RandySF
RandySF's JournalSome predictions for 8:00 pm EDT
PA will be declared "Too Early to Call" for both parties because of the size and importance of the state. Trump will be declared in the remaining states. As for the Dems, MD and DE will be called for Clinton, CT 'Too Early' and RI 'Too Close' (with Bernie winning there).
Remember: Too Early typically means they want to see if some of the raw vote matches the exit poll data.
Clinton aims to railroad Sanders in ‘Acela primary'
BALTIMORE — Bernie Sanders looks to be headed for a rough ride through the Acela corridor.
Here in Maryland, where Hillary Clinton locked up much of the state’s political establishment last year while the state’s former, Gov. Martin O’Malley, was still in the race, she leads by more than 20 percentage points in the polls. On Monday, she was endorsed by The Baltimore Sun, the state's largest daily newspaper.
It’s a similar story in each of the four other Northeastern states voting Tuesday — Connecticut, Delaware, Pennsylvania and Rhode Island — where Sanders is also up against a wall of institutional support for Clinton. And there are other powerful forces working against him, among them, demographics and closed primaries.
Former Pennsylvania Gov. Ed Rendell, a longtime Clinton supporter, predicted that the four states using a closed primary format — where only registered Democrats can vote in the Democratic primary — will prove especially challenging for Sanders, whose best primary performances have come in states where voters don’t need to be Democrats to participate.
“Wherever it’s a primary for Democratic voters she does much better,” Rendell said of Clinton.
In a best-case scenario, Sanders might pull out a win or two Tuesday and keep it close in a delegate-rich state like Pennsylvania. It’s not out of the question: He’s outspent her on television and radio ads in all five states and attracted thousands of supporters to his trademark rallies.
But even so, the senator’s best-case scenario wouldn’t make much of a dent in Clinton’s delegate lead — currently at 275 pledged delegates
http://www.politico.com/story/2016/04/hillary-clinton-bernie-sanders-northeast-primaries-222272#ixzz46wOlM5qm
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Tuesday's 'Amtrak' primary runs on one timetable
Tuesday's presidential primaries in five states may be consequential, but they are not likely to be late. All five Amtrak corridor states — Pennsylvania, Maryland, Connecticut, Delaware and Rhode Island — close their polls at 8 p.m. ET, and polling suggests that winners may be declared pretty early in many of the races. Here's how to watch results of the Amtrak primaries:
http://www.kens5.com/news/nation-now/tuesdays-amtrak-primary-runs-on-one-timetable/153365152
Sanders backs off when asked about supporting Hillary.
Hillary Clinton suggested during a town hall event Monday that she expects Bernie Sanders to urge his supporters to vote for her in the general election, but Sanders wouldn’t commit — instead saying “it is incumbent upon Secretary Clinton” to make the case to his backers that she should be elected.
But when faced with a follow-up question about the political implications of not supporting Clinton, Sanders immediately suggested he wasn’t ruling anything out.
I will do everything in my power to make sure that no Republican gets into the White House in this election,” he told moderator Chris Hayes at an MSNBC town hall event in Philadelphia.
Speaking to Rachel Maddow in a segment that aired after Sanders’, Clinton recalled her experience losing to Barack Obama in 2008 and how she didn’t hesitate to support him after she withdrew from the race.
http://www.politico.com/story/2016/04/bernie-sanders-hillary-clinton-supporters-town-hall-222431#ixzz46tv4DURU
Cruz Vetting Fiorina as Possible Running Mate
Ted Cruz’s presidential campaign is vetting Carly Fiorina as a potential running mate, the Weekly Standard reports.
Fiorina has met with members of the Cruz campaign and has given them financial disclosures and other documentation. However, “no offers” have yet been made.
https://politicalwire.com/2016/04/25/cruz-vetting-fiorina-as-possible-running-mate/
Not cancer
The weight of the world is off my shoulders and I should have gotten checked sooner. Sorry for being unpleasant as I used DU as my punching bag. I promise to be a nicer person from now on.
Sanders caught in political trap
Looking at the tough political layout of the five states voting Tuesday, Bernie Sanders’ advisers are expecting him to win the smallest of them (Rhode Island) and hope he can surprise Hillary Clinton in the biggest (Pennsylvania).
But even under that best-case scenario, Sanders will face a familiar problem. His delegate deficit is likely to grow, and the campaign will continue to find itself caught in a unique bind that the Vermont senator and his top aides have chewed over countless times in meetings and conversations in Burlington, Vermont, and Washington, D.C. over the past week: Sanders is too strong to concede, but too weak to win.
His online money machine continues to pump along. He still draws thousands to his jam-packed rallies. There’s even the prospect of a series of likely May wins peeking over the horizon.
Yet the path to the Democratic nomination has all but vanished after his 16-point loss in New York last week. Now, with national polls showing him roughly even with the former secretary of state and with $17 million in his pocket as of the beginning of April, Sanders is faced with a series of tricky questions about his place in the race over the next two months — the first of which is how, exactly, to articulate his remaining route to victory.
He hasn’t yet figured out how to answer them.
“[Sanders] is now the rule, not the exception,” said Democratic strategist Joe Trippi, the campaign manager for Howard Dean’s insurgent 2004 campaign – which ended in February of that year. “We’ve just entered the stage now with either super PACs or online fundraising that means the second- or third-place candidate is likely to always have enough money and grassroots support to go to the end. Normally you’d be dead the day after South Carolina [which Sanders lost by 48 points]. He would’ve been under the old funding model."
http://www.politico.com/story/2016/04/sanders-caught-in-political-trap-222380#ixzz46oWfFuB9
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First 'Captain America: Civil War' Mid-Credit Scene Revealed (SPOILER)
After the first batch of credits roll (the fancy ones with just one name on the screen at a time) and before the white scrolling text on a black background, the mid-credits sequence fades up on Bucky Barnes (The Winter Soldier) strapped to an upright table, seemingly preparing for cryogenic stasis. Only he’s calm this time, not struggling like in his Winter Soldier days. The large room he’s in is heavenly white, with futuristic computers and equipment sparsely positioned around the space. A few doctors in equally bright white lab-coats dote on him.
We’re in Wakanda.
T’Challa (The Black Panther) asks Bucky if he’s sure he wants to do this. Bucky nods, asserting that he’s too much of a danger. Decades of Hydra programming remain lodged in his mind, which could potentially awake at any moment. Until Wakanda’s scientists can wipe that conditioning, he’ll sleep in cryogenic stasis once again.
Steve Rogers (Chris Evans) is there with them. He thanks T’Challa for looking after Bucky. T’Challa promises Barnes will be safe in Wakanda.
The camera then pans right revealing the wall-to-wall, floor-to-ceiling window the two stare out of, to then pass through the glass into a cloud of mist, and then into the clear revealing a tantalising glimpse of Wakanda, a half second shot of a jungle-like, mountainous terrain, with futuristic buildings half-submerged beneath the trees, and an enormous statue of a black panther, poised ready to pounce, on a huge column towering over the city.
There will most likely be another post-credits scene for the general release (and maybe even an extra one after that), but this was the only one in the press screening we were privileged to attend.
http://www.flickeringmyth.com/2016/04/spoilers-and-the-mid-credits-scene-from-captain-america-civil-war-is/
Clinton poised for victory in Pennsylvania
On the Democratic side, Clinton leads Sanders 55 percent to 40 percent, in line with a 16-point advantage over the last two weeks in the rolling Real Clear Politics polling average in the state, which awards its 189 pledged delegates on a proportional basis.
Clinton drew support from 67 percent of likely African-American voters, while just 29 percent said they would vote for the Vermont senator. The former secretary of state holds significant leads among voters older than 45 (66 percent to 28 percent), women (62 percent to 34 percent), those identifying as Democrats (60 percent to 36 percent) and those who are strongly behind a candidate (59 percent to 41 percent).
Sanders, however, led by wide margins among those 45 years old and younger (60 percent to 37 percent), those who identified as "very liberal" (58 percent to 41 percent) and self-described independents (55 percent to 39 percent). His advantage against Clinton among men is just outside the margin of error at 49 percent to 45 percent.
http://www.politico.com/story/2016/04/poll-trump-clinton-poised-for-victory-in-pennsylvania-222348#ixzz46ltR2oxy
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Report: Deval Patrick on Hillary Clinton's short list for vice president
Gov. Deval Patrick is reportedly on the short list of potential running mates for Democratic front-runner Hillary Clinton and Bay State political analysts say he could be the perfect pick because he could help win over the party’s progressive wing and shine in head-to-head debates.
“I think he’d be a terrific choice,” said Philip Johnston, former chairman of the Massachusetts Democratic Party. “He is viewed as a strong progressive, and I think he has great credibility with both Clinton and (Bernie) Sanders supporters.”
The New York Times reported yesterday that Clinton’s advisers are compiling a list of 15 to 25 potential candidates for vice president that includes Patrick.
Other contenders include former Virginia Govs. Tim Kaine and Mark Warner, Thomas E. Perez, President Obama’s labor secretary, and Ohio U.S. Sen. Sherrod Brown.
http://www.bostonherald.com/news/us_politics/2016/04/report_deval_patrick_on_hillary_clintons_short_list_for_vice_president
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