BlueMTexpat
BlueMTexpat's JournalHillary Clinton’s Lead Over Bernie Sanders Widens
http://www.wsj.com/articles/clintons-lead-over-sanders-widens-1453039203This poll has been posted already but this is a different article. (I think.)
The former secretary of state leads Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders 59% to 34%, a slightly larger margin than the 19-point gap in December.
The new national poll comes as surveys in Iowa and New Hampshire show the race tightening in the states that play host to the first two nominating contests. While losses there would be a setback for Mrs. Clinton, the new Journal/NBC News survey suggests that she would retain strong advantages in the later primaries. Mrs. Clinton owes her durable lead nationally to her strength with key subgroups in the Democratic primary electorate, including nonwhite, older and moderate-to-conservative primary voters.
The race looks much different in Iowa and New Hampshire. Aggregates of recent polls show the contests to be close in both states, with Mrs. Clinton edging Mr. Sanders in Iowa and the Vermont senator claiming a lead in neighboring New Hampshire.
I have a feeling that IA and NH, even though tight, will look better for HRC after her appearances on the Sunday shows and tonight's debate. Hope that feeling will be confirmed!
Madeleine Albright campaigns for Hillary Clinton in Iowa
http://wcfcourier.com/elections/caucuses/madeleine-albright-campaigns-for-hillary-clinton-in-iowa/article_15b516a3-3077-516b-a54c-2c41a27ab93f.htmlAlbright also credited Hillary with helping her become secretary of state.
A lot of people said a woman couldnt be secretary of state because the Arab countries wouldnt deal with a woman, she said. The Arab ambassadors at the U.N. put out a statement saying, Weve had no problems dealing with Ambassador Albright; we wouldnt have any problems dealing with Secretary Albright.
Apparently what happened, according to President Clinton, was that during that period Hillary would say to him: Why wouldnt you name Madeleine. She is most in touch with your views, expresses them better than anyone else and, besides, it would make your mother happy.
Watch These 12-Year-Olds Talk About Race More Candidly Than Most Adults Do
http://www.yesmagazine.org/peace-justice/watch-these-twelve-year-olds-talk-about-race-more-candidly-than-most-adults-doRecently, New York Public Radio (WNYC) decided to go straight to kids themselves and asked a group of 12-year-olds, What are you? for the radio series Being 12. Their answers revealed the array of complex experiences that pre-teens face every day based on their race.
The Presidential Candidates Ranked By Their Usefulness In A Bar Fight
On the lighter side ... from just before the GOP debate.
http://bitterempire.com/presidential-candidates-ranked-usefulness-bar-fight/
Abbreviated Pundit Round-up: Hillary v Bernie pales in comparison to Democrats v Republicans
Good read generally from Daily Kos, especially if one follows the embedded links to the source stories:
http://www.dailykos.com/stories/2016/1/16/1470548/-Abbreviated-Pundit-Round-up-Hillary-v-Bernie-pales-in-comparison-to-Democrats-v-Republicans
Will that make anyone act differently between now and November? Not likely. But Im saying it anyway because its true.
One view from Down Under: Hillary heading for victory
http://www.theaustralian.com.au/opinion/us-presidential-election-hillary-clinton-is-heading-for-victory/news-story/d6f00b85d832bb7378ac0ded353ff733Apart from repetition of uncomplimentary memes/items and a comparison of HRC to GHWB (which, IMO, is not a fair one), this article sums up the latent strengths in her campaign pretty well and is still a good read.
US presidential election: Hillary Clinton is heading for victory:
Start with her strengths. She has name recognition: like Madonna, Beyonce and Brittany, Hillary is universally known by her first name. As former high-profile first lady, New York senator, secretary of state and best-selling author, she is arguably the most experienced and versatile political figure to run for the White House since George HW Bush in 1988.
Many people are also lured by the prospect of her becoming Americas first female president. As her supporters declare, the 68-year-old Hillary may not be the youngest candidate running for president; but she would be the youngest woman president in American history and first grandmother! Add to this her discipline, determination, high intelligence and her terrific debating skills, and it is no wonder the Democratic Party establishment is solidly behind her. Hillarys backers hopes to raise an astonishing $US2 billion for her campaign. (In 2008, Obama raised $US1bn).
Its not just her resume that makes Clinton the hot favourite for the presidency. The political winds are blowing behind her in crucial respects: the nations political trajectory; the electoral arithmetic and demography; and, not least, her competition.
FiveThirtyEight's take on the GOP debate
If you couldn't stand to watch the debate, here's one recap:
http://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/fox-business-republican-debate-presidential-election-2016/
Fun encounter: Hillary Clinton with Jimmy Fallon
http://www.gossipcop.com/hillary-clinton-jimmy-fallon-video-2016-job-interview-tonight-show-watch/...
Next, Clinton talked about her endorsements from Planned Parenthood and the Brady Campaign, which is an organization devoted to the prevention of gun violence. She said she was honored to get endorsements from both.
Much like Trumps appearance on the Tonight Show earlier in the week, Fallon similarly put Clinton through a mock job interview. Fallon first asked, How did you hear about the position? to which Clinton answered, Fourth grade social studies. He followed that up with a question about her qualifications. I have done a lot of work and have references, said Clinton.
Clinton's senses of fun and humor have been much underrated. They will do her in good stead, IMO.
The most recent IA caucus forecast from FiveThirtyEight
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/election-2016/primary-forecast/iowa-democratic/The prediction does not mean that the race will not be close. There is every indication that it will be. But it's hardly time to lose heart despite the constant trashing of our candidate on DU. http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/ia/iowa_democratic_presidential_caucus-3195.html
PEC readers chat about the GOP nomination
Sam Wang of the Princeton Election Consortium (PEC) hasn't weighed in on the Democratic primaries yet. But he has some good posts about what he believes is happening in the GOP primaries.
Here is an interesting chat: http://election.princeton.edu/2016/01/10/a-princeton-election-consortium-chat-about-the-gop-nomination/
Let me cut-and-paste some of your recent remarks into a PEC chat. Edited for flow. Add your own two cents in the comment thread.
The chat may be more readable with some preparatory "homework," e.g., The predictive power of GOP Presidential polls http://election.princeton.edu/2016/01/05/what-december-polls-can-tell-us-about-the-gop-nomination/ and Does Trump's ceiling matter? http://election.princeton.edu/2016/01/07/does-trumps-ceiling-matter/
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