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yallerdawg

yallerdawg's Journal
yallerdawg's Journal
March 1, 2016

Super Tuesday Predictions Point to Trump, Clinton Rout

Statistical models, betting markets, and the Internet weigh in.

Source: Bloomberg Politics by Andre Tartar and Ben Brody

On Tuesday, more delegates will be awarded than on any other day of the presidential race. About half of the delegates needed for a Republican candidate to win the nomination are at stake, plus about a third for Democrats. In roughly a dozen state races, Republican front-runner Donald Trump and Democratic leader Hillary Clinton seem poised to win in landslides that could render them nearly inevitable.

Delegates, though, will be awarded proportionally, so challengers could use the day to position themselves for an extended fight, particularly on the Republican side, where states only begin winner-take-all delegate allocation later in March. Below, six predictions that suggest Clinton and Trump might be coming up on a very good day.








On the Democratic side, Clinton is expected to win 10 of 11 states, according to the PredictWise model, up from eight before her win in the South Carolina primary on Saturday. She has a greater than 95 percent chance of winning delegate-rich Texas, Georgia, and Virginia. The odds lean toward Senator Bernie Sanders in his home state of Vermont and have shifted away from him in Colorado and Massachusetts.

“If Clinton carries the close states, then that could end the race on Tuesday,” Rothschild said in an e-mail. “She is now 95 percent to win the nomination.”

Read it all at: http://www.bloomberg.com/politics/articles/2016-02-29/super-tuesday-predictions-point-to-trump-clinton-rout
March 1, 2016

Sanders Supporters Trolling Elizabeth Warren To Get Her Endorsement

So far the progressive senator remains silent and Sanders volunteers are becoming more aggressive

Source: Vocativ by Adi Cohen and Jason Steinblatt

After Senator Sanders’ disappointing finish in South Carolina and with Super Tuesday looming, Bernie fans are looking for a savior in Elizabeth Warren. And so, of course, they’re kinda trolling her.

After Clinton’s landslide South Carolina win was announced Saturday night, Team Bernie started bombarding Senator Warren with tweets and posts calling on her to endorse Clinton’s challenger. The Massachusetts Democrat and progressive hero has not endorsed any of the candidates, and now, hours before the polls open in her home state, the Bernie bros are hoping she could give him a last minute bump.

Thousands of tweets calling for the endorsement have been posted during the last 24 hours, a Vocativ social media analysis found. The most popular tweet came from the Sanders campaign itself, which linked to an op-ed Warren published Tuesday about the need for family leave. “This is exactly what our campaign is talking about,” Sanders’ tweet said...

All the rest at: http://www.vocativ.com/news/291424/sanders-supporters-trolling-elizabeth-warren-to-get-her-endorsement

February 29, 2016

"Till it happens to you."

February 28, 2016

You should see who is getting Bernie swarmed!

https://www.facebook.com/ElizabethWarren

Could Senator Warren call this a 'special place in hell'?

Good job, bros!
February 28, 2016

After Getting Blown Out in South Carolina, Bernie Again Impugns Hillary’s Integrity (Hillary Group)

Source: Blue Nation Review by Peter Daou

The Minnesota speech started out positive, but then...

*****
Alas, he couldn’t maintain the uplifting tone and by the second half of the speech, Bernie resorted to his “release the transcripts” attack against Hillary. In essence, he’s accusing Hillary of corruption — without an iota of evidence.

As we wrote recently, Hillary confronted Bernie on his continued insinuation that she is somehow tainted by financial industry contributions:

I would just say, I debated then Senator Obama numerous times on stages like this, and he was the recipient of the largest number of Wall Street donations of anybody running on the Democratic side ever. Now, when it mattered, he stood up and took on Wall Street. He pushed through, and he passed the Dodd-Frank regulation, the toughest regulations since the 1930’s. So, let’s not in anyway imply here that either President Obama or myself, would in anyway not take on any vested interested, whether it’s Wall Street, or drug companies, or insurance companies, or frankly, the gun lobby to stand up to do what’s best for the American people.

Hillary is absolutely right. Does Bernie think President Obama is compromised by Wall Street contributions? If so, he should have the courage to say it. If not, he shouldn’t imply that a female candidate would be influenced by donations or speaking fees. There’s a word for that.

The endless drumbeat that Hillary is dishonest is now driven directly from the top of Bernie’s campaign. It is an “artful smear” where any mention of the “establishment” or Wall Street is a Pavlovian trigger designed to impugn Hillary’s character. The Wall Street Dog Whistle.

Read the rest at: http://bluenationreview.com/bernie-again-impugns-hillarys-integrity/
February 28, 2016

Winners and losers from the South Carolina Democratic primary (Hillary Group)

Source: Washington Post by Aaron Blake

WINNERS

Hillary Clinton: No, this win was not unexpected, but it is still a win for Clinton — and it appears to be an absolute drubbing. She has now won two straight states, and she is clearly the momentum candidate heading into Super Tuesday — which is, after all, just three days away. The question from here is whether Clinton can begin to put the race away in short order or if Sanders can hang around somehow — despite increasingly daunting delegate math. That’s a far different conversation than we were having after Clinton got blown out in the New Hampshire primary two and a half weeks ago.

Black voters: Eight years after South Carolina sent Barack Obama further on his way to becoming the first black president, black voters sent a message Saturday that was loud and clear: We aren't going anywhere. Early exit poll numbers suggest the black share of the electorate could hit a new record — about 6 in 10 voters in Saturday's primary. That would exceed even the percentage in 2008, when the eventual first black president was on the ballot. That record turnout comes after a South Carolina campaign that was focused intently on wooing black voters — even more so than in 2008. The combination of those two things mean black voters just asserted themselves as a real force in 2016.


LOSERS

Bernie Sanders: We pretty much knew this wasn't going to be close, but it turned into a disaster for Sanders. Yes, it's one state, but Sanders had one task here: To beat expectations when it comes to black voters. He didn't do that -- at all. He lost their votes a whopping 87-13, according to the most recent exit polls. A while back, a top Sanders adviser mused that he could win South Carolina with 30 percent of the black vote; that proved to be a foolhardy goal. And it's not just that black voters like Clinton better; they didn't seem to trust Sanders either. Just 52 percent said they would trust Sanders to handle race relations. Nearly 9 in 10 said the same of Clinton.

*****

Young voters: At this rate, all future candidates might as well give up on trying to build a campaign around the support of young people. Despite tens of thousands of people showing up to Sanders rallies, and young people favoring him overwhelmingly so far, they just aren't showing up to vote like he needs them to. Fewer than 1 in 6 voters in South Carolina were under the age of the 30. And it follows a pattern of young people just not giving Sanders the turnout he needs. In fact, young voters were less of the electorate there than in any of the first three states


Read all the rest at: https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2016/02/27/winners-and-losers-from-the-south-carolina-democratic-primary/?hpid=hp_hp-top-table-main_fix-winners-losers-940pm%3Ahomepage%2Fstory
February 27, 2016

I'm gonna see the Big Dog Saturday!

Come on with us!

Alabama State University
1055 S University Ave.
John Garrick Hardy Student Center
Montgomery, Alabama 36106

Saturday, February 27, 2016 from 3:45 PM to 7:00 PM CST


On Saturday, February 27, President Bill Clinton will travel to Montgomery for a rally to get out the vote before the primary in Alabama on Tuesday, March 1. He'll make his case for why Hillary is the best candidate to raise Alabamians’ wages and incomes and break down the barriers that exist for too many families. Get there early for a good spot!


https://www.facebook.com/events/761241887339762/

February 27, 2016

More coincidental Clinton email releases? (Hillary Group)

I guess on the eve of the South Carolina primary it is just a coincidence.

Pretty bland and innocuous, as usual.

The State Department is closing in on its goal to release all of former Secretary Hillary Clinton's private emails. Just before 6 p.m. tonight it published 881 of her emails, totaling 1,589 pages.

*****

Of the emails posted today, 88 were upgraded to "confidential," which is a lowest level of classification.

*****

In one of the emails released today, a former Marine and Iraq veteran sends a heartfelt and somewhat prescient email to Secretary Clinton after meeting with her and discussing the U.S troop withdrawal.

*****

In another email, a senior U.S. diplomat mentions a conversation he had with Bob Bergdahl, father of then prisoner of war Sgt. Bowe Bergdahl. This diplomat says Bob was expressing anxiety about recent threats from Bowe's captors." I told him that [Bowe] is always on all of our minds," this official says he told Bob.

*****

The next -- and final -- release is expected on the Monday evening before Super Tuesday, when presidential candidates compete for delegates in a dozen states.

http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/clintons-private-email-1500-pages-made-public/story?id=37225146
February 26, 2016

Hillary in Birmingham Saturday, Feb. 27th!



Hillary Clinton Alabama campaign rally set for Saturday at Miles Gymnasium

Hillary Clinton's presidential campaign released further details Thursday about her Alabama campaign stop scheduled for Saturday. The former first lady and secretary of state is holding a get-out-the-vote rally at 12:45 p.m. Saturday at the Miles College Gymnasium in Fairfield.

The public can access tickets to Clinton's Alabama campaign stop here. Doors open at 11:45 a.m. CST. The gymnasium is located at 401 59th St. in Fairfield.

The campaign said Clinton "will lay out the case for why she is the best candidate to raise Alabamians' wages and incomes and break down the barriers that exist for too many families." She will presumably also mention Birmingham's decision to raise the minimum wage.

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