I know a lot of you all don't like "the sky is falling!" mentality, but Ohio scares me and here is why:
1. Obama won the state twice (yes, it was close but he won)
2. I keep hearing that the Clinton campaign has a massive infrastructure advantage over Trump. She has dozens of campaign offices. That is all well and good, but what are those offices doing? Where is the community outreach and exciting the base? What is the purpose of these offices if they can't do that.
3. She is all over the airwaves with commercials outspending him and still losing. This was Jeb Bush's strategy during the primary and it didn't get him anywhere.
4. Most importantly, the popular Republican governor has not endorsed trump and has rebuked him.
I think the Senate race is hurting Clinton. Normally, when you think of coattails its the bottom of the ticket benefiting from the top, but Trump seems to be benefiting from a string incumbent Republican senator.
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Watching The Last Word. The last segment was about how Hillary is spending way more on ads than Trump, but the race is still close. Seems to me that the money could be utilized on other things like a ground game instead of tv ads.
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This year was suppose to be the year in which democrats took back the senate. We needed to have a good year this year because in 2018 democrats are defending a lot of seats. Seats in red states and swing states where democratic voter turnout is low in mid term elections. I looked at the map and I can see where the republicans have 61-63 seats after the 2018 election. That, a President Trump, a republican house, and a 6-3 conservative court (Ginsberg retirement) scares the CRAP out of me.
Edit: now of course because of the damage they would do the Dems have a great chance to win in 2020, but the damage would have already been done (especially on the Supreme Court).
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Although this state voted overwhelming for President Obama, it is also a state that elected their crazy governor twice. He was helped due to third part candidates which also seems to benefit trump.
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Hillary's numbers are getting lower even with today's positive Florida poll and NBC national poll.
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