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jg10003

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Member since: Fri Nov 5, 2010, 11:18 PM
Number of posts: 805

Journal Archives

How do I know if my signature on my mail-in ballot matches

My signature on record? I have been registered at my current home for 20 years. My penmanship has always been erratic and my hand is a lot less steady than it was.

538: The Senate's Rural Skew Makes It Very Hard For Democrats To Win The Supreme Court

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-senates-rural-skew-makes-it-very-hard-for-democrats-to-win-the-supreme-court/


the Senate is an enormous problem for Democrats given the current political coalitions, in which Democrats are dominant in cities while Republicans triumph in rural areas. And because the Senate is responsible for confirming Supreme Court picks, that means the Supreme Court is a huge problem for Democrats too. Sure, Democrats might win back the Senate this year ó indeed, they were slight favorites to do so before the Ginsburg news. But in the long run, theyíre likely to lose it more often than not.


Indeed, despite their current 47-53 deficit in the Senate, Democratic senators actually represent slightly more people than Republicans. If you divide the U.S. population by which party represents it in the Senate ó splitting credit 50-50 in the case of states such as Ohio that have one senator from each party ó you wind up with 167 million Americans represented by Democratic senators and 160 million by Republicans.


the Senate is effectively 6 to 7 percentage points redder than the country as a whole, which means that Democrats are likely to win it only in the event of a near-landslide in their favor nationally. Thatís likely to make the Republican majority on the Supreme Court pretty durable.

Huff Post: Republicans In Swing States Were Fixing Vote-By-Mail Systems. Then Trump Tweeted.

https://www.huffpost.com/entry/trump-mail-in-voting-republicans-swing-states_n_5f52ba3ac5b62b3add407b24

Interesting article, but one paragraph is very frightening:

For Trump, the attack on absentee voting serves a dual purpose. Supporters of former Vice President Joe Biden are twice as likely as Trump supporters to say they plan to vote by mail, so Trumpís campaign has launched a barrage of lawsuits to stop states from expanding access to mail-in voting.

Though Trump canít stop absentee voting entirely, he can attack its legitimacy and, potentially, lay the groundwork to declare himself the winner before all votes are counted. Because more Republicans will likely vote in person, early returns may show Trump with a large lead until officials can tally a flood of absentee ballots.
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