September 11, 2019

Bahama Death Toll of 40,000 from Hurricane Dorian: My Estimate

"Just after Category 5 Hurricane Dorian stalled over the Grand Bahamas and Abaco Islands for 1.5 days, with 185 mph sustained winds (225 mph gusts) and a storm surge covering 2/3 of the islands, with up to 25 foot deep seawater, the world media reported an absurd death toll of exactly 5 people. Over the next 10 days their insane number climbed to 7, 10, 20, ..., 45. What really happened? I estimate a death toll of up to 40,000 people; over 10% of the countries population. Most of these people were likely washed out to sea by the massive storm surge, never to be seen again."


Paul Beckwith is a professor at University of Toronto and a climate researcher.