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Agnosticsherbet
Agnosticsherbet's Journal
Agnosticsherbet's Journal
September 27, 2016
Trump is Raging Bullshit!
September 26, 2016
This is the best discussion of the differing views on health care that I have seen. I Pefer Clinton's.
The Health Care Reform Proposals of Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump
The Health Care Reform Proposals of Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump
As president, Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump would take the nation down distinctly different paths on health care. In this post, we summarize the health reform proposals of each candidate, anddrawing on new estimates by Christine Eibner and colleagues at RAND Healthcompare the proposals implications for the total number of people with insurance coverage, peoples out-of-pocket health care costs, and the federal budget.
RANDs analysis is based on publicly available health care proposals on the candidates websites. Where these proposals lacked sufficient clarity for modeling, RAND sought additional information from the campaigns. When answers were not forthcoming, or did not fully resolve questions, RAND made reasonable assumptions that were reviewed and critiqued by independent experts. RAND modeled only those proposals for which it had adequate detail and technical capacity.
The Starting Point
As a starting point, Clinton and Trump propose dramatically different approaches to the Affordable Care Act (ACA): Clinton would maintain the ACA and Trump would repeal it. In estimating the impact of Trumps proposal, RAND assumes a full repeal of the law including insurance subsidies, expanded eligibility for Medicaid, and individual market reforms such as bans against preexisting condition exclusions. RAND also assumes that repeal would eliminate the ACAs financing mechanisms such as its Medicare payment reforms and taxes on health plans and medical devices. Consequently, RAND estimates that compared to maintaining the ACA as is, repeal would cause nearly 20 million people to lose their insurance in 2018, increase average premium and out-of-pocket costs for people who buy insurance on their own, and increase the federal deficit. Trumps repeal of the ACA would increase the federal deficit because the loss of savings from the laws Medicare reforms and revenues from fees and taxes would be greater than savings from the elimination of insurance subsidies and the Medicaid expansion.
This is the best discussion of the differing views on health care that I have seen. I Pefer Clinton's.
September 22, 2016
I heard this interview this morning. The interview spent more time discussing Trump's lie concerning birtherism, and it highlights the different editorial policies of NPR and the New York Times.
'New York Times' Editor: 'We Owed It To Our Readers' To Call Trump Claims Lie
'New York Times' Editor: 'We Owed It To Our Readers' To Call Trump Claims Lie
The New York Times recently published a story that examined the way that Donald Trump's presidential campaign promoted his tax plan. Trump had offered a big tax break to businesses, and his campaign told a leading business group he supported the tax break. He got their endorsement. Then his campaign told independent budget analysts he was against the same tax break.
The New York Times called this a lie specifically, "the trillion-dollar lie."
The Times is using that word "lie" often in its coverage of Donald Trump, and Dean Baquet, the paper's executive editor, explains why on NPR's Morning Edition.
I heard this interview this morning. The interview spent more time discussing Trump's lie concerning birtherism, and it highlights the different editorial policies of NPR and the New York Times.
August 18, 2016
Would you vote for this woman?
August 18, 2016
Would you vote for him?
August 4, 2016
I do not think I have ever seen a worse case of word soup.
Help Us Diagram This Sentence by Donald Trump!
Help Us Diagram This Sentence by Donald Trump!
Look, having nuclearmy uncle was a great professor and scientist and engineer, Dr. John Trump at MIT; good genes, very good genes, OK, very smart, the Wharton School of Finance, very good, very smartyou know, if youre a conservative Republican, if I were a liberal, if, like, OK, if I ran as a liberal Democrat, they would say I'm one of the smartest people anywhere in the worldits true!but when you're a conservative Republican they tryoh, do they do a numberthats why I always start off: Went to Wharton, was a good student, went there, went there, did this, built a fortuneyou know I have to give my like credentials all the time, because were a little disadvantagedbut you look at the nuclear deal, the thing that really bothers meit would have been so easy, and its not as important as these lives are (nuclear is powerful; my uncle explained that to me many, many years ago, the power and that was 35 years ago; he would explain the power of what's going to happen and he was rightwho would have thought?), but when you look at what's going on with the four prisonersnow it used to be three, now its fourbut when it was three and even now, I would have said it's all in the messenger; fellas, and it is fellas because, you know, they don't, they havent figured that the women are smarter right now than the men, so, you know, its gonna take them about another 150 yearsbut the Persians are great negotiators, the Iranians are great negotiators, so, and they, they just killed, they just killed us.
Look, having nuclearmy uncle was a great professor and scientist and engineer, Dr. John Trump at MIT; good genes, very good genes, OK, very smart, the Wharton School of Finance, very good, very smartyou know, if youre a conservative Republican, if I were a liberal, if, like, OK, if I ran as a liberal Democrat, they would say I'm one of the smartest people anywhere in the worldits true!but when you're a conservative Republican they tryoh, do they do a numberthats why I always start off: Went to Wharton, was a good student, went there, went there, did this, built a fortuneyou know I have to give my like credentials all the time, because were a little disadvantagedbut you look at the nuclear deal, the thing that really bothers meit would have been so easy, and its not as important as these lives are (nuclear is powerful; my uncle explained that to me many, many years ago, the power and that was 35 years ago; he would explain the power of what's going to happen and he was rightwho would have thought?), but when you look at what's going on with the four prisonersnow it used to be three, now its fourbut when it was three and even now, I would have said it's all in the messenger; fellas, and it is fellas because, you know, they don't, they havent figured that the women are smarter right now than the men, so, you know, its gonna take them about another 150 yearsbut the Persians are great negotiators, the Iranians are great negotiators, so, and they, they just killed, they just killed us.
I do not think I have ever seen a worse case of word soup.
August 2, 2016
Here is a link to their policy agenda, with more detsils.
https://policy.m4bl.org/platform/
August 1, 2016
Trump Admits That He Will Lose The Election If He Releases His Tax Returns
Trump Admits That He Will Lose The Election If He Releases His Tax Returns
STEPHANOPOULOS: Is there something
(CROSSTALK)
TRUMP: George, it is very simple. Yes, but theyre all linked. Its called the link.
Its very simple, if my audit is finished, thats great.
Now, I have to tell you. I watched Mitt Romney four years ago. He waited until September to give them, just before the election. They made him look so bad, it was so unfair, I actually think he didnt lose because of the 47 percent, I think he lost because of a couple of really minor items in tax return where he did nothing wrong. So it is unfair.
But I will say, when Im finished with the audit, Ill do it.
STEPHANOPOULOS: Richard Nixon released his even though his were under audit.
TRUMP: I dont use Richard Nixon as necessarily the guide, OK. I mean, you know, its an interesting person to use, but dont use it.
July 27, 2016
Wow!
Politics Donald Trump Challenges Russia to Find Hillary Clinton’s Missing Emails
Donald Trump Challenges Russia to Find Hillary Clintons Missing Emails
DORAL, Fla. Donald J. Trump said Wednesday that he hoped Russia had hacked Hillary Clintons email, essentially sanctioning a foreign powers cyberspying of a secretary of states correspondence.
Russia, if youre listening, I hope youre able to find the 30,000 emails that are missing, Mr. Trump said, staring directly into the cameras. I think you will probably be rewarded mightily by our press.
Wow!
July 26, 2016
Welcome news.
90% of Sanders Supporters Back Clinton: Pew Research
90% of Sanders Supporters Back Clinton: Pew Research
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Pew Research Center published some interesting polling results today to coincide with the Democratic National Convention illustrating Clintons March to Nomination. Their take away is 90 percent of consistent supporters of Sen. Bernie Sanders now favor Sec. Hillary Clinton over her Republican rival.
But, through their random-digit-dial surveys conducted in English and Spanish, Pew found that 44 percent of Democrats changed their nominee preference during the course of the primaries.
Sanders supporters were almost as fickle in their support of the senator from Vermont. He did slightly better with loyalty from his supporters, but still just twenty percent of primary voters consistently named him as their first choice.
Pew also found the Democratic primary race support for the candidates divided along demographic lines including race, gender, education, and age. The only surprise to those following the news during the primaries is, I think, how evenly split support was in some of the demographic categories.
Welcome news.
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