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Demsrule86

Profile Information

Gender: Female
Hometown: Ohio
Home country: USA
Current location: Bedford OH
Member since: Wed Jul 13, 2011, 08:37 AM
Number of posts: 46,728

Journal Archives

The Quinnipiac poll showing Warren in the lead sampled self identified registered voters not likely

voters. This explains this outlier...but even here most expected that Biden would beat Trump most easily....

"This survey uses statistical weighting procedures to account for deviations in the survey
sample from known population characteristics, which helps correct for differential survey
participation and random variation in samples. The overall adult sample is weighted to
recent Census data using a sample balancing procedure to match the demographic makeup of
the population by region, gender, age, education and race."

The polls are the polls of course but using self identified registered voters ...random calling and statistical methods which I think are questionable call into question the accuracy of this poll . The folks they call claim to be Democrats and maybe most are but who knows...Since this poll is an outlier, it is my opinion that the methodology explains why this is so...and we shall see but I doubt its veracity.

I would also add the internals are not very well defined. Democrats from lists of Democratic voters and likely voters should be used particularly in a primary for polling and not random calling which ended using self identified registered Democrat and 'Democratic leaning voters'. Next the data was massaged using two methods which I find disturbing...but IMHO, the voters called did not produce and adequate sampling of Democratic voters and the way the data was manipulated disturbed me.

https://poll.qu.edu/national/release-detail?ReleaseID=3646
https://poll.qu.edu/images/polling/us/us10242019_demos_ulow46.pdf/

Biden supporters and anyone who wants to...just donated to Joe...if he needs money

so we can beat Trump, I will find it. Please donate. Ruin Trump's day, month, year etc.

Updated to include both supporters and anyone else who feels moved to donate.

Well, we are laid off too-GM strike- ...entire company shut down...more companies shutting

down tomorrow...sigh...it sucks.

Update Layoffs in Cleveland...GM and UAW settled temp workers and are close...strike over soon...tha

is the word. I pray it is true.

My husbands plant will lay off all workers except 1st shift and maintenance due to the GM strike.
These are not high wage workers and will face terrible times...please send good thoughts and prayers if you will for these folks and their families. I pray this strike will be over soon or many of us in my area including my husband and myself will face unemployment. I have to go out but will answer posts upon my return...hoping for an end to the GM strike. The economy is weakening with manufacturing at its lowest since 2008...I hope to God we are not facing a recession. Of course if you lose your job then you are in your own personal 'recession'. Stay strong!

My husbands plant will lay off all workers except 1st shift and maintenance due to the GM strike.

These are not high wage workers and will face terrible times...please send good thoughts and prayers if you will for these folks and their families. I pray this strike will be over soon or many of us in my area including my husband and myself will face unemployment. I have to go out but will answer posts upon my return...hoping for an end to the GM strike. The economy is weakening with manufacturing at its lowest since 2008...I hope to God we are not facing a recession. Of course if you lose your job then you are in your own personal 'recession'.
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