick Cheney for Donald Trump, and Kasich might be the Vice President who steps in early to pick up the pieces after the front guy self-immolates.

The common thread among them all is ambition, of course. It's the one quality that all Presidents have.

A throwaway chump to let Paul Ryan in.

Here is a disjointed collection of out-loud thoughts. Some are not as insane as they sound. Some are.

Rove sees the writing on the wall: no candidate can beat either Democrat; all of them have savagely ruined each others' chances for a credible run in the general, and they probably haven't dished all the dirt on each other yet, either. With Trump I know that for sure.

I think the idea now is to run a third party spoiler. They can either steal it from Trump and he'll run as a third party for sure, or run a well placed "fresh face" as a pure spoiler if they can't steal it from Trump.

The spoiler has to be someone really well known, because there won't be time to sell the person. It has to be someone capable of getting close enough to steal states from the Democrat and Trump. Big states, too, like PA, VA, NC, OH, TX, FL.

If they can steal states from both candidates, the election gets kicked into the Republican House, and they can do what they do best--nothing--and Speaker Paul Ryan inherits the office without a single vote.

It probably must be a person more widely known on television than in political circles. Maybe a television journalist? Maybe Sean Hannity? Maybe someone just as criminal, but less insane. Colin Powell? No. Too competent, too black. Jesse Ventura might have legs in the midwest, but can he take Pennsylvania? Christie would have been a good choice, a gangster's gangster, but Trump already got to him. Who's that psycho from The View?

Money isn't a problem. They have infinite money and infinite ability to channel it to the spoiler and to Trump and to the Democrat, in case one of the other two is doing too well.

If they're going to steal it from Trump, they can't wait until the week before the convention. They have to make their move at the rules meeting in mid-April, otherwise Trump won't get on the ballot as a third party in the states they want him to win.

Similarly, the spoiler has to launch before the convention, to be on the ballot in states they need to steal.

It can't be Mitt Romney, as much as Romney is angling for it. Romney can't take the states they need to make it a toss-up. He's proven that already.

It can be a criminal, because they'll have time to stall the press with the honeymoon phase and the access gambit. Sarah Palin's criminal behavior didn't fully come to light until the year after she ran. Look how long it took to bust Cruz, and there must have been hundreds of people who knew about his philandering for years.

It can't be Paul Ryan, because he's the one they've already positioned to win it all. It also means they have to win the House (a safe bet), and they have to make sure there is no dissent against Ryan's reelection as Speaker in January (a very unsafe bet, because by then every weasel in the House will see their shortcut to the White House).

One way to throw a wrench in the oligarchs' plans would be to front a powerful opposition candidate against Ryan in his home Congressional district. Do we have that person?

Another way to fuck up the contested election-theft is to run a candidate in every House district, no matter how much of a lost cause. Republican money is infinite but staff talent in the GOP is exceedingly rare. A lot of talent is placed on loan from safe districts, but if those districts suddenly face a challenge, the talent gets pulled back. The ultimate hilarity would be for the GOP to kick the election into the House, delay the vote, and then accidentally elect Nancy Pelosi as Speaker with the help of pissed-off Republican moderates.

Hooray, ASSoLs! Please please PLEASE be true!

Antonin Scalia School of Law? ASSoL?!?

It's too close to April Fools Day to be true. It's too high in the Google News list to be true. It's too damned good to be true.

But PLEASE Saint Elvis, PLEASE let this be true!

I was just looking at 538's article....


... Which demographically breaks down the election, and here is my conclusion:

Donald Trump and the other GOP clowns have already deeply offended about 70% of all voters, leaving only non-college educated white males as a reliable Republican demographic.

All women, plus all minorities, plus me means that no Republican is ever going to (fairly) win a Presidential election ever again. It really is over for the Republican Party, and they are already beginning their total conversion into a terrorist group and crime organization rather than a political front for those operations.

It's a bright future, and a very dark one, at the same time.

There is nothing to it, except Republican crime, of course.

The next President is going to have the responsibility of either prosecuting or not prosecuting the Bush Administration for its grand-scale felonious violation of the Presidential Records Act, in which millions of official government emails were illegally sent through the RNC email servers for years, then destroyed. To this day it is claimed that the emails are "lost," but I guarantee you that NSA, the Russians, and the Chinese all have 'em, because the RNC didn't protect those emails as well as they should have.

We are talking about a conspiracy conducted at every level of the executive branch for years, involving thousands of people, all of whom are looking at seven years in pound-me-in-the-ass prison for failing to document their work as our public servants.

That is what the Hillary Clinton email scandal is about: the crimes of the Bush Administration.

Are you horrified that Hillary wanted her own personal Blackberry? Here is Karl Rove rapping and showing off his:

Now you can be horrified.

Since the Bush people walked away with a couple of trillion dollars while committing thousands of jailable crimes, those emails can never come to light. So they've spent a considerable portion of their ill-gotten gains to thump this, the only scandal they've been able to make stick to Mrs. Clinton in her decade of public service in this century. So they're dragging around the red herring like it's a Monty Python skit, like their freedom depends upon it, because it does.

The threat is that if Hillary Clinton permits prosecution of the GOP for their six orders of magnitude larger email scandal (or forces NSA to produce the "lost" emails, or if the Russians or Chinese stole them and find it expedient to manipulate American foreign policy by coercing Republican politicians with them....), the next Republican President will see to it that Mrs Clinton gets prosecuted for hers. If there ever is one, that is.

That's what this is all about. Yes, there is "something to this scandal." It's that it is being held up for silent comparison against a gargantuan criminal operation that involved discussions of 9/11, anthrax, the manipulation of oil prices, the crash of the housing market, the results of the Ohio election in '04 which were passed through the RNC-controlled servers, and on and on and on. The cover-up of the "lost" Bush administration emails, risking a thousand years of prison time, conceals larger crimes. That is a logical certainty.

And to her great credit, Mrs. Clinton is moving forward, not giving an inch on this, and yes, possibly putting herself at risk of being, someday, indicted for it. She is acting with a confidence that suggests either 1) there is another shoe to drop in this story which exonerates or mollifies the allegations against her, or 2) she's guilty as hell and knows she is going to go Scot free because if the conservatives keep harping on it, she'll bust the entire goddamned Bush Administration before she goes down and negotiate her own freedom, or 3) she is confident that the established precedent of not prosecuting Presidential candidates in election seasons (see Romney, Christie, Perry, Bush I, II and III, etc.) will continue to hold, and is willing to deal with the consequences later.

Whatever the case, the reason this scandal exists today is because of the crimes of the Republican Party, not Mrs. Clinton. She's not bending on it, suggesting that Republicans have a damned good reason to be afraid, too. I am sure some of you will try to paint Mrs. Clinton with the same criminal brush which drips from the entire Republican Party, but that is a fallacious comparison and that should be totally obvious, because were it true we would never have heard of this story.

More evidence in favor of my theory.

The farther to the right the politician, the less empathy that politician has, the more likely that politician is to conduct illicit affairs and be involved in white-collar crime.
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