discocrisco01
discocrisco01's JournalDems Are Trying To Diss Nate Silver in Donations Ads
I got this e-mail from the Democratic National Committee
"Here is the article for funding the Democratic election
"Sam --
Last week, Nate Silver released his model for the 2014 election, which said that Republicans are a slight favorite to win the U.S. Senate.
We're doomed!
But just before that, Nate Silver released his NCAA Tournament model, which showed that Duke had a 92.9 percent chance of beating Mercer in the first round. And did you see how that turned out for the Blue Devils? Yeah, they lost.
Mercer defeats Duke
Models are valuable, and they help us make a lot of strategic decisions. But they don't determine our destiny, and they aren't a substitute for hard work.
Leslie Knope's advice on hard work
So if 11 people like you from Mission Viejo step up right now, before our first quarterly deadline of 2014, we can make sure that Nate Silver's current math winds up looking a little silly in about seven months.
Chip in $10 or more before Monday:
https://my.democrats.org/Step-Up
Thanks!
Matt
Matt Compton
Digital Director
Democratic National Committee"
So the Dems are trying to diss Nate Silver like they did in 2012. The reality is that Nate Silver is right not because the country supports the GOP policies, but rather high voter dissatisfaction from white, older voters who typically show up in midterm elections and a higher chance of the GOP nominating viable center-right Senate candidates who vote conservative, but who do not use the inflammatory language of the tea party. The subject GOP candidates would appeal to older, white conservative-leaning independents who would typically vote GOP candidates that are mainstream, but are turned off by tea party extremists.
These people really did not like Obamacare to start with, but gave it an open mind, but saw how the program appeared to struggle and not offer the healthcare that the independent voters thought it would deliver. Therefore, their expectations were not met and they choose to jump ship back to the GOP which is the party of choice among these voters.
These voters are not "centrists", but rather moderate conservatives who call themselves independent and that are white. This the group of voters that elected all of the Blue Dogs in 2006 because the war in Iraq was a bust. And this is the same group of voters who voted the Dems out in 2010. They are a fickle group to please for liberals and prefer vote to the GOP line if they got their way. A lot of the voters live in red states and that is why the Dems are going to lose.
Since most people do not see any real "promise" in the current change of the affairs, they are mostly likely to stay at home because they are not traditionally involved with politics and only vote in Presidential years when the Dems has a dynamic, charismatic candidate that has something to offer younger votes.
This is why Nate Silver made the predictions the way that he did. At least, that is what my analysis tells me.
Are Dems Doomed?
This year was always going to be a difficult one for Democrats, as they battle to keep their five-seat majority in the Senate. But in recent months, the political landscape has grown bleaker.
Let's start with the basics: Democrats have more seats at risk this year than Republicans do. Of the 36 Senate seats up for election (including three midterm vacancies), 21 are held by Democrats. And seven of those Democratic seats are in Republican-leaning "red states" that Mitt Romney won in 2012: Alaska, Arkansas, Louisiana, Montana, North Carolina, South Dakota and West Virginia.
The stakes are enormous. If Republicans take control of the Senate and keep the House of Representatives, they'll be able to pass parts of their conservative agenda that have been blocked until now. President Obama will still have veto power, but he'll have to spend his last two years in office stuck on defense.
Read more at
http://www.latimes.com/opinion/commentary/la-oe-mcmanus-column-midterm-elections-20140316,0,6376422.column#axzz2w2wCdCqa
The Dems Official Excuse For Losing Last Night
So I get this piece of propaganda in my e-mail box from the Democratic party
" What happened last night in Florida was really scary.
Republican super PACs and outside groups rode to the rescue of a straight-up corporate lobbyist -- spending $5 million to tear down his Democratic opponent.
Five million dollars in outside spending -- from groups funded by anonymous donors in many cases -- in just one congressional district. Now multiply that by the number of races we need to win to take back the House, then add tens of millions of dollars in states like Kentucky, Georgia, or Texas, where we have a chance to pick up Senate seats and governor's mansions.
If that doesn't scare you, it should. But the good news is that you can do something about it right now. Chip in $10 or more to make sure Democrats have the resources to fight back against right-wing special interests.
In a district that Republicans have held for almost six decades, we nearly pulled off an incredible upset thanks to grassroots support from Democrats like you -- but we fell short for one reason: We got outspent in a Republican district. And call me old fashioned, but I think people, and not special interests, should decide elections.
And the math on these midterm elections is pretty simple: The more people vote, the more races Democrats will win.
But if we can't break through all the noise from the special interest attack ads, taking back the House is off the table -- and everything we want to do in President Obama's last two years in office is in jeopardy.
Make sure we have what we need to elect Democrats in November. Pitch in $10 or more now:
https://my.democrats.org/Win-in-November
Thanks,
Amy
Amy K. Dacey
Chief Executive Officer
Democratic National Committee"
In the perception of the media, the reason why the Republicans won is because people are not satisfied with Obama Care. The true reason is because the Democrats implemented a health-care reform law based on a conservative think-tank that stinks and should never been implemented in the first place. The irony is that the Republicans developed the plan and then later oppose it to exploit a gullable voters that there was a government takeover of the healthcare system and when, in fact, that is entirely the truth. The Republicans gave the Dems the idea and then bailed on the idea because they wanted to create an issue for fund-raising and votes for right-wing ideologues.
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