https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/


Update...must go out and shop for my poor little kiddies or no Christmas presents for them...they think Dad is cheap (not really fair or true but family lore). The kids believed in Santa much longer than most because my answer was when they asked...'you think Dad buys all this stuff"? hehe. Dad does hate to shop so a kernel of truth...I will reply upon my return

Joe Biden you bring hope to this beleaguered nation-savaged by Trump and his Republican cronies...I know you will kick Trump to the curb and fix what these barbarians have broken so we can once again hold our head up and be proud to be Americans.

I am sure the Warren campaign is breathing a sigh of relief in hearing this.

https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1196915776176812032

particularly Gym Jordan who allowed boys as young as 14 to be sexually molested in Ohio...he is a disgrace to my state and our nation.

https://twitter.com/joncoopertweets/status/1196855411984543751"https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js"

They have no honor.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/

beginning in October (after the debates?) and continuing into November



Biden is leading in the RCP average in all states except Monmouth where he is tied. Great news for Joe...he is as I stated before clearly the front runner and will go on IMHO to be our nominee in 20...Trump will lose in a landslide!

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/us/2020_democratic_presidential_nomination-6730.html

voters. This explains this outlier...but even here most expected that Biden would beat Trump most easily....

"This survey uses statistical weighting procedures to account for deviations in the survey
sample from known population characteristics, which helps correct for differential survey
participation and random variation in samples. The overall adult sample is weighted to
recent Census data using a sample balancing procedure to match the demographic makeup of
the population by region, gender, age, education and race."

The polls are the polls of course but using self identified registered voters ...random calling and statistical methods which I think are questionable call into question the accuracy of this poll . The folks they call claim to be Democrats and maybe most are but who knows...Since this poll is an outlier, it is my opinion that the methodology explains why this is so...and we shall see but I doubt its veracity.

I would also add the internals are not very well defined. Democrats from lists of Democratic voters and likely voters should be used particularly in a primary for polling and not random calling which ended using self identified registered Democrat and 'Democratic leaning voters'. Next the data was massaged using two methods which I find disturbing...but IMHO, the voters called did not produce and adequate sampling of Democratic voters and the way the data was manipulated disturbed me.

https://poll.qu.edu/national/release-detail?ReleaseID=3646
https://poll.qu.edu/images/polling/us/us10242019_demos_ulow46.pdf/

so we can beat Trump, I will find it. Please donate. Ruin Trump's day, month, year etc.

Updated to include both supporters and anyone else who feels moved to donate.

down tomorrow...sigh...it sucks.