Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

Bernardo de La Paz

Bernardo de La Paz's Journal
Bernardo de La Paz's Journal
May 16, 2020

Ad idea: Eventually they will pile so much shit that the tRumps will be remembered for shit Nov,


... not their targets.

Eventually there will be such a desperate attempt to pile more and more unbelievable shit on top of Biden and VP nominee that by November they will be remembered as the shit disturbers and it won't stick to Biden. Which will frustrate them and motivate them to pile even more shit in a failing effort to distract voters from thinking about 100,000+ dead.

Democrats could even make ads with clips of tRump-Republicons says the stupidest things about Obama, Hillary, and Biden. A big steaming pile of clips. Intersperse with Obama in a tan suit, Obama dropping the mic, Hillary brushing lint in the hearing, Pelosi leaving the White House in her red coat, Biden with sunglasses in the hot car, etc.

It could be done with an accelerating tempo and end with a longish cut where somebody, maybe even Biden says something like: "Aren't yearning, aching, dying for competent focused fact-based leadership?"

May 11, 2020

Posters: Please TRIM and post REAL links, not Google links


Google does not need to know that a cluster of people (on DU) all accessed the same article, thereby establishing connections among those people that are then fed into the maw of their giant Big Data operation for profit on your reading habits.

By trimming off obvious stuff from the front and back of the link, I was able to go to the original article without going through Google.

https://www.courthousenews.com/law-firm-worker-fired-after-posting-threat-against-face-mask-requirements/

I trimmed off "www.google.com/amp/s/" from the front and "amp/" from the back.

When the OP takes this simple step it means DU members don't have and it means that even those who don't care are protected.

May 10, 2020

The high part is smashing the opposition from a great height. "high" does not mean soft


"high" means "with moral authority", "from a great height to obtain and exert great force", "with high power".

May 10, 2020

He has it exactly right. That's not going low that's going high. Preserving Rule of Law


It's going high with an iron fist and smashing the orange mushroom's Gang to pieces. Smashing Greed Over People to pieces.

Aim to annihilate tRump's machine and his minions. Maybe than it will be a solid uncontested win. And annihilating the G.O.P. is still possible.

tRump needs to be made an example of to get Biden elected, after Biden is elected, and after Biden is inaugurated.

May 9, 2020

"Investors socializing their costs and privatizing their gains" is a phrase for the age. So real


That in a nutshell is how the gaping wealth and income disparity is created and widened.

They depend on so much infrastructure like public schools and subsidized airports and roads paid for by citizens through gas taxes.

May 1, 2020

Pence dared not wear a mask because they want masks to be for "weirdos" to fit their plan


They won't be able to get back to the old normal if masks are the new normal. tRump and Greed Over People are so all-in on the economic plan to "re-open", so all-in that they can only believe one possibility: the country goes back and some people die. But they have magical thinking "Oh it won't be too many". They don't want to try to understand the math (which is not hard math), even though basic graphs tell you what you need to know.

No, they have to appear confident and "normal". It's part of their only hope, their Hail Mary pass for getting re-elected.

Stay focused and be careful.

April 29, 2020

RW sites say "I knew I had something in November!" which is nonsense. I'm thinking


I have in mind the 5 week period from Feb 2 through March 11. The time between the Chhyna travel ban and the Europe travel ban (but not UK). In between, he appointed Pence and banned Iran travel. Oh and he had many rallies and much golf in the lost 5 weeks.

Frankly there wasn't much action two weeks before (following first US case) and a week or two after.

It is fashionable for RW posters to say they got something in November or December. But they can't simultaneously hold the position that they knew what was going on but their genius tRump was hoodwinked by the Chinese in the same period.

April 21, 2020

It is the logistics curve. Think an exponential and a reverse exponential glued together

Basically it is exponentially increasing until 50% and then exponentially decreasing, which means a long taper as the human population gets saturated with infection. It describes in a way the population growth of antibodies in the human bio-culture. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Logistic_function#In_ecology:_modeling_population_growth

What is the intuitive explanation? We all know that it seems like infections (unchecked) blow up in an area. This is because from this virus's point of view new hosts are easy to find and you're only killing off something from 1% to, say, 5% of hosts. But at the halfway point, infected people start to outnumber uninfected. It gets increasingly harder to find hosts. So the curve slows down and starts running out of steam. At some point like, say, 90% infected, what remains are pockets that don't communicate much with others. So the top flat part of the curve is never really 100%. This is effective herd immunity. The herd is essentially immune and its as if the infection has died out.

Now there are many confounding factors at play, but basically it is a logistic curve. For number of infections think of the vertical as 0.5 = 50%. Think of the horizontal as time. You can think of Month 0 as the worst month of the epidemic.

Logistic curve (Wikipedia):


The rate of change of the curve is the famous Curve We Are Flattening, because that is the rate at which we adding new cases. Technically it is called the logistic distribution (though it is not a probability distribution). https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Logistic_distribution As you lock down, you slow the rate of infection, which flattens the curve and spreads it out so that hospitals and health care workers are not overwhelmed.

The logistic distribution is the derivative (slope) of the logistic curve.
The logistic curve is the integral (area under) the logistic distribution.

There. You've just learned a bit of calculus. An example of the Fundamental Theorem of Calculus.

Logistic distribution (Wikipedia):


April 19, 2020

The key undeniable fact to keep in front of voters: Trump FAILED TO DEFEND America


It does not matter how the virus originated.
It does not matter where it originated.
Trump failed at his primary duty.

He swore to defend the US Constitution. You can't do that if you fail to defend the country of that Constitution. How do you keep a nation free by failing to defend it?

The Vice President, each Member of Congress, all officers in federal service (military and civilian as well as every enlisted service member explicitly swears to "support and defend the Constitution of the United States against all enemies, foreign and domestic …", except the President. But as Commander in Chief, it is implicit, as well as being implicit in the President's Oath:

"I do solemnly swear (or affirm) that I will faithfully execute the Office of President of the United States, and will to the best of my Ability, preserve, protect and [b]defend the Constitution of the United States."

Trump failed to defend the US.
He destroyed some of the warning systems (2018, 2019).
He "trusted" the WHO though he now says they are untrustworthy.
He disbelieved the USA Intelligence Community.
So many other markers of inaction and wrong actions.

Political advocacy is most effective when it clear, simple, and undeniably true.

Please add points and ideas on how to keep this key fact front and foremost through Nov 3 in the minds of voters.

Profile Information

Gender: Do not display
Member since: Fri Jul 16, 2004, 11:36 PM
Number of posts: 48,988

About Bernardo de La Paz

Canadian who lived for many years in Northern California and left a bit of my heart there. (note to self: https: //images.dailykos.com/images/1043361/original/2016.09.19_sunflowers_header.jpg . https://i.imgur.com/1VKgdmc.jpeg)
Latest Discussions»Bernardo de La Paz's Journal