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BlueMTexpat

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Gender: Female
Home country: USA
Current location: Switzerland
Member since: Wed Oct 29, 2008, 03:01 PM
Number of posts: 14,020

Journal Archives

From 1937 To Hillary Clinton, How Americans Have Felt About A Woman President

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/from-1937-to-hillary-clinton-how-americans-have-felt-about-a-female-president/

Interesting read about the statistical history of preference for women candidates.

In January of 1937, the Gallup Poll, then in its second year of existence, posed this question: “Would you vote for a woman for president if she was qualified in every other respect?”

Sixty-four percent of Americans said no, 33 percent said yes, and 3 percent had no opinion on the matter.

Some variation of the question would be asked by pollsters for the next eight decades, including during the 2016 campaign cycle, which saw Hillary Clinton become the first woman nominated for president by a major party. Harkening back to the women of Seneca Falls and their Declaration of Sentiments along with the struggles and triumphs of her own mother, Clinton made history this week in a country where women are paid less than men for the same jobs and spousal rape wasn’t illegal in all 50 states until 1993.

The American people’s ideas about a woman’s fitness for office have fluctuated over time. In 1940, three years after Gallup’s initial survey, the question was asked again, this time by People’s Research Center. Respondents were less inclined to vote for a woman — 73 percent said no. Something in the public’s mood, perhaps the specter of world war, seems to have played to the great disadvantage of the hypothetical female president.

BERNIE SANDERS’S POST-CALIFORNIA CHOICE

http://www.newyorker.com/news/amy-davidson/bernie-sanders-post-california

Eta: Note to Mods: the headline in the article is all in Caps.

Sanders's intentions are apparently somewhat muddled and - one might say - confusing. The only clear thing is that Bernie wants it all about him, despite what he says.

"You all know it is more than Bernie,” Senator Bernie Sanders said late on Tuesday night, in Santa Monica, to thousands of supporters who were shouting his name. It would be unfair to suggest that they didn’t know that: for one thing, they cheered even louder when Sanders thanked them for taking part in a “political revolution.” And nobody could really know, at that point, if Sanders had lost California, the state that had seemed essential to the idea that the race against Hillary Clinton would undergo a late-life alchemical transformation. (Clinton won by a significant margin, but those votes were counted hours later.) Still, it was common knowledge, in this crowd and across the country, that Clinton, after winning the New Jersey primary earlier in the evening, had declared victory in the race for the Democratic nomination, a day after the Associated Press did it for her. As Sanders’s speech began, the people in the crowd didn’t know if he would agree with her, and with the inescapable delegate math. Many of them clearly hoped that he wouldn’t. And he didn’t. Sanders wasn’t ready to say that the campaign against Donald Trump, at least, was now more about Hillary Clinton than about him.
...
... The Sanders scenario goes like this: Clinton has only reached the “magic number” of twenty-three hundred and eighty-three if one counts superdelegates (this is hard to avoid, since the Democrats have more than seven hundred superdelegates), who, though they say they are voting for her now, can change their vote at any time up until the roll call at the Convention. The question is why they would do such a thing. Clinton has a majority of the pledged delegates as well, so there isn’t really an argument based on electoral returns. The superdelegates are elected officials and Party functionaries, who overwhelmingly back her and seem unmoved by polls that show Sanders doing better in matchups with Trump. Sanders argues that they could, nonetheless, be talked into it. (“We are on the phone right now,” he told Lester Holt, of NBC, on Tuesday.) Sanders alluded to this exercise in his Santa Monica speech by saying that he was “pretty good at arithmetic” and knew the road was “steep.” It is so steep, at this point, that it requires not a climb but a rocket. What is the potential fuel that the Sanders campaign is looking for—an indictment or some disqualifying scandal? It would be hard to see that as an outcome worth celebrating for any campaign.


And then there is his meeting with PBO today, after which Bernie apparently decided to use the WH as background for his latest speech. http://www.wsj.com/articles/bernie-sanders-meets-with-president-obama-over-democratic-race-1465486247

*Bernie Sanders Vows to Compete in Washington, D.C., Primary on Tuesday, Last of Cycle

*Sanders Says He Will Do Whatever He Can to Keep Trump From Getting Elected

*Sanders Calls for Statehood for Washington, D.C.

*Sanders Says He Will Meet With Hillary Clinton to Discuss How They Can Work Together to Defeat Trump


More grandstanding, methinks. I'll believe that Bernie will do whatever he can to keep Trump from getting elected and to work together with Hillary when I actually see him doing it - not simply talking about it.

AP declares Clinton winner in NJ

http://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/new-jersey

Turkey: '11 dead' in Istanbul car bomb - city governor

Source: Euronews

At least 11 people have been killed, and 36 others are wounded, in a suspected car bomb attack in Istanbul, according to the city governor.

Reports suggest a car packed with explosives was detonated by remote control as a Turkish police bus passed by in the central district of Vezneciler.

Governor Vasip Sahin told reporters near the scene that seven of the dead were police officers. Three of the wounded are in a critical condition, he added.

The blast occurred during the morning rush hour near Istanbul university and the city’s historic quarter, a major draw for tourists.

Read more: http://www.euronews.com/2016/06/07/istanbul-rocked-by-blast-reports-a-turkish-police-bus-was-targeted-and-people-wounded/



I just returned from Istanbul on Saturday. I am so sorry to hear this. I can only send messages of condolences to the many, many wonderful Turks I was able to meet and interact with personally during my two weeks+ in that country. They are in the front lines of too many conflicts as they straddle both Europe and Asia.

Turkish tourism has already been badly affected by the drastic drop in Western visitors and this will do nothing to help the situation.

Senate 2016: The Democrats Strike Back

Democrats have a good map, but early evidence suggests a close race for majority control.

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/senate-2016-the-democrats-strike-back/

It may come as a shock given all the attention being paid to the presidential race this year, but the president isn’t all-powerful. In fact, the U.S. Congress is supposed to be a coequal branch of the federal government. From voting on important legislation to confirming Cabinet appointees and federal judges, the Senate matters.

Right now, Republicans hold 54 seats to the Democrats’ 46 (including two independents who caucus with the Democrats). The Democrats have a favorable map in 2016: Of the 34 seats up for grabs, 24 are held by Republicans. Democrats need to net four seats to win control of the Senate if Hillary Clinton wins the presidency and five seats if Donald Trump wins. We’ll launch our official Senate projections later this year, but it’s not too early to take a more informal tour through the races. The combination of the polling, the political lean of the states being contested and the candidates running suggests a close race for control of the chamber.

The biggest factor working in the Democrats’ favor is fairly simple: Senate election results are increasingly tied to the presidential vote in each state:


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The Latest: Puerto Ricans vote in Democratic primary

http://www.newser.com/article/128558cafc674ee5a7bbdd1216ce3514/the-latest-puerto-ricans-vote-in-democratic-primary.html

This could possibly qualify as LBN. But the hosts of that forum have apparently decided that they don't like what I post there - even when my information is different from/more updated than previously posted sources or from mainstream as opposed to RW sources. They have a tendency to lock my threads. So I am staying here - in one of the only two DU Groups where I feel comfortable.

WASHINGTON (AP) — The Latest on the presidential campaign, with Democrats Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders holding events Sunday in California and Democrats in Puerto Rico voting in the party's primary (all times Eastern Daylight Time):

11:40 am.

Puerto Ricans frustrated by the island's economic crisis are voting in the U.S. territory's Democratic presidential primary, as front-runner Hillary Clinton drew closer to securing the number of delegates needed to win her party's nomination.

A blowout win Saturday in the U.S. Virgin Islands left Clinton just 60 delegates short of the 2,383 needed to win the nomination.

Sixty pledged delegates are at stake in Puerto Rico. Clinton would need to win more than 85 percent of the vote to get them all.

Voters were mainly focused on the island's economic crisis.

Puerto Rico Democratic Primary: Results to Push Clinton Closer to Nomination

OK - the voting has yet to take place. But, according to this source, things look VERY good for Hillary. Bernie's campaign there has done him no favors.

http://patch.com/us/across-america/puerto-rico-democratic-primary-results-push-clinton-closer-nomination-0

Both Clinton and Bernie Sanders have campaigned in Puerto Rico, with the focus being on what the two candidates would do to solve the territory's debt crisis. Clinton has a clear advantage in the territory as there is a sizable Puerto Rican population in New York, where she served as a senator.

Sanders on the other hand is not winning himself any favors with Democrats in Puerto Rico. On Saturday, his campaign accused local party leaders of fraud, claiming that officials with the campaign were denied access to prisons to help inmates vote.


Not really a smart move ... but perhaps that's just me.

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