upaloopa
upaloopa's JournalI think I can understand why some people wouldn't like Hillary as opposed to Bernie.
The following is my opinion only. I don't speak for anyone else ever.
When I was a small kid we were poor. I didn't know we were poor at the time but later I learned how little my dad brought home. I learned why my mom worked. I learned why we were sent to caddie at a golf course the summer after fourth grade. I've been working ever since. I am going to retire in May on my 70th birthday.
My dad didn't earn enough to support us and could not afford to give us an allowance. We were allowed to keep the money we earned but when we turned 18 we had to start paying rent to live in the house we grew up in. This was in the 50's and sixties. I was born in 1946.
My mom was a soft touch and my dad was not. If my mom took us to buy new shoes we could persuade her to buy shoes we liked. If we went with my dad he picked out the most affordable shoes that he thought would wear longest. There were many other things like that.
I said all that because I was on a conference call with Hillary today and one contrast between Hillary and Bernie became clear and reminded me of my parents when we were growing up.
Hillary is like my dad was and Bernie is like my mom was.
One of the questions during the conference call was from a mother with twin 5 year olds. She is worried about being able to send her kids to college because of the high cost of education.
This is how Hillary answered. She started out listing ways people now use to afford college like going to a junior college for the first two years.
Then Hillary told the woman, "Don't edit yourself. Set high standards for your kids."
Hillary said not to let the high cost of education today keep you from planning to send your kids to college if that is what they want to do.
Hillary said to the woman that she hoped by the time she is in the fourth year of her administration the cost of education would be affordable to everyone. Then she said "but your kids might have to work a little."
Hillary could have said "we are going to have free tuition for everyone."
Hillary isn't going to promise things she doesn't think will get done. If you noticed during the debates she makes no apologies for her positions.
She calls herself a progressive that likes to get things done.
I understand a whole bunch of people do not like the Hillary I described.
I like that Hillary is practical and pragmatic. Maybe it is because of the era I grew up in.
Instead of free tuition she says affordable tuition but you have to work for it and that Trumps kid should not get free education.
Instead of single payer she says she will build on Obama care.
Instead of $15 an hour she says that it isn't practical in all areas but that $12 is better in some areas.
No Bernie supporter is going to like that, I understand.
But Hillary isn't going to promise things that won't get done.
Again this is all my opinion I don't speak for Hillary or anyone else.
What I heard on my phone call with Hillary today
Primary
There are 1600 precinct captains in IA
NH they have a great ground game
NV they have been in the state since April
SC another great team on the ground and lots of surrogates
They have staff in all Super Tuesday states
Policy
To be announced this afternoon
New policy to fight for LGBT Americans
1. fight for full fed equality
2. support parents and elders of LGBT community
3. change school climates
4. adoption for LGBT community
5. Dignity and respect for elders
6. LGBT military upgrade to change dishonorable discharge to honorable for those discharged under don't ask don't tell
7. fight for transgender rights
8. Global equity fund for LGBT living abroad.
Also a new substance abuse campaign to get new grants to help with substance abuse
other issues are
gun violence
Defeat ISIS
stop ability of terrorists to get guns in the U.S.
Home grown terrorist plan
shut down ISIS virtual territory
Balance civil liberties with upgraded intelligence
Support law enforcement and first responders re: terrorism
help local communities with terrorist efforts
we have 83,000 volunteers
questions and answers
The one take away I got is that Hillary isn't promising things she can't deliver on.
on a question about college from a mother with 5yr old twins she said "don't edit yourself, set high standards for kids" meaning don't let the high cost of education today stop you from planning to send your kids to college if that is their interest to do.
and by the time Hillary is in her 4th year college will be affordable but kids may have to work etc.
Well that was from notes I took
I am not good at note taking.
From Me, we get dumped on by Bernie folks because he promises better stuff than Hillary. Well I doubt he can deliver on them. Again Hillary doesn't promise things that can't get done
the only way to win was doing well with independents and we were kicking ass with independents
The Romney campaign thought Obama’s base had lost its affection for its candidate. They believed Obama would win only if he won over independent voters. So Romney focused on independents and the economy, which was their key issue. The Republican ground game was focused on winning those voters. “We thought the only way to win was doing well with independents and we were kicking ass with independents,
http://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/politics/2012/11/why_romney_was_surprised_to_lose_his_campaign_had_the_wrong_numbers_bad.html
Fed Rate Goes Up. Mortgage Rates Go Down
http://www.mortgagenewsdaily.com/consumer_rates/543379.aspxFed Rate Goes Up. Mortgage Rates Go Down
Dec 16 2015, 6:40PM
Mortgage rates moved just slightly lower today, despite the long-awaited Fed rate hike. Once again, that's LOWER mortgage rates and a HIGHER Fed rate. Here's how that works:
The rate that moved higher today is the Federal Reserve's Target Rate. This is the rate banks charge other banks to borrow money overnight. It's called the Fed's Target Rate, because the Fed doesn't actually directly enforce the rate. It merely "targets" the rate (or the range of rates, in this case) that it believes is in line with its policy goals. The Fed can then employ several tools to influence the overnight rate and bring it in line with the target range.
If you're not already well-versed in the reasons that banks borrow from other banks overnight, don't worry about that. All you need to know is that the Fed's target rate is vastly important to the global financial system, and it has far-reaching effects on all manner of interest rates.
In other words, a Fed rate hike is a big deal, but bigger to some than others. Mortgage rates are less directly connected to the Fed's Target Rate, as could be easily seen in today's modest move lower. The Fed hiked its rate by a quarter of a point--an amount that would be unimaginably severe in the mortgage world. Such a move has only happened a few times in history on a single day.
About that DFA Bernie endorsement. Why did I know the following without reading the article?
"The DFA endorsement comes after the group held an online vote"
Doctor Dean supports Hillary.
Well I got my phone number and PIN for the phone call with
Hillary tomorrow.
It will be at 1:00 PT
I getting excited.
I am going to be on a phone conference with
Hillary tomorrow. We were supposed to send in our questions two days ago.
My question was: Mitch McConnell said that Congress will not vote on the TPP until there is a new president. (Supposedly that is because of the protections of the tobacco industry that are missing IIRC)
So the chances are you (Hillary) will be that new president. Will you still be opposed to the TPP?
I know no Bernie person will take her at her word but I do.
If she answers my question I will get back to you.
Bernie is winning in all 50 states!
http://www.pewresearch.org/2010/12/29/how-accurate-are-online-polls/How accurate are online polls?
most online polls that use participants who volunteer to take part do not have a proven record of accuracy. There are at least two reasons for this. One is that not everyone in the U.S. uses the internet, and those who do not are demographically different from the rest of the public. Another reason is that people who volunteer for polls may be different from other people in ways that could make the poll unrepresentative. At worst, online polls can be seriously biased if people who hold a particular point of view are more motivated to participate than those with a different point of view.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Open_access_poll
An open access poll is a type of opinion poll in which a nonprobability sample of participants self-select into participation. The term includes call-in, mail-in, and some online polls.
Since participants in an open access poll are volunteers rather than a random sample, such polls represent the most interested individuals, just as in voting. In the case of political polls, such participants might be more likely voters.
Because no sampling frame is used to draw the sample of participants, open access polls may not have participants that represent the larger population. Indeed, they may be composed simply of individuals who happen to hear about the poll. As a consequence, the results of the poll cannot be generalized, but are only representative of the participants of the poll.
http://www.pollingreport.com/ncpp.htm
Answers To Questions We
Often Hear From the Public
NATIONAL COUNCIL ON PUBLIC POLLS
1. Why am I or my friends never included in political polls conducted for the media?
The reason is fairly simple. There are about 200 million adult or voting-age Americans. But the average poll has a sample size of 1,000 adults. This means that only one person in 200,000 will be included in any one national or state poll. To put it another way, it would take 200,000 polls with samples of 1,000 for pollsters to get around to all Americans -- and this assumes no one is called twice.
http://blogs.lse.ac.uk/politicsandpolicy/polling-divergence-phone-versus-online-and-established-versus-new/
Polling divergence – phone versus online and established versus new
Rather than being random probability samples, online polls are statistical models based on non-random samples, which attempt to estimate for the population by adjusting for known biases. The problem arises where there are biases that are unknown (or difficult to quantify). If, for instance, members of an online panel happen to be more politically engaged than the average voter, or – more seriously – if party activists deliberately infiltrate a panel in an attempt to manipulate its results, then ceteris paribus a systematic bias arises.
Rachel was just talking about Killer Mike for all you Bernie fans not getting
enough quality time from the MSM.
You know guns, domestic terrorism and ISIS
will come up in this Saturdsy's debate.
Hillary will give well thought out answers with knowledge gained from study and experience.
Bernie "forget about it, it's not our problem"
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