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Member since: Tue Mar 1, 2016, 04:10 PM
Number of posts: 1,065

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Cook Political Report: Good News for Hillary!

The Cook Political report is out with its new projections of the electoral map for November's presidential election, and it's is looking better and better for Hillary Clinton.

Cook moved 11 states in Dems' direction Thursday and redefined critical swing states Colorado, Florida, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin from being toss-up to lean Democratic. They also moved two congressional districts that allocate electors. In Nebraska's Second, Cook moved the district from solid Republican to tossup. Maine's Second moved from solid Democratic to likely Democratic.

"With these changes, 190 Electoral Votes are in the Solid Democratic column, 27 are in Likely Democratic and another 87 are in Lean Democratic - enough for a majority," the Cook Political Report team writes.

The Cook Political Report also moved New Mexico from Likely Democratic to Solid Democratic and North Carolina to toss-up. Arizona, Georgia and Indiana remain in the Republican column for now, but were all moved to being less solidly Republican.

Clinton's expanding map could also give down ballot candidates a leg up. In states like Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Colorado, Florida and Arizona where there are competitive Senate races, the Clinton campaign's ground game infrastructure could be a major support system for Democratic senate hopefuls.


Maybe a Clinton/Sanders Ticket Does Make Sense ...

I posted something along this same line yesterday. I'm pleased to see someone I consider to be one of the more politically astute bloggers thinking similarly ....

I’ve been anticipating the day when Clinton and Trump would emerge as the nominees since last fall, but when the day finally came it still surprised me to experience how it felt. I don’t think I can compare it to anything since the day in college when I sat in my dorm room watching CNN as the Soviet Union collapsed before my eyes.

I had to actually feel what it was like as an actuality before I could begin to wrap my head around it. This has been a dizzying day.

For the first time, the idea of a Clinton-Sanders ticket made some sense to me.

It really didn’t before, because…well…because of a lot of reasons.

But the spectacle of the Republican Party being divided this way has made me reconsider whether it might not be best for the nation if the Democrats can meet this national emergency with the unity and resolve it deserves.

If he’d agree to serve as vice-president, it would immediately unite the Democratic Party and put its activist base into organizing mode. It would inoculate Clinton somewhat against the attacks Trump will bring on free trade and the Iraq War vote.

I can see how Sanders would bring some unnecessary difficulties in the campaign, but I don’t see how a Democratic Party that is strongly united could fail to rampage on the Republicans up and down the ballot.

There are still arguments against this move, including that it will give a lot of Republicans a little more justification for sticking with Trump. It will freak the business community out at the exact moment that they’re realizing that they need to come to Clinton with hat in hand or get shellacked early in her administration.

I can probably find more reasons it’s not a great idea, perhaps related on a granular level to how it would impact a few select suburban House races. And, personally, I’d rather see Sanders back in the Senate.

But, after really feeling the demise of the Conservative Movement, I’m kind of convinced that the biggest possible hammer blow is Democratic unity on the biggest possible scale.

If Hillary goes with a Clinton-Sanders ticket, I think it will knock the fucking House down.


I’ve almost convinced myself.


Does the threat posed by Trump's nomination increase the chances of a Unity Ticket? ...

... just imagine for a moment, Hillary grants major concessions to Bernie in exchange for his coming aboard her ticket.

The energy would be explosive, especially when President Obama hit the campaign trail in support.

Alas, egos will almost surely prevent such a sunny scenario ...

... but, don't blame a guy for dreaming.

Bernie is being deliberately dishonest with his supporters ...

By claiming the convention will be contested, he is milking his supporters for donations and damaging the party.

This is a transparent attempt to take advantage of his supporter's ignorance of how the nomination process works.

Super delegates are included in the total delegates needed by design.

It is grossly dishonest to suggest that the candidate who wins the majority of pledged delegates and has the endorsement of the majority of super delegates is not the nominee.

His fundraising has fallen off a cliff, and this is a brazen attempt to light a fire amongst his uninformed supporters.

He should be stripped of his committee seats and kicked out of the caucus.


It's the Duty of Every Sanders Supporter to Vote for Hillary

If you choose not to support Hillary in the fall, because of some misguided notion of what she “owes” you, then you choose to cede the election to a man who will destroy every cause that Bernie Sanders, and you, once claimed to care about. And while you may be in a position in life that it won’t affect you directly if Trump bans Muslims, repeals Obamacare, and does everything he can to hurt gays, blacks, Latinos and women, is that really why you felt the Bern this election — because you put your own disappointment over the needs of the many?

Look, I get it. It feels totally unfair that your guy lost. We’ve all been there. (The election of 2000 comes to mind.) But cutting off your nose, and the collective noses of every American, out of a personal sense of pique is the last thing your revolution was about.

When Hillary and Bernie were in the Senate, they voted together 93% of the time. You could do a lot worse than electing a second President Clinton — you could help elect President Trump. And then you can really kiss your revolution goodbye.


Black Donald Trump Rap

Is there really a "movement" or is this all about Bernie?

I seriously can't tell.

All this energy being wasted on wailing and gnashing teeth and lighting candles ...

... I mean the pathos around here is thick.

Wouldn't that energy be better spent on getting progressives into place on down ballot races, statehouses, and local positions of influence?

Or, is it all about Bernie?

Because if it is, that's not a movement, it's a cult of personality.

And, if you're gonna build a cult of personality ...

... well, you're gonna need a bigger personality.

The Party is Already Uniting! Bernie or Busters are outliers ....

Good news for America! ...

— Among 18 to 29 year olds, Clinton beats Trump 61% to 25% to 14% undecided

— In spring of 2015, this age group wanted the Democratic Party to win the next presidential election by 15 points (55% to 40%); a year later, that spread has increased to 28 points (61% to 32%)

— For the first time in five years, the number of self-identified Democrats is higher than self-identified independents (Dem 40%-Indy 36%-GOP 22%)


EXPLAINED: Why Bernie is Actually Winning!

Bernie looked demoralized on MTP this morning ...

... bitter, disillusioned, and pointing fingers of blame.

I think he senses the curtain is coming down on his campaign.

I'd feel bad for him if he hadn't gone so negative and become so loose with the truth recently.
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