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Bernardo de La Paz

Bernardo de La Paz's Journal
Bernardo de La Paz's Journal
March 21, 2022

Pen mightier than sword; printer mightier than tank


In the Soviet Union, printers were tightly controlled for just these reasons.

March 20, 2022

Freedom is beyond American, but the subversion of the slogan for authoritarian purposes is American


The sheeple and teabaggers and deplorables have no idea how they are molded by powerful forces like Russian bot brigades and rogue capitalists and authoritarians.

They think most people are in the dark, but it is the RW sheeple who turn off real information sources and go down rabbit holes with their confirmation biases.

March 19, 2022

That's the ticket! Put in a light rail system with cargo so no trucks needed downtown!


But seriously, imagine a light rail system with flatcars on some trains with electric golf cargo golf carts that get on and off at stops and make the final deliveries and pickups.

Think of light rail as moving people AND stuff, not just people. Like air system. Like interstates. Like rail system. Like ocean ships did and can do again.

March 12, 2022

Could easily be a goal along with punishment for failure. But Putin believed him


Since Putin bought an assessment that seemed flawed even from here says something about Putin.

Either Putin is not so bright or he doesn't acknowledge that he has made his environment toxic to competency and reality-based approaches.

It's on him. He's been President, officially and unofficially, for 22 years.

March 7, 2022

Logistics screwed up because


* Navy got disproportionate amount of money
* Only super powers can have both a navy and an army
* Putin's Russia is not an oligarchy, it's a kleptocracy
* Everyone down the chain gets a cut
* Until you reach the grunts, who are ill-fed, underpaid, poorly trained, and lied to
* So there is more inventory taking than maintenance
* Cheap tires from China
* No second echelon because a) too expensive, b) not in the plan
* Plan was for quick victory
* Russian logistics depends on trucks and roads
* Mud month has begun precluding off-road
* Russia low on smart ordinance, so they don't have air superiority
* Thus convoys get bogged down, run out of fuel
* Three abreast on roads (to save time) means that foulups / damage are blockages

Explore the threads by Kamil Galeev on Twitter.

March 7, 2022

Yes Kamil Galeev thread concludes Putin can be broken quickly and must be

Long thread, initially a bit bleak re Russia China alliances but ends positively.

Break Putin AND his whole apparatus by:

* increase hyperinflation in Russia
* make it easy for brains to leave Russia now that it is full fascist (not hyperbole)

I'm sure there is more, but I read so much for so long it is hard to take it all in but it is well organized, tells it like a story, and seems very well researched. He's an academic, I think from central Asia republic (Turkmenistan?) analysing in the west.

TL;DR Russia is now fascist. No return to status quo is possible. Regime must be broken. Fortunately it can be broken quickly via sanctions and brain drain. But if the regime isn't broken it can evolve to sth much stronger


https://twitter.com/kamilkazani/status/1500554224928759815

https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1500495309595725831.html

Lots of interesting images in the twitter link.
March 3, 2022

Putin is losing the oligarchs

Five have spoken out including Deripaska:

Radio Free Europe
https://www.rferl.org/a/deripaska-oligarch-ukraine-russia-war/31734624.html

Russian billionaire tycoon Oleg Deripaska, known for his close ties with President Vladimir Putin, has called for an end to the war in Ukraine.

...

Deripaska, who has been sanctioned by the West, warned of a possible nuclear accident at any of Ukraine's nuclear power facilities during the fighting, which would endanger, Russia, Ukraine, and Europe as a whole.

...

Deripaska is one of several Russian billionaires to call on the authorities to stop the full-scale military attack against Ukraine launched on February 24.

Mikhail Fridman, Pyotr Aven, Oleg Tinkov, and Aleksei Mordashov -- also billionaires who have been targeted by Western sanctions -- have already publicly called for a cessation of hostilities.


Little more at link, only two sentences.


When Putin loses more oligarchs, as I think he will, he will no longer have their confidence as Da Capo. They will ask him to retire, one way or another.

March 3, 2022

Russian Oligarch Deripaska Calls For End Of War Against Ukraine

Source: Radio Free Europe

Russian billionaire tycoon Oleg Deripaska, known for his close ties with President Vladimir Putin, has called for an end to the war in Ukraine.

...

Deripaska, who has been sanctioned by the West, warned of a possible nuclear accident at any of Ukraine's nuclear power facilities during the fighting, which would endanger, Russia, Ukraine, and Europe as a whole.

...

Deripaska is one of several Russian billionaires to call on the authorities to stop the full-scale military attack against Ukraine launched on February 24.

Mikhail Fridman, Pyotr Aven, Oleg Tinkov, and Aleksei Mordashov -- also billionaires who have been targeted by Western sanctions -- have already publicly called for a cessation of hostilities.


Read more: https://www.rferl.org/a/deripaska-oligarch-ukraine-russia-war/31734624.html



Two more sentences at the link, not much.

March 3, 2022

Ego leaves him no choice


He wants the two things all Rs want: money and to be relevant.

Democrats and progressives want the same things too. But they also want something else, which they balance with the other two and which sometimes becomes uppermost: helping people. Not some abstract notion of unity or helping the oligarchs. Practical actions and approaches that help actual people of all kinds. All kinds.

March 2, 2022

Putin is a mob boss. Controls but depends on the oligarchs. Mob bosses only are mob bosses while


Mob bosses are only Da Capo while they are producing. Putin isn't producing any more. He controls oligarchs through state apparatus including threats of violence (via subordinates of course) but if push comes to shove and they unite, then that apparatus and threats won't work very well, particularly if the populace feels the same way.

They won't assassinate him but they will convince him to retire to his $1,000,000,000 palace (yes, billion dollar palatial estate) he is building.

The question is, how soon will they act and how long will it take to convince him.

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Member since: Fri Jul 16, 2004, 11:36 PM
Number of posts: 48,988

About Bernardo de La Paz

Canadian who lived for many years in Northern California and left a bit of my heart there. (note to self: https: //images.dailykos.com/images/1043361/original/2016.09.19_sunflowers_header.jpg . https://i.imgur.com/1VKgdmc.jpeg)
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