Poll: Will there be a debate before the CA primary?

We all know the debate saga.

1) The DNC originally schedules 6 debates.

2) Sanders, O’Malley, and others demand more debates but DWS refuses.

3) Then as the New Hampshire primary approaches and Clinton is behind in the polls, she suddenly wants an additional debate in New Hampshire.

4) Sanders agrees provided that Clinton agrees to another 3 debates, one each in March, April, and May.

Salon: A liberal case for Donald Trump: The lesser of two evils is not at all clear in 2016

HuffPost: Why Do Progressives Cling to Hillary?

Is Bernie campaigning only in Ca. What about the other open primaries....

Of the 14 remaining contests;
3 are caucuses
7 are open primaries
4 are closed primaries?

Will Bernie be actively campaigning in these, or is he just focusing on Ca. NJ is an open primary and has 126 delegates.

I don't expect him to win a majority of pledged delegates, but it's important that he stops Clinton from clinching the nomination with just pledged delegates. (Clinton needs to win 70.6% of the remaining pledged delegates in order to clinch the nomination without super-delegates).

Who is Julia Rosen from ActBlue, who does she represent?

I only contributed to Bernie, and she is clearly not part of his campaign. But none of her emails says who she is working for.

Robert Reich; The New Common Ground Between Populist Left and Right

Bottom line on NY: Clinton increases her pledged delegate lead by 31

It's a setback, but not a fatal blow.

Why is Clinton having so much difficulty winning the nomination?

Clinton started the primaries with more advantages then any other non-incumbent in history. In fact she has had the nearly the same status as an incumbent president running for re-election. The entire party establishment supported her, as did the financial and media establishments. The actual primaries should have been a mere formality. And yet she is still in a fight for the nomination. Even if she wins a majority of the pledged delegates, it is extremely unlikely that she will win enough pledged delegates (58.8%) to clinch the nomination without super-delegates. She has a negative favorable rating and is not trusted by a majority of Americans.

So what is wrong with Hillary Clinton? Why is she having such a hard time winning? She herself said that she is not a natural politician. Whatever the reasons are, whether fair or unfair, she is very unpopular. She could beat Trump (almost anyone could). But Cruz, and especially Kasich, might beat her. This is the reason that the super-delegates may desert her at the convention, she simply is not a very good candidate.

Bernie's goal tonight: 45.6%

So far Bernie has won 45.6% of all the pledged delegates. If that rate remains until the end of the primaries the final pledged delegate count will be;
Bernie - 1847, Clinton - 2204.
This will leave Clinton 179 votes short of the nomination.

The last primary is June 14 and the convention starts July 25. A lot can happen in five and a half weeks, especially since the GOP has its convention first. If after the GOP convention the polls show that Bernie is a significantly stronger candidate against the GOP nominee then is Hillary, then the super delegates will have to nominate him. Hillary can claim the moral argument that she won the majority of pledged delegates and the popular vote. But the party leaders are politicians, their only concern is winning.

My theory regarding what is in the Goldman-Sachs transcripts

No one can deny that there is something in the transcripts that Clinton does not want revealed. The Clinton campaign has calculated that releasing the transcripts would be more harmful then the negative publicity that comes with not releasing them. So the question is; What is in the transcript?

My theory is that there are just a couple of sentences that the Clinton campaign is worried about. And those sentences pertain to the mortgage crisis of 2008. The right wing Competitive Enterprise Institute ran an article written by head of the R Street Institute, a conservative think tank, that said “borrowers themselves should assume primary responsibility for the current subprime crisis. Millions of borrowers, all over the country, knowingly signed mortgage contracts they cannot now afford to honor.” This is a theme that Wall St. titans use to convince themselves that they didn’t cause the economic crisis. I suspect, admittedly with no evidence, that Clinton in her speech to Goldman-Sachs flattered her audience by repeating this trope.

The following is a paraphrase of what I think Clinton may have said in her speech.

“Thank you ladies and gentlemen for inviting me here tonight. The Wall St. community has been demonized for causing the financial crisis. While the financial community unquestionably made mistakes it is unfair to place all the blame on Wall St. It is true that banks gave mortgages to people with poor credit, however those same people took the loans knowing that they could not afford them. Both the lenders and borrowers must share equal responsibility for the mortgage crisis.”

I readily admit that this is pure speculation. I merely suggest that this is a plausible explanation of what the transcripts might contain. A person, especially a politician, who is paid over $200,000 for a speech can be expected to tell the audience what it wants to hear. But defending Wall St. in the current political climate is a sure way of losing an election. So it makes sense that Clinton would prefer to be criticized for not releasing the transcripts rather then be criticized for what she said to Goldman-Sachs.