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hill2016

hill2016's Journal
hill2016's Journal
May 17, 2016

CNN: Sanders aide instigated supporters to "take over" the Nevada convention

http://www.cnn.com/2016/05/17/politics/democrat-bernie-sanders-revolt/index.html


But new audio obtained by CNN shows a senior Sanders aide -- on the eve of the Nevada convention -- encouraging the senator's supporters try to "take over" the convention, change party rules and continue the "revolution" that Sanders has long campaigned on.
"You should not leave," Joan Kato, the national delegates director, told Sanders supporters in a meeting last week at the Rumor Boutique Hotel. "I'm going to repeat that, unless you are told by someone from the campaign ... that you can leave, you should not leave."
May 17, 2016

Where's the video of Sanders refusing to condemn the violence in NV?

We need to tweet it, FB it, Snapchat it, etc.

May 17, 2016

Bernie promised a positive campaign...yet we have death threats, throwing chairs, making kids cry,

booing of the disabled, ugly ugly messages (facebook, voice mail, twitter) from his supporters.

What happened?

Did they miss the message?

May 16, 2016

Violence is NOT an acceptable part of the political discourse. Can we at least agree on this?

This means

No throwing of chairs
No threatening of congressman
No leaving of death treats

May 16, 2016

The insurance companies are pulling out of ACA as they are losing lots of money. Don't blame them

for raising premiums.

http://www.wsj.com/articles/insurers-losses-deepened-on-aca-plans-in-2015-1463356176

Many insurers have lost money on the Affordable Care Act plans they sell to consumers. A new analysis shows how much those losses deepened in 2015, the second year of the law’s signature exchanges.



https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/wonk/wp/2016/04/19/unitedhealth-group-to-exit-obamacare-exchanges-in-all-but-a-handful-of-states/


UnitedHealth Group, the nation's largest health insurer, said Tuesday that in 2017 it will exit most of the 34 states where it offers plans on the Affordable Care Act insurance exchanges.


Ultimately it boils down to:
(1) young healthy millennials are not signing up enough to offset the sicker older patients
(2) lots of people are gaming the system (paying premiums only when they need treatment, stopping after) and abusing the life events.
(3) Medical costs of those who use medical treatments have been higher than expected


At the end of the day, premiums collected have to cover medical costs incurred. Hence either (1) premiums increase on everybody (2) more people pay in (restricting enrollment outside the open enrollment period, increasing the tax/penalty) (3) more cost-shifting to those who are using medical treatments (deductibles, co-pays, coinsurance etc.).

This is maths and reality.


May 7, 2016

NY Times: Clinton thinks she has Sanders' supporters in the bag, now wooing anti-Trump Republicans

Hillary Clinton’s campaign is trying to seize on the turmoil Donald J. Trump’s ascent has caused within the Republican Party, hoping to gain the support of Republican voters and party leaders including former elected officials and retired generals disillusioned by their party’s standard-bearer.

More broadly, Mrs. Clinton’s campaign is repositioning itself, after a year of emphasizing liberal positions and focusing largely on minority voters, to also appeal to independent and Republican-leaning white voters turned off by Mr. Trump.

But her campaign, confident that the young people and liberals backing Senator Bernie Sanders of Vermont will come around to support Mrs. Clinton in November, is focusing its efforts on white working-class women and suburban women who tend to vote for Republican presidential candidates, but who polls show hold negative views of Mr. Trump.



http://www.nytimes.com/2016/05/07/us/politics/hillary-clinton-republican-party.html

The fact that she will be the Democratic nominee seems to be a foregone conclusion. She is now focusing on wooing the party elite who cannot get behind Trump, moderate Republicans, and soccer moms.


May 5, 2016

Pivoting to the GE is a brilliant campaign strategy for Hillary.

it allows her to go on the attack in a way she could never have with Bernie.

it frames the national discussion as Hillary vs Trump rather than Hillary vs Bernie, making Bernie seem almost irrelevant.

it forces people to really really imagine Trump in the oval office and on Air Force One, and she is the Only Hope to stop him.

it brings people back to reality instead of dreams of unicorns.

Brilliant.

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