NyTimes bought voter rolls from a vendor and are using the names from the lists as candidates for polling.

This is how the pro's do their internal polling.

Downside is, it was performed over last week so there could be a Sick Hillary effect.

This is likely just typical tumblr bullshit, but some wackadoo on tumblr is claiming responsiblity.


Seems like an obvious troll but authorities are investigating it.

Time to pay up, Donny

https://twitter.com/Fahrenthold/status/776816093830778880

Josh Marshall will be aggregating Journalists who allow Trump to skate on his birther history. Help him out.

See

https://twitter.com/joshtpm/status/776765600123219969

#Pastorbashing

Can we make it trend on twitter? So that "people are talking" about it?

anyone game?

They do not report data for subgroups with margins of error above a certain threshold.

He has a lot of shit talking to make up for.

He usually waits until later in the cycle to have more impact but hard to believe he could more impactful than right now.

Just my thoughts.

H42 T40

About the same.

https://today.yougov.com/news/2016/09/14/clinton-maintains-narrow-lead-over-trump/

Still expect QPAC to be devastating for many here.

So far looks a lot like last week:

NBC/SurveyMonkey NEW! Clinton +4
UPI/CVOTER NEW! Trump +3
Morning Consult Clinton +1
ABC/Post Clinton +8

Average is 5, median is 2.5 for Clinton

However, two of these (ABC, Morning Whatever) are prior to the stupidfest this weekend.

UPI has been more pro-Trump than other polls, and has had him leading a few times already. Very sensitive to pro-Trump data.

My own model estimates that we should see a national spread between Clinton and
Trump of ~ 3.8 for Clinton.

It's been a while (July 31? I think) since we've seen one.